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Putin’s Regime Faces the Fate of His Kerch Strait Bridge
The Atlantic ^ | October 9, 2022 | Eliot A. Cohen

Posted on 10/10/2022 8:34:54 AM PDT by Timber Rattler

On Saturday, the Ukrainians hit the Kerch Strait Bridge, which leads from Russia to Crimea, with something—a missile, explosives planted by naval commandos, a truck laden with explosives. No one who knows is saying for sure.

(snip)

The tactical questions of how the Ukrainians pulled off this strike and of whether lasting damage has occurred are interesting and important but currently unresolvable publicly. What can, however, be more profitably discussed is what this tells us about where the Russia-Ukraine war is headed.

“Battles are the principal milestones of secular history,” Winston Churchill wrote in his biography of the Duke of Marlborough. The strike on the Kerch Strait Bridge was not a battle, but it was an important contributor to one of the great inflection points of this war—the moment when Russian elites began to understand that they are losing.

(snip)

The Kerch Strait Bridge attack, by contrast, inflicted at most a couple of casualties but packed multiple punches. It struck a prime symbol of the project of Russian imperial restoration, an expensive structure designed to link a Crimea reincorporated into Russia with the motherland. It damaged a crucial supply route. It showed that Ukraine could reach deep behind Russian lines to hit, with exquisite precision, a key and extremely well-defended target. It was, above all, a personal as well as a national humiliation: This was Vladimir Putin’s pet construction project, and it was the most unwelcome gift possible on his 70th birthday.

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
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To: Sirius Lee
The Atlantic is definitely editorially suspect, for the most part, but Eliot Cohen is one of the good guys.
21 posted on 10/10/2022 8:52:07 AM PDT by gloryblaze
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To: cweese

Sounds like the aftermath of Reinhard Heydrich’s assassination. The reprisals were a bitch, but the Czechs had it coming to them.


22 posted on 10/10/2022 8:52:12 AM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham ("God is a spirit, and man His means of walking on the earth.")
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To: caww

t.me/intelslava

🇪🇺⚡️Ukraine stops exporting electricity to EU from October 11 due to rocket attacks – Ministry of Energy of Ukraine

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:33 AM]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️There are new arrivals of cruise missiles in the Cherkasy region.

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:34 AM]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Another wave of “calibration” of Ukraine (the third or fourth already)

There are reports of new explosions in Sumy, Kirovograd, Cherkasy, Dnepropetrovsk, Kiev regions.

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:36 AM]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Explosions occurred at a military training ground in the Odessa region near the village of Mayaki on the border with Moldova, local residents told RIA Novosti

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 7:29 AM]
🇺🇳🇷🇺 UN Secretary-General António Guterres is “deeply shocked” by Russia’s largest airstrikes since the start of the war in Ukraine, a UN spokesman said.

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 7:32 AM]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine Oleksiy Goncharenko announced explosions in Kremenchug, Poltava region

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 7:33 AM]
[ Video ]
🇷🇺🇺🇦 New video of morning missile strikes on Kiev

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 7:48 AM]
🇫🇷🇺🇦Macron told Zelensky that France will increase support for Ukraine “in response to requests formulated by Kiev, including those related to military equipment”

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 7:52 AM]
[ Photo ]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Explosions in Krivoy Rog. The goals were reached by kamikaze UAV

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 7:52 AM]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Explosions again in Kremenchug. Explosions are also reported in the Cherkasy region

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:02 AM]
🇰🇿🇺🇦 The Embassy of Kazakhstan in Kiev urged fellow citizens to leave the territory of Ukraine if possible

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:03 AM]
[ Video ]
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Three arrivals in Krivoy Rog

Likely Russian kamikaze UAV

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:06 AM]
[ Video ]
🇷🇺🇺🇦 Something is burning in Lvov.

Intel Slava Z, [10/10/2022 8:36 AM]
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Explosions occurred at a military training ground in the Odessa region near the village of Mayaki on the border with Moldova, local residents told RIA Novosti


23 posted on 10/10/2022 8:52:52 AM PDT by Cathi
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To: Lurker

I address points just as you all do.

I don’t see you calling out TimberIdiot, marcus maximus, RevMom, etc., etc., etc.

Again, I address points just as you all do.


24 posted on 10/10/2022 8:53:02 AM PDT by cranked
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To: caww
Authors a Biden guy....


25 posted on 10/10/2022 8:55:16 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: Timber Rattler
Silly....that's long been put out. Are you doing propaganda now?
26 posted on 10/10/2022 8:56:21 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: Timber Rattler

I think we need to bomb the bridge again and finish the job :)


27 posted on 10/10/2022 8:57:35 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Timber Rattler
As Putin said, the Russians are just getting started and while fools like you keep pushing propaganda that was unbelievable from the start to anyone with half a brain.

I'm old enough to remember when you told us that Russia was running out of missiles and ammo.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/10/russia-having-run-out-of-missiles-launches-barrage-on-ukraine.html#more

Russia, Having 'Run Out Of Missiles', Launches Barrage On Ukraine

Back in March I had warned that Lies Do Not Win Wars. Here is another practical example.

