Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
Cayo Costa to be exact.
Right now, still reports of people walking out into Tampa Bay where water has receded!
Do they not realize it’s going to come back??
Haha
Power is out here. Looks like it is down for the duration.
He has already apologized, up above.
We all have our cranky moments.
BTW, Newsmax is sticking with its regular news programming, if anyone wants news.
And there is always the BBC.
Ugh my wife is from Naples, they don’t get hit very often. She claims they have the greatest beaches in the world. Has anyone heard how the Keys have faired? Key West is one of my favorite places.
“150 mph sustained winds = CAT 4”
~~~~~~~
4th strongest hurricane to make Fla landfall in recorded history.
Hurricane Michael 2018
Hurricane Andrew 1992
Labor Day Storm of 1935
Source: Ryan Hall (his source from a table he is posting on twitter)
I wouldn't hang around that receded Tampa Bay though. Especially when the water rushes back. 😲
Not much of a sheller myself, but been dragged to that bridge by family many times. I scoop up a coupla Glory Of The Seas to make em all jealous, then retire to ponder bridge design while they writhe in shame. Piers and slabs. The slabs are attached, but hydraulics will snap them free when wide flat waves rise under them. How far away do they end up? How intact? Can they be saved, or need rebuilt?
Piers... round ones don’t take the heat so much. Scour underneath is not really predictable. Are they still plumb? Can they be straightened? What is around to anchor your tension elements to yank em straight? How far? Can they still carry the deck’s dead load and live traffic loads?
You test, you don’t assume.
Port Charlotte et all will consume most of the early effort. Massive urban area, widespread Cat 4 damage. Key elements, again, will be the state of the Sanibel causeway and Periwinkle Way.
Amatuers discuss tactics, generals manage logistics.
Best I got.
Whistling past the graveyard.
Sometimes, it’s a good way to be.
Radar showing a pretty intense band around Bradenton.
Uh oh. Hope he is ok
Ha.
Did the tree branch that smacked Cantore sustain much damage?
And they’re leaving vehicles parked on Bayshore Blvd!
For anyone else curious...
https://www.fplmaps.com/index.html
That’s the link to FP&L’s outage portal.
There are outages on the east coast, too.
Miami-Dade has got 35,000 customers out.
Broward’s got 18,000 customers out.
Thx!!
Glad you’re still online, though.
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