Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
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Hebert's Boxes
That would be 30 miles across and 15 miles from the center. I guess I thought I recalled some storms with huge eyes,maybe not.
which way will that push the storm?
Wilma was a phenom with an eye 55-65 mi wide over FL. At another point, Wilma’s eye was something like 2 miles—taking pinpoint to the extreme.
The 2am marker point for Ian’s location, puts it just West of Tampa Bay. An incoming tide along with the storm surge and wind on top of it. High tide for Tampa Bay is 4am Thursday morning, right as the storm is pushing a storm surge inland. This isn’t good for them at all.
Tide chart here...
https://www.tides.net/florida/2170/?year=2022&month=9&day=29
The opposite effect happened during Irma, which sucked the water out of the bay. Images...
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=hurricane+sucked+the+water+out+of+tampa+bay&t=fpas&iax=images&ia=images
No change on the 0800 update except a small pressure drop.
Thank you!
wow I forgot they can be all over the place,thanks.
I have traveled to the West coast a lot. seems that I4 and rt 60 were the main routes from Tampa to Central Fla. if those are the two main roads and hundreds of thousands are evacuating all at once I don’t know how that would work.
They open all lanes ‘one way’
This was a Generac. It was like being on a cruise ship - you ALWAYS heard it. Bugged the pah-tootey out of my wife.
Sadly the $$$ generator was paid for, so we kept it. The solar controller is made by Enphase, and Enphase will be releasing the module that integrates the generator into the solar system. The wall-mount controller has an open slot for this gizmo, but the one we need is slated for early 2023.
Adding that would give us solar+ solar battery + fossil-fuel generation capacities. All local, and capable of running automatically in a grid-down situation.
Right now *IF* the grid was down *AND* the solar system failed, I can manually switch in/isolate the existing generator by doing some work in the main panel; take me about 20 minutes. I like redundancy.
Man I wish I had batteries. I’m waiting for my subsidy for next year. My panels were installed in March.
Local news just showed a photo from a Costco. Report described the line for bottled water stretched 100 people long. On Saturday.
Any problems with insurance company for the rooftop solar panels?
No issue at all. Here’s why:
Our system provider pulled building permits, drew up signed engineering schematics, covered all permits with the electric utility, has a UL listing, AND guarantees no roof leaks for 15 years at any of the penetrations (lag screws with sealer). State farm covers the panels as it they were shingles. No insurance issues whatsoever. The brackets and panels are rated for a Cat 2 hurricane for lifting forces and durability.
Our roof only had about 12-15 years left anyways. When you get a new roof under the solar panels, the company removes the panels and brackets and replaces/tests it all (for a fee, maybe $2500 for our system). Electronics and panels have a 25 year warranty. If you have the solar company remove and refit the brackets and panels, the no-leak guarantee runs for another 15 years.
If you DIY a solar system, you would likely have insurance issues. Also I doubt “Bob’s Solar Guys” would be able to do all the engineering and certification work to get the required rating for insurance coverage. FYI I am a very ‘handy’ guy when it comes to building things mechanically and electrically, and now having lived through the design and installation of a whole-house solar system, would NEVER recommend you try it yourself.
Last comment: we are REALLY glad we added solar because the wholesale power adjustment fee now represents a 42% increase in the price of power. Our system produces, annually, about 70% +/- of our power, so we are therefore insulated from 70% of that increase. We are now WAY ahead on cost of solar vs cost of grid power. Why only 70%? We are prohibited by our EMC from installing a system larger than 10kW (34 panels) and still enjoying the net-metering. For us, a 10kW system delivers ~70% of our annual power (100% April - early October, and as low as 40% in the winter doldrums). IF power gets stupid expensive, we will just add more panels, cancel the net-metering and produce 100%+ of our annual power.
Wonderful news. Thanks for your detailed info.
LIVE HURRICANE WATCH issued for Tampa area ahead of strengthening Hurricane Ian
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=chusclbNHU0
Yeah, we got batteries before they got STOOPID expensive.
Good info—thanks!
You’re welcome. If you have any further questions, I’ll respond - good, bad and ugly re solar power
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