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Will Russia Attack Poland Next?
American Thinker.com ^ | April 24, 2022 | James Nollet

Posted on 04/24/2022 4:19:57 AM PDT by Kaslin

The Australian version of 60 Minutes recently aired this 17-minute segment about the level of apprehension and preparation now going on in Poland over the possibility of war with Russia. According to it, Poland is taking the possibility of a Russian attack very seriously. The military is exercising near the border, and is actively expanding and mobilizing. And also, ordinary Poles are terrified about the possibility of war, and are making plans how to flee if worse comes to worst.

I disagree. I am an American expat who has lived in retirement in Poland since 2007. Admittedly I live in the western portion of Poland hundreds of miles from the Belarus and Ukraine borders; nevertheless I think I have my finger on the pulse of what Poland is really thinking. I have yet to meet one single person who is at all worried that Russia might attack Poland next. I think Aussie 60 Minutes cherry-picked the most frightened Poles it could find, and falsely made them representative of Poland as a whole.

The first question is, does Putin have any interest in attacking Poland and absorbing it into the greater Russian empire? Theoretically, he might.

There are two reasons why Putin decided to attack Ukraine. One of them, in a word, is NATO. To Putin, but really to any competent ruler of Russia, Ukraine in NATO is a red line, just as Russian missiles in Cuba in 1962 were a red line to JFK. NATO is why Putin attacked South Ossetia in 2008 – to prevent Gruzia (Georgia) from joining NATO – and is why he annexed Crimea in 2014, after the Maidan coup d’etat overthrew the pro-Russian government.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Russia
KEYWORDS: europe; poland; russia
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To: Kaslin
I predicted a month ago that if Russia were to attack a NATO ally it would likely be a tactical nuke aimed at the Gdansk shipyard.

They've already proven inept at conventional ground battle.

61 posted on 04/24/2022 7:46:35 AM PDT by G Larry (Anybody notice that Satan is hard at work?)
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Well, I received my secret cryptogram decoder ring from Ovaltine, and the message was that Russia and Germany are going to sign a non aggression pact, and when Russia invades eastern Poland, Germany will invade western Poland.


62 posted on 04/24/2022 7:47:12 AM PDT by Enterprise
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To: varyouga
Russians have been already stalled for 2 months and not making any progress far from the Russian border.

City of Primorsk - Zaporozhye Region


63 posted on 04/24/2022 8:17:19 AM PDT by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera )
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To: tired&retired
Poland is in NATO so I don’t see Russia crossing that line.

Me either. But if they do, the possibility of nuclear war is closer than ever, much closer.

64 posted on 04/24/2022 8:19:25 AM PDT by libertylover (Our BIGGEST problem, by far, is that most of the media is hate & agenda driven, not truth driven.)
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To: mac_truck

The waterfront is essentially the Russian border due to no resistance providing support along the water. That is, until the Moskva sinking...


65 posted on 04/24/2022 8:42:14 AM PDT by varyouga
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To: Jim Noble

“You seriously believe either Germany or the United States would go to war over Poland?”

Last century we had 4 two term Democrat Presidents. Every one was wishy washy and got us into a war.

Wilson... ran for re-election in 1916 based upon keeping us out of the war. Ended up in WWI.

FDR ran for re-election on the campaign slogan “No American Boots on Foreign Soil.” Got us into WWII.

Truman, finished FDR’s term, his second term, full escalation into the Korean War.

Johnson finished JFK’s term, then with the Gulf of Tonkin fake CIA fiasco, went full escalation into the Vietnam War so he could beat Goldwater in the election...

We could add Slick Willie as Number 5 as he created the Middle East fiasco that led to the 911 attacks...

It’s the wishy washy foreign policy that gets us into wars. Not the Trump, “We Are Not Telling What We Will Do” “but we will kick butt,” that keeps us out of wars.


66 posted on 04/24/2022 9:00:16 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: libertylover

My prediction is that Putin will enable Iran to attack Israel with a nuke. Russia will also attack from Syria.

Israel will respond with nukes.

China will step in to negotiate the “False Peace.”

This will happen well before the November mid term elections as an excuse to cancel the November elections.

AND, I HOPE I AM WRONG...


67 posted on 04/24/2022 9:05:04 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: Kaslin

No, it won’t attack Poland. Just stupid fear mongering propaganda.

Whatever it takes to keep support up for the State Department “regime change in Russia!” lunacy.

I hear Putin is hiding under our beds.


68 posted on 04/24/2022 10:08:24 AM PDT by Basket_of_Deplorables (Putin is behaving rationally.The war is on Biden and Obama. )
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To: Arlis

It’s only saber in its arsenal that is scary is its nukes - and its rattling them is indeed a concern - their last resort. But they know too that used of them is suicidal.

We hope.
——————
I do think we need to work on our nuclear deterrent. If Putin can so freely make nuke threats maybe we need to remind him what an effective deterrent is. Our weapons are old and Obama’s New Start agreement was a mistake having no mention of tactical nuclear weapons which Russia now has a 10X advantage.

And deterrence only matters in what your potential enemy thinks.


69 posted on 04/24/2022 10:48:36 AM PDT by Wildbill22 ( They have us surrounded again, the poor bastards- Gen Creighton William Abrams)
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To: ClearCase_guy

You’re correct. Russia is a dying country, that is White Christian Russia. It’s birth rate is declining. Putin really screwed the pooch on this one.

Invade Poland? Good God Poland has an army and an air force and centuries of resentment to Russians. The Poles aren’t going to roll over and right now Ivan’s got plenty of problems in Ukraine.


70 posted on 04/24/2022 11:34:03 AM PDT by jmacusa (America. Founded by geniuses. Now governed by idiots. )
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To: libertylover

It would be like the Soviet Union attacking West Berlin during the Cold War.


71 posted on 04/24/2022 12:10:32 PM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up! )
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To: delta7

“A people that elect corrupt politicians, imposters, thieves and traitors are not victims... but accomplices.” — George Orwell.


72 posted on 04/24/2022 12:19:56 PM PDT by hadit2here (We live in a time where intelligent people are being silenced so stupid people won’t be offended.)
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To: jmacusa; ClearCase_guy
 
 
Poland - YIPES. That's a no-go. Russkies would hit a buzzsaw there. Poland has a martial culture that has gradually expanded and become more sophisticated through the decades. The schools have a ROTC program on steroids - introduction on use and care of weapons and military culture at an early age. There's even popular military fairs that children attend where they can crawl around the vehicles, check out weapons and visit with the soldiers. Besides the regular military they also have a militia system of weekend warriors made up of guys and girls who train, train, train then train some more to not just get things right, but make sure they don't do it wrong. Sure the Russkies could do what they know how to do best, which is bomb/rocket/shell the place to rubble, but I wouldn't count on them being able to occupy it against a trained and motivated population with a viewpoint of old scores to settle.
 
 

73 posted on 04/24/2022 1:27:53 PM PDT by lapsus calami (What's that stink? Code Pink ! ! And their buddy Murtha, too!)
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To: Chad C. Mulligan

Ukraine has shown the world how new, cheap technology is changing the battlefield. The use of cheap drones eliminates the need for expensive jets and tanks. They are essentially changing the new way wars will be fought.

It’s obvious that these drones cannot be spotted by Russian radar. They are flying them over tracked AA vehicles and are not engaged. Now, the 40 yo Russian cruiser, Muskova has been sunk. This ship was touted as the most lethal vessel on the water outside US carriers. Either their crews are incompetent or their equipment is crap.


74 posted on 04/25/2022 7:53:20 AM PDT by DownInFlames (P)
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