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Hurricane Ian
NHC/NOAA ^ | 23 September 2022 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.


Mash image to enlarge

Public Advisories

NHC Discussion

Buoy Data

Tropical Tidbits


Hebert's Boxes


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricaneian; ian; nautinurse; officialianthread; tropical; tropicalstorm; uhoh; weather
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To: Jane Long

Best I can interpret from this map, around 8 AM Thursday, tommorrow. However, the circulation “appears” to be moving slower than previously.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/AL092022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


1,661 posted on 09/28/2022 12:16:33 PM PDT by abb
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To: EBH

One of the major issues with Katrina was the fact that New Orleans is essentially a big ball. Once the storm surge and flooding went into the city it all had to be pumped out and many of those pumps had failed, along with broken levees. In this case, once the storm passes it will all go out to see on its own.


1,662 posted on 09/28/2022 12:16:35 PM PDT by matt04 ( )
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To: jeffers

If it’s still the same old bridge, the one over Blind Pass was built in 1955 to replace the rickety old wooden bridge. How well was it built? I honestly don’t know.

Captiva was forever changed by the hurricane of 1921 which created Redfish Pass, separating North Captiva from the Captiva joined to Sanibel via that bridge over Blind Pass. What will Ian do?


1,663 posted on 09/28/2022 12:16:50 PM PDT by CatHerd (Whoever said "All's fair in love and war" probably never participated in either.)
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To: WeaslesRippedMyFlesh
NOAA Doppler radar imagery indicates that the eye of Ian made landfall along the southwestern coast of Florida near Cayo Costa around 305 PM EDT (1905 UTC). Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Ian's maximum sustained winds were estimated to be near 150 mph (240 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance data is 940 mb (27.75 inches).
1,664 posted on 09/28/2022 12:16:57 PM PDT by freepersup (“Those who conceal crimes are preparing to commit new ones.” ~Vuk Draskovic~)
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To: freepersup

Cayo Costa is your winner. Collect your bets.

150 mph

940 mb


1,665 posted on 09/28/2022 12:18:29 PM PDT by freepersup (“Those who conceal crimes are preparing to commit new ones.” ~Vuk Draskovic~)
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To: dfwgator

I have clients in Tampa, Naples, and Ft. Myers. One set is up here in CLE with all 7 pets! They just bought a new home down there and were supposed to be there today to receive furniture.


1,666 posted on 09/28/2022 12:18:41 PM PDT by EBH ( 1776-2021 May God Save Us.)
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To: dkGba; Jane Long

My smart aleck brother said it will hit Orlando sometime tonight and will be good sleeping weather. He didn’t say a specific time.


1,667 posted on 09/28/2022 12:19:00 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: dkGba; Jane Long

I see one tracker that has the eye over Orlando/St Cloud sometime tomorrow morning, roughly 10 am, but they may already be having heavy winds, rain, and tornadoes currently.


1,668 posted on 09/28/2022 12:19:10 PM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: dfwgator

I can’t even.


1,669 posted on 09/28/2022 12:19:34 PM PDT by FamiliarFace (I wish “smart resume” would work for the real world so I could FF through the Burden admin BS.)
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To: FamiliarFace

Thank you!!


1,670 posted on 09/28/2022 12:20:34 PM PDT by Jane Long (What we were told was a “conspiracy theory” in 2020 is now fact. 🙏🏻 Ps 33:12)
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To: meyer

Not a white squall. Those are very different animals, as a any sailor knows. This whiteout (similar to a blizzard) is a very special thing that happens around the eyewall of a hurricane.


1,671 posted on 09/28/2022 12:21:01 PM PDT by CatHerd (Whoever said "All's fair in love and war" probably never participated in either.)
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To: abb

Thank you!


1,672 posted on 09/28/2022 12:21:39 PM PDT by Jane Long (What we were told was a “conspiracy theory” in 2020 is now fact. 🙏🏻 Ps 33:12)
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To: FamiliarFace

True. Hard to call it progress though.


1,673 posted on 09/28/2022 12:21:40 PM PDT by Rusty0604 (" When you can't make them see the light, make them feel the heat." -Ronald Reagan)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade; NautiNurse

Sick of it, are you? Tell you what, friend. Turn the tv off. Go outside. Call a friend. Read a book. Make a sandwich. Go to the thousands of websites that won’t mention Florida.

This one thread on this website is dedicated to this hurricane, at this time, in Florida.

Your self-absorbtion in the face of a catastrophe your fellow citizens are living through is startling.


1,674 posted on 09/28/2022 12:21:57 PM PDT by SE Mom
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To: FamiliarFace

Thank you. Definitely windy west Orlando Winter Garden Southeast Lake Cty.


1,675 posted on 09/28/2022 12:22:04 PM PDT by dkGba
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To: freepersup
150 mph

Whoa.

1,676 posted on 09/28/2022 12:22:26 PM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: freepersup

Cayo Costa / Cayo Costa State Park

4 nautical miles west of Pine Island.


1,677 posted on 09/28/2022 12:23:40 PM PDT by freepersup (“Those who conceal crimes are preparing to commit new ones.” ~Vuk Draskovic~)
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To: RayChuang88

$DIS is up over 3% today. The market overall as been up today as well[plenty of time to selloff, though].


1,678 posted on 09/28/2022 12:24:23 PM PDT by Theoria
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To: Billthedrill

From some of the videos I’ve seen, particularly in the Fort Myers area, it appears that the biggest issue is flooding. Many of the buildings appear to be intact, just several feet of water unfortunately.


1,679 posted on 09/28/2022 12:25:25 PM PDT by matt04 ( )
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To: FamiliarFace

“...but they may already be having heavy winds, rain, and tornadoes currently.”

Current conditions in Orlando show rain, winds from the northeast at 23 mph and a falling barometer.

There’s a number of others on here who are more meteorlogically savvy than me - but I think Orlando will get a buttload of rain. Things will get worse there as the day goes on.


1,680 posted on 09/28/2022 12:25:32 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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