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Strength in the bond market is signaling that the US economy won't enter a recession either this year or next
MSN ^ | MFox

Posted on 02/06/2023 2:17:27 PM PST by SaxxonWoods

Underlying strength in the bond market is signaling that the US economy is not on the verge of entering a recession anytime soon, according to a Monday note from DataTrek Research. In fact, corporate bond-yield spreads relative to US Treasuries suggest the economy is not going to enter a recession in 2023 or 2024, according to the note.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: bondmarket; bonds; economy; stockmarket
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Everyone predicts future economic conditions, but the Bond Market has by far the best record at it. Very interesting. Let's see where it goes from here.
1 posted on 02/06/2023 2:17:27 PM PST by SaxxonWoods
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To: SaxxonWoods

With Joe and Kamala at the helm I think I’ll keep buying canned food. If I can afford it that is.


2 posted on 02/06/2023 2:20:34 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: SaxxonWoods

When is the last inflationary period that wasn’t followed by a recession?


3 posted on 02/06/2023 2:26:09 PM PST by Ge0ffrey
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To: SaxxonWoods

When short term and long term bond yields are inverted, and they are inverted, it signals a storm on the horizon.


4 posted on 02/06/2023 2:28:52 PM PST by fatboy (')
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To: SaxxonWoods

Everything has to be good rosy or the state of they union speech tomorrow to make the Buyden look good then everything can be blamed on Trump the day after the state of the union.


5 posted on 02/06/2023 2:30:20 PM PST by mountainlion (Live well those that did not make it back.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Remain calm, all is well.

Inflation followed by rapidly rising interest rates is a good thing as of now. History? What is that? Reality is what needs to be to make leftist policies bring us utopia.


6 posted on 02/06/2023 2:34:18 PM PST by FlipWilson
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To: SaxxonWoods

We’re already in a Recession.
This Summer, we’ll enter a Depression.


7 posted on 02/06/2023 2:34:47 PM PST by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: Ge0ffrey

“When is the last inflationary period that wasn’t followed by a recession?”

In my memory they all have led to a recession. But in one case it took 9 years, 65-74. The Bond Market isn’t saying there won’t be one, it’s just saying, “Not yet”. It will also let us know when it thinks it’s getting closer. All predictions have to adjust to events that follow the initial prediction.


8 posted on 02/06/2023 2:34:56 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself. 111 is the key.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

There is no recession with a war-time economy and the bond market reflects this. It is not yet ‘kinetic’, but we ARE at war with both the ChiComs and the Russians.

We should NOT be at war with Russia. If the Dhimmicrats had not stolen the last election, PDJT would be in charge. Putin would never have attacked Ukraine and we (the West) would not be in the quagmire that is the Ukraine War.

Thanks Dhimmicrat chicken hawks! FJB! FJT, eh!


9 posted on 02/06/2023 2:35:28 PM PST by A Formerly Proud Canadian ( Ceterum autem censeo Justinius True-dope-us esse delendam)
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To: mountainlion

The Bond Market doesn’t care a thing about helping Biden. It cares about making money, period.


10 posted on 02/06/2023 2:36:19 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself. 111 is the key.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Let’s see where it goes from here.

Drop a rock in water case the GDP hasn’t been this low sense 1932 no wage growth 5.6 inflation high cost of living from 2020.....................................................

No positive gains for the next two years.


11 posted on 02/06/2023 2:37:28 PM PST by Vaduz (LAWYERS )
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To: SaxxonWoods

MSN . . . Commie Rat cheerleaders


12 posted on 02/06/2023 2:38:01 PM PST by RatRipper
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To: SaveFerris

13 posted on 02/06/2023 2:41:07 PM PST by Magnum44 (...against all enemies, foreign and domestic... )
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To: Vaduz

Yes, it does look like a stagnant period is ahead. It’s going to try my patience, but the conditions don’t care what I want.


14 posted on 02/06/2023 2:42:14 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself. 111 is the key.)
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To: SaveFerris

Hard to go wrong with that.


15 posted on 02/06/2023 2:42:59 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself. 111 is the key.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

MSN?
Uh, feggedabowdit.


16 posted on 02/06/2023 2:44:29 PM PST by Da Coyote
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To: SaxxonWoods

The U.S. economy cannot go into recession until a Republican is in the White House. The whole nation could become one giant Hooverville, and the economy would not be considered to be in recession until Trump or DeSantis is allowed to win in 2024, so that the left will have someone else to blame for the national economic collapse.


17 posted on 02/06/2023 2:44:38 PM PST by chajin ("There is no other name under heaven given among people by which we must be saved." Acts 4:12)
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To: FlipWilson

“Reality is what needs to be to make leftist policies bring us utopia.”

I don’t care about the left’s version of reality. Reality is what happens.


18 posted on 02/06/2023 2:45:07 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The only way to secure your own future is to create it yourself. 111 is the key.)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Yep, hard to go wrong there.

When people in the goobmint like What Me Worry Pete start telling me how good things are I prep even more.

If I can. Right now no job but early SSI. Hope to get one of my car problems addressed in a couple weeks or so.


19 posted on 02/06/2023 2:46:16 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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To: fatboy

Interesting 🤔


20 posted on 02/06/2023 2:47:08 PM PST by SaveFerris (Luke 17:28 ... as it was in the days of Lot; they did eat, they drank, they bought, they sold ......)
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