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Poll: General Election: Trump 46% Biden 44%
SteveKornacki ^ | Nov 19, 2023

Posted on 11/19/2023 7:28:31 AM PST by Milagros

@SteveKornacki New NBC News national poll (11/10-14)

General Election: Trump 46% Biden 44%

Biden Job Performance Approve 40% (⬇️1% from Sept.) Disapprove 57% (⬆️ 1%)

Biden Handling of Foreign Policy Approve 33% (⬇️ 8% from Sept.) Disapprove 62%(⬆️ 9%) 9:00 AM · Nov 19, 2023


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; poll; trump
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To: Milagros
Poll: General Election: Trump 46% Biden 44%

It doesn't matter. The poll could be Trump 95%, Biden 5%. Dems will NEVER NEVER NEVER allow Trump to be president ever again and I'm guessing it's going to be the same for any republican candidate. Dems have mastered cheating. We need paper ballots in every precinct, voter ID in every state, every precinct, we need honest people to count the number of people who voted vs the number of ballots submitted for every precinct. None of this early voting crap and none of this mail in ballot crap and drop off ballot boxes.

41 posted on 11/19/2023 9:08:41 AM PST by rockabyebaby (THE BEST IS YET TO COME - (PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP))
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To: Milagros

And this is from NBC - better clear your throats and start screeching Surrender Monkeys while there are still people you can talk out of voting.


42 posted on 11/19/2023 9:19:27 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: Milagros

NBC? Say what?


43 posted on 11/19/2023 9:43:44 AM PST by NetAddicted (MAGA2024)
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To: Milagros

Trump 46% Biden 44%

Fails to account for the 10,000,000 new voters JB has brought in.

Biden 64% Trump 36%


44 posted on 11/19/2023 10:01:18 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: brownsfan

But if you believe an NBC News poll...

Still, are they contributing to the broader nudge to get Biden off the ticket?


45 posted on 11/19/2023 10:07:04 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: Milagros

They’re not figuring in RFK Jrs impact on the election. I believe this will be decided by Congress due to no one getting to 270 to win.


46 posted on 11/19/2023 10:08:02 AM PST by DownInFlames (p)
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To: Milagros

STOP IT!

How could Bite Me get 44% of any vote?

Just not believable.

Just MAKE UP your numbers and publish.


47 posted on 11/19/2023 11:22:58 AM PST by faucetman (Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Polls and elections are garbage. They want us to be Charlie Brown again.


48 posted on 11/19/2023 11:45:42 AM PST by Luke21
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To: Milagros

Getting ahead of the narrative


49 posted on 11/19/2023 11:53:51 AM PST by Jan_Sobieski (Sanctification)
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To: Milagros

Nothing has been done to the cheat states of AZ, PA, GA, etc. Brandon will hide in the basement as abortion ads will swarm the screens. The ballots are already in place to stop and steal all over again.


50 posted on 11/19/2023 12:04:35 PM PST by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: brownsfan

Yes, exactly. Last time Trump probably beat him by at least 10%. There are even some who say that really, Trump won the popular vote in California. One isn’t so sure about that or have any way of knowing for sure, but the point is Trump needs to win the popular vote by at least 11% in order for it to extrapolate to the Electoral Vote. A tall order, especially with our old buddy Milt about to team up with Manchin as an independent ticket, which might get about 2% of the vote...


51 posted on 11/19/2023 12:09:43 PM PST by OKSooner (Be especially sure to take extra wool socks.)
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To: Milagros
Here are the poll results:

Demographics (1,000 registered voters with 3.1% MOE):

Analysis: This is a D+1 poll. This poll underweights Independents. It exaggerates the results towards the party bases.

Also, the results are not split out by party identification.

Q: Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative?

ResponseAll
Very/Somewhat Liberal28%
Moderate32%
Very/Somewhat Conservative37%


Q: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president?

ResponseAll
Approve40%
Disapprove57%

Q: Please tell me if you approve or disapprove of President Biden’s handling of each of the following:

ResponseApproveDisapprove
The Economy38%59%
Foreign Policy33%62%
Israel-Hamas War34%56%

Analysis: Although Biden's overall approval matches the Democrat party weighting of this poll, on the top issues Biden is losing base support.


Q: If the election for president were held today, with a Republican candidate and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

ResponseAll
Republican48%
Joe Biden37%

Q: If the election for president were held today, with Donald Trump as the Republican candidate and a Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

ResponseAll
Donald Trump40%
Democrat46%

Analysis: When each candidate is matched against an unnamed candidate of the other party, both Trump and Biden lose to the unnamed candidate. However, Trump gains +1 over his base when named while Biden loses -3 from his base when named.


