Posted on 02/28/2022 8:10:18 PM PST by Mariner
A Russian military convoy that was outside of Ivankiv, Ukraine, on Sunday has since made it to the outskirts of Kyiv, satellite images show.
On Sunday, the convoy was roughly 40 miles northwest of the Ukrainian capital, according to images provided by Maxar Technologies.
Maxar said that roughly 17 miles of roadway is chocked full of the convoy, which consists of armored vehicles, tanks, towed artillery and other logistical vehicles.
The private US company said the convoy was located on the T-1011 highway at Antonov air base around 11:11 a.m local time.
Antonov is roughly 17 miles from the center of the Ukrainian capital.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov may have compelled the Russian theater commander in Ukraine, Army General Valery Gerasimov, to resume artillery ammunition distribution to Wagner forces in Bakhmut despite Gerasimov’s desired de-prioritization of that effort.
Kadyrov’s threats to transfer his forces to Bakhmut may have blackmailed the Russian military command into allocating ammunition to Wagner mercenaries.
Kadyrov likely supported Wagner's blackmail efforts against the Russian military command to reestablish his position within the circle of power of the Kremlin.
Gerasimov’s apparent need to negotiate with subordinate commanders and those commanders’ ability to force his hand suggests that chain of command problems are significantly impacting the Russian military's ability to conduct coherent theater-wide operations.
These events raise questions about Russia's ability to coordinate a coherent theater-wide defensive campaign.
Prigozhin’s and Kadyrov’s ability to significantly influence Russian military command decisions relies on Putin's willingness to appease them and his reliance on their forces – both of which will likely degrade after further blackmail efforts.
Prigozhin’s continued fight to complete the capture of Bakhmut contradicts his consistent narrative that capturing Bakhmut lacks strategic value.
Russian forces continued limited offensive operations northeast of Kupyansk and south of Kreminna.
Russian forces made some territorial gains in Bakhmut as of May 7 and continued limited offensive operations on the Avdiivka-Donetsk front.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces launched up to 23 drones at Crimea on the night of May 6 to 7.
Russian federal subjects are continuing to recruit and form regional armed formations and volunteer battalions.
Russian occupation authorities continue to plan and carry out forced evacuations from Zaporizhia Oblast.
Read the interesting details:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-7-2023
https://twitter.com/RealTimeWWII/status/1655285939801927683
Tomorrow, May 9th, the Russians will “celebrate” their Victory Day...
Ukrainian intelligence warns of Victory Day provocations by Russia.
Moscow might stage false-flag attacks against Russian and Belarusian populations around May 9, Ukraine’s General Intelligence Directorate chief Andrii Usov, said at a briefing on May 7.
https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1655221662118289408
Several videos from Bakhmut https://twitter.com/Danspiun
What would the dress-code for Kadyrovites filming TikToks in Bakhmut be?
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1655241832035663872
Last sale was $2,868
https://stockx.com/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-jacquard-denim-trucker-jacket-camo
“Pack your bags, you’re leaving!” - Russia announced forced evacuation of residents in temporarily occupied Tokmak, Zaporizhzhia region.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1655610389655085057
Article 49 of the 1949 Geneva Convention IV provides: “Individual or mass forcible transfers, as well as deportations of protected persons from occupied territory to the territory of the Occupying Power or to that of any other country, occupied or not, are prohibited…
another crime against humanity same as was done to Chechens , Crimea Tatars in ‘44 or Western Ukrainians ‘47
A new type of Russian air defense?
By the way, what's up with Lukashenko?
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1655550738590826496
Pick your double: 
Russian forces conducted another large-scale missile and drone strike against Ukraine on the night of May 7 to 8.
Russian-occupied Transnistria called on Russia to increase its peacekeepers in the region likely to support the Kremlin's efforts to destabilize Moldova.
Russian President Vladimir Putin is attempting to use the Victory Day parade to show Russia's continued influence in Central Asia.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks on the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russian forces have made marginal advances within Bakhmut as of May 8 amid reports of intensified Wagner Group forces offensive operations and continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
Russian forces continued defensive operations in southern Ukraine.
Russian authorities have reportedly escalated their campaign targeting ethnic minorities for contract service in the Russian military.
Russian occupation authorities continued to forcibly evacuate civilians in rear areas in Kherson and Zaporizhia oblasts.
Senior Ukrainian officials indicated that Ukrainian forces may be preparing to conduct counteroffensive operations in May or June. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on May 7 that Ukrainian forces are preparing for “new events” in May or June 2023.[5] Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Volodymyr Havrylov stated in a May 8 interview that the timing and location of a Ukrainian counteroffensive is not significant because Russian forces and leadership will panic regardless, but that he would not be surprised if “something,” possibly alluding to Ukrainian counteroffensive operations, occurred in May or June.[6] The Ukrainian Defense Forces Military Media Center stated that Russian forces continue to transfer military equipment, ammunition, and supplies to Ukraine to prepare for a defensive operation against a Ukrainian counteroffensive push.[7]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-8-2023
Visually confirmed Russian tank losses during the:
First Chechen War: 192
Second Chechen War: 23
Russo-Georgian War: 3
Russo-Ukrainian War: 1937
https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1655850845404123137
Putin’s fascist regime is offering 5,000 rubles ($64) to each subject that will show up for the May 9th parade and march in military uniform pretending to be a soldier.
Requirements: 19-25 years old, at least 175cm (5’9”) tall, Slavic appearance, “stylish.”
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1655635554174894080
Today, be sure to remind every Russian you know that Stalin was allied with Hitler, started WW2 together, got betrayed, had his ass handed to him by Hitler, and was rescued by the United States with hundreds of billions in military equipment and even basics like food for millions
https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1655811096484216832
The original annual military parade on the Red Square was held on May 1st - the International Worker's Day. In 1941, Stalin had special guests of honor at the Kremlin for the occasion - Hitler's Nazis - the Soviet Union's allies.
Background on the secret Molotov-Ribbentrop alliance between the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany, signed in 1939. Hitler invaded the Soviet Union just 1.5 months after his representatives attended Stalin's May 1st military parade on the Red Square.
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