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A wargame simulated a 2nd Trump presidency. It concluded NATO would collapse.
Business Insider ^ | May 12, 2024 | Michael Peck

Posted on 05/13/2024 7:16:34 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

If Donald Trump wins a second term in the White House in November, NATO may fall apart, a recent wargame found.

As a presidential candidate, Trump has threatened to quit NATO unless European allies contribute more, and should he carry it out Europe may decide to go it alone on defense, the game suggests. "A US policy of frustrating NATO has the potential to cause the alliance to collapse, with the EU as a candidate for eventually replacing NATO's ultimate function — defending Europe from Russia," wrote Finley Grimble, the British defense expert who designed and ran the game.

The US doesn't have to withdraw from NATO to imperil the 75-year-old alliance. Technically, the US is barred from leaving NATO after Congress voted in 2023 to prohibit withdrawal without congressional approval.

But the game showed how Trump — the presumptive Republican presidential nominee who said on the campaign trail that he'd encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" with NATO allies who spend too little on their militaries — could undermine NATO simply by doing as little as possible to support the alliance. "What Donald Trump can do is just really hollow out what NATO does," Grimble told Business Insider. "He doesn't need to leave NATO to ruin it. He can ruin it from within."

Grimble, who has conducted wargames for the British government, conceived of this game after claims by former US National Security Adviser John Bolton that he talked then-President Trump out of withdrawing from NATO in 2018. He designed a tabletop simulation where the players — mostly British specialists in defense, intelligence and foreign policy — assumed the role of leaders of the 32 NATO nations, plus Ukraine and Russia; China was played by the umpires.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; France; Germany; Government; Political Humor/Cartoons; Politics/Elections; Ukraine
KEYWORDS: 2018; ai; axisandallies; babylonthegreat; boardgameinsider; boardgames; bolton; britain; businessinsider; chat; endnato; eussr; fakenews; finleygrimble; fourthreich; grimble; johnbolton; merkel; michaelpeck; molotovribbentrop; nato; natonazis; nerds; newmolotovribbentrop; newsweak; notukraine; nutso; predeterminedoutcome; risk; stoltenberg; tabletopsimulation; tds; trump; trumppersecution; uk; wargame; wishfulthinking
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas

Trump ended the wars and is feared by the MIC.


81 posted on 05/14/2024 1:35:37 AM PDT by jdt1138 (Where ever you go, there you are.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
How about a nice game of chess?

-PJ

82 posted on 05/14/2024 1:43:53 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: Political Junkie Too

-PJ

83 posted on 05/14/2024 1:47:18 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: A strike; MinorityRepublican
[Thread Article] “Technically the US is barred from leaving NATO...”

[Thread Article continued] ... after Congress voted in 2023 to prohibit withdrawal without congressional approval.

The US is not barred from leaving NATO. The President is barred from unilaterally leaving NATO without prior consent by the Senate, or by an Act of Congress. That was buried in the 974-page NDAA.

https://www.congress.gov/118/plaws/publ31/PLAW-118publ31.pdf

PUBLIC LAW 118–31—DEC. 22, 2023 137 STAT. 136

NDAA of 22 Dec 2023, at 137 STAT. 464

SEC. 1250A. LIMITATION ON WITHDRAWAL FROM THE NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION.

(a) OPPOSITION OF CONGRESS TO SUSPENSION, TERMINATION, DENUNCIATION, OR WITHDRAWAL FROM NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY.—

The President shall not suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, done at Washington, DC, April 4, 1949, except by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, provided that two-thirds of the Senators present concur, or pursuant to an Act of Congress.

(b) LIMITATION ON THE USE OF FUNDS.—No funds authorized or appropriated by any Act may be used to support, directly or indirectly, any decision on the part of any United States Government official to suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, done at Washington, DC, April 4, 1949, except by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, provided that two-thirds of the Senators present concur, or pursuant to an Act of Congress.

(c) NOTIFICATION OF TREATY ACTION.—

(1) CONSULTATION.—Prior to the notification described in paragraph (2), the President shall consult with the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives in relation to any initiative to suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty.

(2) NOTIFICATION.—The President shall notify the Committee on Foreign Relations of the Senate and the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the House of Representatives in writing of any deliberation or decision to suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw the United States from the North Atlantic Treaty, as soon as possible but in no event later than 180 days prior to taking such action.