Q: Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups, and places and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

ResponseVery Positive/PositiveNeutralVery Negative/NegativeDon't Know/Not Sure
Joe Biden36%10%53%1%
Donald Trump36%11%52%1%
Kamela Harris29%16%52%3%
Ron DeSantis27%17%47%9%
Nikki Haley24%22%28%26%
Mike Johnson14%20%23%43%
Israel47%27%24%2%
Palestine20%37%38%5%
Hamas1%11%79%7%
Russia3%18%77%2%
Ukraine45%29%24%2%

Analysis: Regarding the top candidates, Biden's and Trump's favorability is reflective of the poll's party overweight. Harris is clearly disliked in her own party as she polls -7 below Biden.

Regarding the Republican challengers, DeSantis is in Harris territory while the public hasn't made up its mind on Nikki Haley.

Regarding the nations at war, the public has clearly taken the sides of Israel and Ukraine. Hamas and Russia are both hated.


Q: Asked of Republican primary voters: If the Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor? And, which of the following candidates would be your second choice?

Response1st Choice2nd ChoiceCombined Choice
Donald Trump58%13%71%
Ron DeSantis18%36%54%
Nikki Haley13%15%28%
Vivek Ramaswamy3%12%15%
Chris Christie3%7%10%

Analysis: There are no surprises here. Based on the prior question, Haley unknowns can make up the difference between her and DeSantis, but nobody has a chance to catch up with Trump.


Q: If the election for president were held today, with Donald Trump as the Republican candidate and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

ResponseAll
Donald Trump46%
Joe Biden44%
Neither7%

Analysis: Each candidate exceeds his base support, but Trump's exceeds the Republican weight by +7 while Biden exceeds the Democrat weight by +4.

Q: Asked of Biden voters: Would you say your vote is more FOR Joe Biden or more AGAINST Donald Trump?

ResponseAll
For Joe Biden31%
Against Donald Trump63%

Q: Asked of Trump voters: Would you say your vote is more FOR Donald Trump or more AGAINST Joe Biden?

ResponseAll
For Donald Trump56%
Against Joe Biden37%

Analysis: Not surprisingly, Democrats rabidly hate Donald Trump compared to the Republican dislike of Joe Biden. Trump leads with voters who are motivated to support a candidate.


Q: What is your preference for the outcome of the Congressional elections in November of 2024 -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

ResponseAll
Republican-controlled47%
Democrat-controlled45%
Not Sure8%

Analysis: Control of Congress mirrors the Trump-Biden match-up. This suggests that the voters no longer want an opposition Congress if Trump wins the election.


CONCLUSION:

Given that this poll underweights Independents and does not break out results by party identification, it still looks like voters are tilting towards Republicans at this time.

-PJ

52 posted on 11/19/2023 12:10:18 PM PST by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: Milagros; All

Trump needs a 20-30 point spread to offset voter fraud.


53 posted on 11/19/2023 12:13:20 PM PST by Cobra64 (Common sense isn’t common anymore)
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To: Milagros

As long as George Soros & Son are in control of the 2024 swindle process, these fake polls can be 75 Trump-25 Biden and there still is no chance Soros loses...

The 2024 swindle will probably, IMHO, be the very last presidential election that requires polling/voting stations and citizenship... Probably 5 million of the MIVs voted in 2020... It will be 45 million in 2024...

Voting will be simple and inexpensive...
Simply go on line or dial a specific number to cast a vote...


54 posted on 11/19/2023 12:54:09 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is the next Sam Adams when we so desperately need him)
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To: SuperLuminal; All

Soros is also sponsor of ADALAH anti Israel masquerading as “human rights” greoup.


55 posted on 11/19/2023 4:34:10 PM PST by Milagros (Y)
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To: Milagros

Incant understand why that’s not Trump 86%, Biden 14%. Joe Stupid has been an absolute disaster


56 posted on 11/19/2023 5:37:39 PM PST by muir_redwoods (Freedom isn't free, liberty isn't liberal and you'll never find anything Right on the Left)
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To: bitt

democrats are known to kill people


57 posted on 11/20/2023 4:00:01 AM PST by no-to-illegals (The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them.)
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To: Milagros

Biden’s approval will never go below the artificial floor of 40%. If it goes below 40% that riggers panic. Dems can’t accpet a number starting with a three.


58 posted on 11/20/2023 4:12:38 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Milagros

The number of 5th columnists ready to destroy the USA from within is no longer the 1950s “conspiracy theory” that liberals maintained back then.


59 posted on 11/20/2023 4:17:04 AM PST by Theodore R. ( )
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