Posted on 09/23/2022 2:32:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The late-blooming 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is making up for lost time. A tropical system has developed in the Central Caribbean Sea. This storm system is forecast to threaten continental U.S. interests next week. While the tropical wave passed south of a key geographic area known as Hebert's Box #1, it will very likely pass through Hebert's Box #2. These boxes are useful as predictors of hurricanes that will strike South Florida. For more information about Hebert's Boxes, see Hebert Box. See graphic below which illustrated the Hebert's Boxes.
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Hebert's Boxes
Local news said that if we still have electricity tomorrow by noon, that we probably won’t lose power from the storm. Ha!
The tiki huts were almost completely submerged lastI heard. There will be plenty of damage there.
I’m in sarasota and the power has been off since approx 9am
so there you go,makes excellent sense.
When I saw that increase in the storm surge estimate, I had to cringe. My friends in North Ft. Myers will probably lose their family business (very much a “specialty” operation) built up over 50 years. It’s really hard to start over when you are ~70 and most everything has to be custom made from scratch...
Hopefully not too many lives will be lost.
8 foot surge, minor floating debris at Ft. Myers Beach, Sanibel cam down.
I saw that clip of Amy. I can’t imagine even the dumbest voter thinking that makes any sense.
One of these days, someone will refine the Saffir-Simpson Scale.
FEMA and funds already sent to Florida.
Looks like the camera in Fort Myers the weather channels is using is just about to go under water..
000
WTNT64 KNHC 281659
TCUAT4
Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
100 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
...1 PM EDT IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
FLORIDA...
A River, Estuary, and Coastal Network station at Redfish Pass,
Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 75 mph (121 km/h) and
a wind gust of 100 mph (161 km/h), while a Weatherflow station near
Sanibel Island, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 77
mph (124 km/h) and a wind gust of 107 mph (172 km/h). The Earth
Networks Station at the Naples Grande Beach Resort recently
reported a wind gust of 112 mph (180 km/h.)
The Redfish Pass station has also reported a pressure of 969 mb
(28.61 inches).
SUMMARY OF 100 PM EDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
$$
Forecaster Beven
Thank you for your local report. Please stay safe and check in when you are able.
Prayers for them. It is times like these that make me think snowstorms aren’t so bad.
We had friends who moved to the Tampa area a couple years ago..Before they moved we talked about the hurricane factor. They basically blew it off. I suspect their minds were made up.
Prayers up for all Florida folks.
Personal estimate FT Myers beach surge currently at 9+ feet and Sanibel Island at 15+ feet.
Local news reported Naples wind gust 112 mph.
Expecting new channels cut through those barrier islands.
Bowman’s Beach was really something back then, and I spent many happy hours there. In August, you could swim out to just beyond the breakers off Ding Darling and find sand dollars galore by feeling them with your feet, then diving under to pick them up, sometimes finding a flounder by mistake, which was kind of exciting for us kids. We always put the sand dollars back because they were alive and there were always plenty of dead bleached ones to be found on the beach.
My Dad had fun catching lots of snook off the mangrove flats and I, being a kid, caught lots of redfish and sheepshead at Blind Pass. My mother amassed quite the shell collection. I marvelled at the huge floppy fins of the Tarpon towering over me as I bobbed in the water, loved to see them. So many good memories. We were always invited to dinner at the retired admiral’s house once a week, which was quite an occasion to me as a little girl. His housekeeper who served at the table was named Modess! It wasn’t until I was a teen that I realized why my parents found her name, er, unusual. Ah, we kids were so innocent back then.
On North Captiva, I had long amazing swim alongside a manatee, who kept looking over at me as if laughing and saying “can you keep up?” You don’t often see them on the Gulf side, but that big guy was having a blast and so was I.
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