Posted on 11/07/2022 7:00:46 AM PST by cotton1706
(Excerpt) Read more at thetrafalgargroup.org ...
In many ways, the rest of our lives depends on Republican success in this election. I’ve never felt this much concern over an election before, but this one is for all the marbles. If we lose, the dems have gone so extreme communist that it’s over folks. They’re going to mutilate / brainwash / sexualize children and inject them with poison against our will. We are staring evil right in the face. It is up to US to get EVERY REPUBLICAN you know out to vote. If we don’t, our children die. It’s that simple.
54-46 GOP advantage is my most Pessimistic forecast.
I’m thinking 56-44 GOP Senate.
And, O'Dea to win in CO.....which is close, but he pissed of too many Pro-Life and MAGA voters....(and I'm very active in CO)
54-46 is my guess. RATS will steal 2 that should have been GOP.
YES!I earnestly hope six points is beyond the Rat cheat margin. However, there are cretins and miscreants in Wake and Orange Counties armed with stuffed drop boxes waiting for a midnight dump signal at an appointed polling place.
I think this one is key as well as if we don’t control congress entirely the left will realize this is their last shot and we will see all sorts of new institutionalized ways for them to steal elections and all bets are off goign forward.
“YES!I earnestly hope six points is beyond the Rat cheat margin. However, there are cretins and miscreants in Wake and Orange Counties armed with stuffed drop boxes waiting for a midnight dump signal at an appointed polling place.”
We got Tillis through in 2020 with all their crap going on. So I think this will be a solid win.
I think the west coast will be in tears as they see these election returns come in while they’re still voting. I hope it’ll be like 1980, with Jimmy Carter calling to concede while Reagan was still in the shower.
Budd owns a gun store. The media relentlessly smeared Budd as profiting from death, but most voters aren’t buying it. NC will once again make Dems cry bitter tears.
Excellent
Cotton,
I am happy that this poll is positive, but EVERY Trafalgar poll lately has been pretty good news, even for those conservative candidates trailing in the polls.
Are they too rosy to believe?
“Are they too rosy to believe?”
I don’t think so. They’ve been pretty accurate in the past. And I heard one of the Trafalgar guys on Howie Carr. They stick to very simple polling, like one or two questions, not the lengthy ones that make us hang up even if we want to participate.
The Trafalgar guy was talking about submerged voters, so even the existing polls will be on the low side.
We’ll find out tomorrow night of course, but Trafalgar have been far more accurate in their methodologies and results than the others.
Budd by 9,easy.
(With apologies to CCR): I feel a red tide a-raisin’
Go, Ted, go!
Since 1998, polls of U.S. Senate elections conducted within three weeks of Election Day have had a weighted-average error of 5.4 percentage points, and polls of U.S. House elections have had a weighted-average error of 6.3 points.
But, hypothetically, let’s say that Republicans do 5.4 points better than their current FiveThirtyEight-projected vote margins in every Senate race and 6.3 points better in every House race. This roughly happened in 2020, when polls underestimated the GOP by a record amount.
That would mean a 54 gop senate, and around a 46 house seat gain to 259.
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