Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
Best I can interpret from this map, around 8 AM Thursday, tommorrow. However, the circulation “appears” to be moving slower than previously.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/AL092022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
One of the major issues with Katrina was the fact that New Orleans is essentially a big ball. Once the storm surge and flooding went into the city it all had to be pumped out and many of those pumps had failed, along with broken levees. In this case, once the storm passes it will all go out to see on its own.
If it’s still the same old bridge, the one over Blind Pass was built in 1955 to replace the rickety old wooden bridge. How well was it built? I honestly don’t know.
Captiva was forever changed by the hurricane of 1921 which created Redfish Pass, separating North Captiva from the Captiva joined to Sanibel via that bridge over Blind Pass. What will Ian do?
Cayo Costa is your winner. Collect your bets.
150 mph
940 mb
I have clients in Tampa, Naples, and Ft. Myers. One set is up here in CLE with all 7 pets! They just bought a new home down there and were supposed to be there today to receive furniture.
My smart aleck brother said it will hit Orlando sometime tonight and will be good sleeping weather. He didn’t say a specific time.
I see one tracker that has the eye over Orlando/St Cloud sometime tomorrow morning, roughly 10 am, but they may already be having heavy winds, rain, and tornadoes currently.
I can’t even.
Thank you!!
Not a white squall. Those are very different animals, as a any sailor knows. This whiteout (similar to a blizzard) is a very special thing that happens around the eyewall of a hurricane.
Thank you!
True. Hard to call it progress though.
Sick of it, are you? Tell you what, friend. Turn the tv off. Go outside. Call a friend. Read a book. Make a sandwich. Go to the thousands of websites that won’t mention Florida.
This one thread on this website is dedicated to this hurricane, at this time, in Florida.
Your self-absorbtion in the face of a catastrophe your fellow citizens are living through is startling.
Thank you. Definitely windy west Orlando Winter Garden Southeast Lake Cty.
Whoa.
Cayo Costa / Cayo Costa State Park
4 nautical miles west of Pine Island.
$DIS is up over 3% today. The market overall as been up today as well[plenty of time to selloff, though].
From some of the videos I’ve seen, particularly in the Fort Myers area, it appears that the biggest issue is flooding. Many of the buildings appear to be intact, just several feet of water unfortunately.
“...but they may already be having heavy winds, rain, and tornadoes currently.”
Current conditions in Orlando show rain, winds from the northeast at 23 mph and a falling barometer.
There’s a number of others on here who are more meteorlogically savvy than me - but I think Orlando will get a buttload of rain. Things will get worse there as the day goes on.
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