(d) RULE OF CONSTRUCTION.—Nothing in this section shall be construed to authorize, imply, or otherwise indicate that the President may suspend, terminate, denounce, or withdraw from any treaty to which the Senate has provided its advice and consent without the advice and consent of the Senate to such act or pursuant to an Act of Congress.

(e) SEVERABILITY.—If any provision of this section or the application of such provision is held by a Federal court to be unconstitutional, the remainder of this subtitle and the application of such provisions to any other person or circumstance shall not be affected thereby.

(f) DEFINITIONS.—In this subtitle, the terms ‘‘withdrawal’’, ‘‘denunciation’’, ‘‘suspension’’, and ‘‘termination’’ have the meaning given the terms in the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, concluded at Vienna May 23, 1969.


84 posted on 05/14/2024 1:51:24 AM PDT by woodpusher
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To: MinorityRepublican

Why do you keep posting this garbage from NewsWeak?

They’re Liberals


85 posted on 05/14/2024 2:01:59 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: ConservativeMind

[A war game over Trump being president?

That is crazy.]

Of course it is. NewsWeak is pure garbage with a Joe Biden agenda. Over and over and over and over again.


86 posted on 05/14/2024 2:03:05 AM PDT by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the Days of Lot; They did Eat, They Drank, They Bought, They Sold ......)
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To: Bishop_Malachi

Russia isn’t fighting Ukraine.


87 posted on 05/14/2024 2:26:01 AM PDT by ARW
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To: MinorityRepublican

British... figures
As soon as the Cold War ended the US should have dismantled what remains of the British Empire. Severed Canada and Australia from any semblance of British influence.
The British are NOT our friends. They still operate from the mistaken belief the US exists to provide them with assets and manpower.


88 posted on 05/14/2024 2:39:23 AM PDT by VetoBill
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To: Olog-hai
He never said that, Peck.

Liberals at least once thought he was too tough on Russia (while also claiming to be a puppet for Putin):

"When you actually look at the substance of what this administration has done, not the rhetoric but the substance, this administration has been much tougher on Russia than any in the post-Cold War era," said Daniel Vajdich, senior fellow at the Atlantic Council. Take military spending: Trump sought to add $1.4 billion for fiscal year 2018 to the European Deterrence Initiative — a military effort to deter Russian aggression that was initially known as the European Reassurance Initiative. That's a 41 percent increase from the last year of the Obama administration.
The president also agreed to send lethal weapons to Ukraine — a step that Obama resisted. And Trump gave U.S. forces in Syria more leeway to engage with Russian troops... "Those loosened rules of engagement have resulted in direct military clashes with Russian militants and mercenaries on the ground, actually resulting in one incident in hundreds of casualties on the Russian side," Vajdich said.
The administration has also imposed sanctions on dozens of Russian oligarchs and government officials... tough policies...have to be weighed against Trump's rhetoric, which is consistently friendly to Putin. ."There's a real disconnect between the president's words and the underlying policy," said Richard Fontaine, president of the Center for a New American Security. - https://www.npr.org/2018/07/20/630659379/is-trump-the-toughest-ever-on-russia

And from from 12/26/17 there is

Trump Sends Tank-Killing Missile To Fight Russia in Ukraine, But What Can It Do? By John Haltiwanger On 12/26/17 at 5:53 PM EST The decision to sell the Javelin missiles also comes not long after the Trump administration approved a limited weapons sale between American manufacturers and Ukraine of Model M107A1 sniper systems, ammunition and associated equipment...It's fired from the shoulder and tracks targets via infrared (heat signature). Instead of targeting the front or sides of tanks, which are thick with armor, the missile flies in an arc and hits the top of tank where the armor is weak..
Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko defended the move in a Facebook post, thanking President Donald Trump for his support. Poroshenko further described the arms sale as "a transatlantic vaccination against the Russian virus of aggression." - https://www.newsweek.com/trump-tank-killing-missile-fight-russia-ukraine-759745

And as reported by abcnews.go.com om Dec. 23, 2020,

"Previously, as reported by ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News, Headlines & Videos om Dec. 23, 2020, "Trump admin approves new sale of anti-tank weapons to Ukraine.." The new package included Javelin anti-tank weapons, 150 missiles and two launchers, which came after a first sale, completed in March 2018, which included 210 Javelin missiles and 37 launch units.. "The Trump administration first approved the sale of Javelins to Ukraine in December 2017 -- a step that former President Barack Obama never took.... ..