After allegedly having 'run out of missiles' and, more importantly, patience, the leadership of the Russian Federation decided to de-electrify Ukrainian cities with a 'barrage of missile strikes'.

But first came the propaganda blubber:

320 missiles in a day: Russia targets short-range ballistic missiles at Ukraine; what is the result? - WION - Mar 2, 2022
Russia running short on guided missiles, firing indiscriminately - Ukraine - Jerusalem Post - March 17, 2022
Russia Running Out of Precision Munitions in Ukraine War Pentagon Official - US News - Mar 24, 2022
Russia running short of precision missiles, say western officials - Financial Times - Apr 29, 2022
SCORCHED EARTH Now humiliated Putin is running out of MISSILES in desperate bid to defeat Ukraine, UK armed forces chief tells TalkTV - Sun - May 5, 2022
Putin ‘running out of missiles’ amid claims quarter of Russian Army now lost - City A.M. - May 6, 2022
Is Russia running out of missiles? US, Russia send mixed messages - Jerusalem Post - May 16, 2022
Explainer: Is Russia Running Low on Missiles? - Moscow Times - May 17, 2022
Has Russia Run Out of Precision-Guided Missiles? - SOFREP - May 23, 2022
Russia ‘running out’ of precision weapons - UK Defense Journal - Jun 11, 2022
Russia fires five-and-a-half ton Cold War-era missiles designed to destroy aircraft carriers at Ukrainian forces in the Donbas after running out of precision rockets, MoD says - Daily Mail - Jun 12, 2022
Vladimir Putin running short of missiles as Russian forces turn to old weaponry stock - Mirror - Jul 8, 2022 Putin left scratching head as Russia RUNS OUT of missiles to make ground attacks - Express - Jul 23, 2022
Will Russia Run Out of Precision-Guided Munitions? - National Interest - Aug 11, 2022
Russia Has Run Out of Long-Range Missiles to Terrorize Ukraine - !945 - Aug 20, 2022
No more than 45% missiles that Russia had before the war remain Chief Directorate of Intelligence - Ukrainska Pravda - Aug 27, 2022
Russia 'running out of Iskander and Kalibr missiles’ - The New Voice of Ukraine / Yahoo - Aug 27, 2022
Ukraine Situation Report: Kyiv Claims Russia Is Running Low On Missiles - The Drive - Aug 27, 2022
Russian Federation will run out of shells, artillery and armoured vehicles by year end - Ukrainska Pravda - Aug 31, 2022
Russia Might Run Out of Weapons, Ammunition By End of Year: Report - Newsweek - Aug 31, 2022
Russia Is Running Out of Missiles. That’s Bad News for Ukraine - Defense Post - Sep 1, 2022
Alexander Kovalenko: when Russia will critically run out of missiles - Odessa Journal - Sep 2, 2022
Russia Resorting to Out of Date Missiles as Weapon Stocks Run Low: Ukraine - Newsweek - Sep 4, 2022
Ukraine believes Russia has less than 50 hypersonic missiles left because it can't get the chips needed to make more: report - Business Insider - Sep 6, 2022
Out Of Missiles! Russia Is Left With ‘Limited Stock’ Of Hypersonic Weapons Due To Microchip Shortage – Ukraine - Eurasian Times - Sep 7, 2022
---

Then a warning:

'We Haven't Started Yet,' Putin Says in Hawkish Speech on Ukraine Invasion - Haaretz - Jul 7, 2022

President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that Russia had barely got started in Ukraine and dared the West to try to defeat it on the battlefield, while insisting that Moscow was still open to the idea of peace talks.

...

"Today we hear that they want to defeat us on the battlefield. What can you say, let them try," he said. "We have heard many times that the West wants to fight us to the last Ukrainian. This is a tragedy for the Ukrainian people, but it seems that everything is heading towards this."

... "Everyone should know that, by and large, we haven't started anything yet in earnest," he added. "At the same time, we don't reject peace talks. But those who reject them should know that the further it goes, the harder it will be for them to negotiate with us."

---

Total disregard:

U.S. Believes Ukrainians Were Behind an Assassination in Russia - NY Times - Oct 5, 2020

American officials said they were not aware of the plan ahead of time for the attack that killed Daria Dugina and that they had admonished Ukraine over it.

UN: Ukraine nuclear power plant loses external power link - ABC News - Oct 8, 2022

The U.N. nuclear watchdog says that Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the biggest in Europe, has lost its last remaining external power source as a result of renewed shelling and is now relying on emergency diesel generators

Ukraine unveils stamps celebrating Kerch bridge explosion - hours after the attack - Telegraph - Oct 8, 2022 Timing of the Post Office announcement, just hours after the Crimea bridge was destroyed, raises questions about the nature of the damage

Syricide @Syricide - 8:33 UTC · 10 Oct 2022 #Kiev yesterday.

