Posted on 06/17/2023 1:47:52 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
Former President Donald Trump beats President Joe Biden by six points in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup and dominates the Republican primary field in the latest national Harvard/Harris poll.
The poll, which was conducted following Trump’s arraignment on Tuesday on a 37-count federal indictment, shows that 45 percent of registered voters would back him over Biden, who draws 39 percent of support. Another 15 percent are undecided:
🚨 NATIONAL POLL: Harvard/Harris
PRES:
(R) Trump: 45% (+6)
(D) Biden: 39%(R) DeSantis: 41% (+1)
(D) Biden: 40%
.
GOP PRES:
• Trump — 59% (+45)
• DeSantis — 14%
• Pence — 8%
• Haley — 4%
• Ramaswamy — 3%
• Scott — 2%
• Christie — 2%Harris (B) | 06/14-15 | 2,090 RV pic.twitter.com/z8Qo4HLowH
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 16, 2023
The 45th president consolidates the base of his party more successfully than Biden, earning 86 percent of the GOP demographic to Biden’s 77 percent of the Democrat population.
More than one in ten Democrats back Trump, while one in twenty Republicans support Biden. Trump holds a four-point advantage with independents, at 38 percent to 34 percent, with 28 percent up for grabs.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
For all you Online DeSanctimonious Influencers who are constantly poo-pooing the Polls showing Trump is so far ahead of DeSantis but state that Trump cannot beat Biden but DeSantis can.2024 National Republican Primary Polling Trends by Harvard/Harris (B)
January:
• Trump — 48% (+20)
• DeSantis — 28%February:
• Trump — 46% (+23)
• DeSantis — 23%April:
• Trump — 55% (+35)
• DeSantis — 20%JUNE:
• Trump — 59% (+45)
• DeSantis — 14% pic.twitter.com/OISpI7u12B— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 16, 2023
The Florida governor actually lost ground compared to last month’s poll, taken before his campaign launch, when he held 16 percent support. The 45th president moved up one percent month-over-month.
In a hypothetical head-to-head, Trump leads DeSantis 67 percent to 33 percent.
What’s more, former Vice President Mike Pence, who officially announced his candidacy in June, has climbed from four points support in May’s poll to eight points this month. He is now just six points behind DeSantis in this survey.
Rounding out the field, four percent would back former Gov. Nikki Haley (R-SC), while entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy has three percent support. Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) and former Gov. Chris Christie tie at two percent, while Gov. Doug Burgum (R-ND), who just announced last week, and former Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R-AR) did not secure a point of backing.
Additionally, three in four Republicans think Trump will be the nominee.
Go Trump!
How come “ Harvard-Harris “ didn’t do a poll on how Brandon does in a primary versus RFK Jr. and Merigold Marianne ?
Because we can’t wait for him to site more blank checks to big pharma and lock down the country. But hey, just like he said… everyone wanted the shots.
The real surprise here is seeing Mike Pence at 8%. Maybe it’s name recognition. I still expect Nicki to outshine Pence before long.
Chris Christie is still “mopping the basement floors at 2%.
By Labor Day, some of these Wannabes will have dropped out of the campaign.
I guess Ron could not wait until 2028 after Rich Anti-Trump Donors
tempted him with all that money. He felt bullet proof and 10’ Tall with
millions flowing in. He will one day realize he screwed his own pooch
for 24 and 28. Had he just been more patient, things might have been different
in the future.
They left off Hutchinson to keep the Trump and the 7 Dwarfs comparison from happening.
Trump’s base are blue collar working class populists. They always support a populist in favor of an establishment candidate. Edwin Edwards, a Louisiana populist with a distinct scent of corruption following him everywhere ran for Governor with a slogan: “Vote for the crook, its important”. He won. He was later convicted for corruption and sent to prison, but his base was always with him. They hate slicky boys establishment types.
The primary is over. Trump won. He can win the general election in spite of the blatant cheating, but it will be close. Turn out, turn out will make the difference, both voting in person and vote by mail.
If Trump loses, we will have had our last election in this country.
Biden is not going to be the nominee.
He may be realizing it now. His campaign has been a trainwreck so far.
Methinks Trump is behind in AZ, PA, NV, and WI so he would lose.
hindsight is 20/20. I think you are not putting this in the context of being 9 months out from the Presidential election.
That fact put Trump in a vice. I believe were it not for that we would taken the approach Sweden did.
What makes you so sure they wouldn’t Impeach and remove Trump.
It was a train wreck in 2020 as well, but he is POTUS.
Campaigns are so 20th century, contemporary elections are won by ballot harvesting, mail in ballots, no ID day of voting registration, and having a party operative in charge of elections, that's how elections are won today.
It also is won with TV ads, something the GOP had no answer for in 2020, no thanks to Ronna McRomney.
How does Trump poll against Newsom, the actual candidate?
Biden is irrelevant.
If you think it’s bad for Biden now, wait until unemployment hits double-digits.
The poll severely understates the strength of the democratic voter base.
—> Methinks Trump is behind in AZ, PA, NV, and WI so he would lose.
Is DeSanctus leading trump in these states?
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