Before that, "Russia's Putin praises Obama's missile defense decision" to "cancel a radar installation in the Czech Republic and ground-based interceptors planned for Poland," LA Times Sep 19, 2009

And those who protest NATO's overall spending of only about 3% of its GDP are opposing Trump. For contrary to being a Putin puppet as the Left prevaricates - and who were blaming him in Feb. 2020 for this invasion,


July 11, 2018 U.S. President Donald Trump told NATO leaders on Wednesday they should increase their defense spending to 4 percent of their country’s economic output, double the group’s current goal of two percent/
4/3/19
..nearly all 29 NATO members have increased their defense spending since Trump came to office, and at least 16 of the 29 are on track to meet their 2024 defense spending goals. Defense spending among 27 NATO allies has increased consistently between 2016 and 2018, with Hungary, Norway, Romania and Turkey making some of the biggest increases.

October 21, 2020 NATO spending has increased for the sixth consecutive year thanks to new contributions from allies, Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said in prepared remarks Wednesday...Canada and European countries' spending increased this year at a rate of 4.3 percent...Russia and China's aggressive behavior during Trump's term is one reason for the allies' increased spending.

89 posted on 05/14/2024 2:50:16 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Turn 2 the Lord Jesus who saves damned+destitute sinners on His acct, believe, b baptized+follow HIM)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I’m all for dumping NATO, if Europe keeps going Muslim.


90 posted on 05/14/2024 3:07:21 AM PDT by jeffc (Resident of the free State of Florida)
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To: Secret Agent Man

It’s about time that this info was de-classified!!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WarGames


91 posted on 05/14/2024 3:18:44 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: piasa

PATTON WAS RIGHT IN HIS ASSESSMENT OF rUSSIA.


92 posted on 05/14/2024 3:22:29 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Political Junkie Too

Great Minds dredge up the past...


93 posted on 05/14/2024 3:23:49 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Elsie

Have I ever mentioned that there needs to be a CHANGE CASE key on our keyboards?


94 posted on 05/14/2024 3:25:19 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: MinorityRepublican

NATO collapse?

I’m comfortable with that!


95 posted on 05/14/2024 3:26:50 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Navarro didn't kill himself.)
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To: MinorityRepublican
Europe created the Euro to compete against the dollar and it that does that well. But they can't defend themselves? Please.
96 posted on 05/14/2024 3:27:02 AM PDT by Vision (Woke is communism and it has no place in America. Election Reform Now! Obama is an evildoer.)
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To: PLMerite
NATO existed so that the U.S. military could start fighting the Warsaw Pact …

Except NATO existed for more than five years before the Warsaw Pact was established.

NATO and the Warsaw Pact were basically established for the same reason, but through different approaches: to protect Europe against Germany.

The Warsaw Pact was a traditional mutual defense treaty. NATO was a fake “mutual defense treaty” that was used to mask its true purpose, which was to facilitate a permanent military occupation of Germany by the U.S. and Great Britain (to a lesser extent).

97 posted on 05/14/2024 4:10:24 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (If something in government doesn’t make sense, you can be sure it makes dollars.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

BULL and who cares anyway


98 posted on 05/14/2024 4:18:17 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: Alberta's Child

NATO was formed to block Communists’ ambitions. Warsaw Pact was formed to insure Soviet control of Eastern Europe and as a counter to NATO. Remember, dictators are paranoid individuals (Stalin is the perfect example) who see threats, both internal and external, behind every tree and under every rack.


99 posted on 05/14/2024 4:18:45 AM PDT by Rlsau1
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To: MinorityRepublican

Garbage in, garbage out. The fact is that Nato was made stronger by Trump. Then it was weakened by Biden provoking Russia to invade Ukraine.


100 posted on 05/14/2024 4:33:08 AM PDT by Colorado Doug (Now I know how the Indians felt to be sold out for a few beads and trinkets)
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