---

Consequences: Russia Unleashes Biggest Barrage of Strikes on Ukraine Since Invasion - WSJ - Oct 10, 2022

Cities throughout Ukraine, including Kyiv, are bombarded after Putin slams Ukraine over Crimea bridge blast

KYIV, Ukraine—Russia carried out waves of strikes on several Ukrainian cities including the capital in the broadest and most intense onslaught since the start of the invasion, after President Vladimir Putin accused Ukraine of a “terrorist attack” on a critical bridge connecting Russia’s mainland to the occupied Crimean Peninsula.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia had carried out dozens of strikes using missiles as well as Iranian-made drones to target civilian and power infrastructure. “They want panic and chaos,” he said. “They want to destroy our energy system.”

Ukraine "under missile attack" as explosions rock Kyiv and other cities - CBSNews - Oct 10, 2022

Kyrylo Tymoshenko, deputy head of the president's office, said on social media Monday that, "Ukraine is under missile attack. There is information about strikes in many cities of our country."

General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, said on Twitter that Russia had launched 75 missiles at Ukraine but that "41 of them were neutralized by our air defence."

Zelenskyy later emerged onto a street in Kyiv to record a selfie video with a message to his people and the world, denouncing Russia for the barrage of missiles which he said had targeted Ukraine's energy infrastructure, and its civilians.

Kiev, Lviv, Karkov, Dnipropetrovsk, Krivoy Rog all report damage to their electricity infrastructure.

28 posted on 10/10/2022 8:57:47 AM PDT by Kazan
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To: Cathi

71 structures in Kyiv city alone were destroyed this morning — Ukrainian authorities

t.me/battleinsights

Ex-President of Russia, current deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev — made a statement:

“The first episode has been played. There will be others. And further. I will express my personal position. I can’t help but mention it now. The Ukrainian state in its current configuration with the Nazi political regime will pose a constant, direct and clear threat to Russia. Therefore, in addition to protecting our people and protecting the borders of the country, the goal of our future actions, in my opinion, should be the complete dismantling of the political regime of Ukraine.”

— Dmitry Medvedev’s telegram channel

t.me/battleinsights


29 posted on 10/10/2022 8:57:50 AM PDT by Cathi
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

Just another academic chiming in on the conflict - but we also know Atlantic is NATO.


30 posted on 10/10/2022 8:58:53 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: Timber Rattler

biggest damage was to Putin’s ego, and Russia’s reputation, not the bridge

and with this temper-tantrum response, we know that Putin (with no military-strategy training) is still micro-managing the war, so Ukraine still has a good chance of winning!

Hitler 1944, version 2


31 posted on 10/10/2022 9:00:54 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: free_life

He never said the bridge is off limits - it’s been on Ukraines sites from the start. Now they are seeing what the response is. You strike their bridge - you will get a solid response. It’s not like Zelensky didn’t know there would be a huge response....he certainly knew there would be....and happy this conflict has escalated.


32 posted on 10/10/2022 9:02:06 AM PDT by caww (O death, when you seized my Lord, you lost your grip on me......Augustine)
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To: free_life

Putin may be insane, but I would caution everyone, if he’s replaced who would take his place, someone who would begin the peace process and deescalate the situation or turn the war into a battle of attrition and seek to eliminate Ukraine ??

My feeling, Putin may be insane, but he’s the devil we know, the devil we don’t know could and will probably be worse.


33 posted on 10/10/2022 9:02:30 AM PDT by srmanuel (C)
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To: Timber Rattler

That’s the trouble with bridges, you start to rely on them. Never depend on a bridge!


34 posted on 10/10/2022 9:03:36 AM PDT by Buttons12 ( )
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To: Timber Rattler

I don’t know much about Russia or the Ukraine conflict, but I do know the Atlantic is the mouthpiece of the globalist scum.


35 posted on 10/10/2022 9:05:01 AM PDT by JustaTech (A mind is a terrible thing)
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To: Timber Rattler
BBC reporter ducks as explosions rock Ukraine's capital Kyiv - BBC News

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfA8rJFOlj0

36 posted on 10/10/2022 9:05:31 AM PDT by SmokingJoe ( )
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To: srmanuel

If you think Putin is insane, you are not paying attention to his speeches and writings.

Was Wilson insane when he dispatched the Mexican Punitive Expedition in 1915-16?


37 posted on 10/10/2022 9:07:26 AM PDT by Jim Noble (And manly hearts to guard the fair)
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To: free_life
It's exactly the same kind of temper tantrum Hitler threw in 1944 with his indiscriminate V-1 and V-2 terror strikes against Britain and Holland. They accomplish nothing except to reinforce the determination to beat his battered and crumbling army back into Russia.


38 posted on 10/10/2022 9:09:11 AM PDT by Timber Rattler ("To hold a pen is to be at war." --Voltaire)
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To: cranked

I’m not seeing any traffic going across that span... Unless they got snorkels.


39 posted on 10/10/2022 9:11:15 AM PDT by RedMonqey
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To: gloryblaze
Eliot Cohen is one of the good guys.

[“Hillary is the lesser evil, by a large margin,” Cohen, who helped organize the letter, said at the time. Trump’s victory would be “an unmitigated disaster for American foreign policy."]

Yeah....no.

40 posted on 10/10/2022 9:12:40 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (They intend to murder us. Prep if you want to live and live like you are prepping for eternal life)
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