Posted on 02/28/2022 8:10:18 PM PST by Mariner
A Russian military convoy that was outside of Ivankiv, Ukraine, on Sunday has since made it to the outskirts of Kyiv, satellite images show.
On Sunday, the convoy was roughly 40 miles northwest of the Ukrainian capital, according to images provided by Maxar Technologies.
Maxar said that roughly 17 miles of roadway is chocked full of the convoy, which consists of armored vehicles, tanks, towed artillery and other logistical vehicles.
The private US company said the convoy was located on the T-1011 highway at Antonov air base around 11:11 a.m local time.
Antonov is roughly 17 miles from the center of the Ukrainian capital.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
It is interesting that the losses of Russian fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters are about the same. If the Ukrainian ADA were not so effective and the Russians could use their large helicopter gunships freely it would provide the invaders with a decisive advantage in supporting their deliberate short goal offensives.
https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1639299433811828738The
Russian authorities have kidnapping a 12 year old Russian girl in Russia
Russian authorities have kidnapped a 12-year-old Russian girl in Russia, that is, they are expanding the target areas from Ukraine to Russia.
Ýou have to watch this
Steve Rosenberg: Our interview with Alexander Lukashenko has won the Royal Television Society Network Interview of the Year award. An honour for us & a real team effort with my superb colleagues
@BBCWillVernon @mattgodtv @AntonChicherov. Here’s an excerpt.
https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/1631203661937254401
Full interview https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdxBOOnVgnY
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1639390679670374403
They have weapons, but can’t think of using them against their biggest threat and instead “write” a letter to the Tsar.
Now, we have this:
During the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, on 1 March, Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian Mi-35M helicopter with MANPADS, in the Kyiv Reservoir (see also Battle of Kyiv). On 5 May 2022, the helicopter was retrieved by Ukrainian engineers in Vyshgorod. Two Russian Mi-35 were shot down by a MANPADS on 5 March 2022. On 6 March, one Mi-24P with registration number RF-94966 was shot down by Ukrainian MANPADS in Kyiv Oblast. On 8 March 2022 one Ukrainian Mil Mi-24 from the Ukrainian 16th Army Aviation Brigade [uk] was lost over Brovary, Kyiv. Pilots Col. Oleksandr Maryniak and Cptn. Ivan Bezzub were killed. On 17 March a Russian Mi-35M was reported destroyed by Ukrainian Ministry of Defence, unknown location. On 1 April 2022, two Ukrainian Mi-24s reportedly entered Russia and attacked an oil storage facility in Belgorod.
Nord Stream attack
New trail leads to Russia Russian military ships headed for Nord Stream pipelines with gripper-arm submarines
A week before the explosions on September 19, the Russian Baltic Fleet began extensive maneuvers that could be used as camouflage for real missions. They were officially joined by combat swimmers from the 313th Spetsnaz special forces unit from the Baltiysk base in Kaliningrad. They are elite soldiers, trained for underwater demolition and sabotage operations. In the following days, the suspicious ships were apparently found in the area of the crime scenes.
Their equipment was explosive: they had a mini submarine and cranes for lifting heavy loads. A frigate, a corvette and a smaller spy ship are said to have been there and would have been suitable to secure the operation militarily. Using position databases and satellite images, t-online was able to partially understand the movements of the specific ships.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 25, 2023
Russian President Vladimir Putin launched the predictable next information operation to discourage Ukrainian resistance and disrupt Western support for Ukraine as Russian offensives culminate and Ukraine prepares to launch counter-offensives in an interview with a state-owned Russian news channel on March 25.
Putin pushed the false narrative that the West cannot sustain weapons provision to Ukraine due to limited Western production and hyperbolized Russia’s potential to mobilize its own defense industrial base (DIB).
Putin advanced another information operation by announcing that Russia will deploy tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus by July 1 and renewed tired information operations about the potential for nuclear escalation.
Russian conventional forces may intervene in Wagner Group’s offensive around Bakhmut to prevent the offensive from culminating prematurely.
Russian forces do not have the degree of fire control over Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) to Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and likely other areas of the front that Russian milbloggers claim.
Russian forces conducted limited attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russian forces continued to conduct ground attacks in and around Bakhmut and gained limited ground in the city.
Russian forces reportedly conducted a mass rotation of forces in Nova Kakhovka on the east (left) bank of the Dnipro River.
Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin accused Russian authorities on March 25 of rewriting history to cut out Wagner by forcing state-controlled media outlet RT to cut some coverage of the Wagner Group.
The Ukrainian Resistance Center reported on March 24 that Moscow elites are competing for funding to “restore” occupied territories and really plan to use the projects to further their own interests.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-25-2023
Lets take a tour around Bakhmut with Max, a Sergeant Major of the 125th Brigade of the Territorial Defense Forces of Lviv❤️
https://twitter.com/SlavaUk30722777/status/1639953547956715520
A great insight from an intelligent, articulate hero
1/ Another account has been published of Russia's disastrous attempt to seize Vuhledar last month using poorly trained and equipped mobilised soldiers. One man says only three out of his unit of 300 survived, having been sent to fight with “bare hands”. ⬇️
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 26, 2023
Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar called for informational silence regarding a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive.[14]
Russian milbloggers largely amplified and praised Russian President Vladimir Putin’s March 25 information operations.[15] One milblogger claimed that the deployment of nuclear weapons does not change Russia’s military situation in Ukraine or need to defend against a future Ukrainian counteroffensive, however.[16]
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks on the Svatove-Kreminna line.[17] Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated that Russian and Ukrainian forces fought 10 battles in the Kupyansk-Lyman direction.[18]
Russian forces continued attacking Bakhmut and its environs and made marginal gains within the city.[19] Russian sources claimed that Wagner Group forces cleared the AZOM plant in northern Bakhmut.[20]
Russian forces continued attacking along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line and made marginal gains within Marinka.[21] Ukrainian intelligence stated that Wagner Group forces may arrive in the Avdiivka direction.[22]
Russian forces continued routine fire against areas in Zaporizhia, Kherson, and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.[23] Head of the Ukrainian United Coordination Press Center of the Southern Defense Forces Nataliya Humenyuk stated that Russian forces in southern Ukraine lack adequate supplies of missiles and drones.[24]
Russian sources reported the formation of the “Uragan” volunteer battalion of the irregular formation 1st “Wolves” Sabotage and Reconnaissance Brigade, which operates in the Avdiivka area.[25]
United Russia Secretary Andrey Turchak announced the proposal of a draft law on March 24 that would allow families of employees of the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) who died in the war to be eligible to receive a one-time housing payment.[26]
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian occupation authorities in Berdyansk in occupied Zaporizhia Oblast are requiring locals to obtain passes from the occupation administration by April 1 in order to move around occupied Zaporizhia Oblast.[27]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-26-2023
The Army of Moldova will conduct joint military exercises (JCET-2023) with colleagues from Romania, the United States and Great Britain. As noted, the training will take place in the training centers of the National Army from March 27 to April 7.
During this period, it will be possible to notice the movement of military equipment on the roads, when the military will go from the places of permanent deployment to the training centers. Military exercises “JCET 2023” are aimed at joint training and exchange of experience between soldiers of the Moldovan, Romanian, American, and British special forces, as well as increasing the level of operational interaction between the participating contingents.
Source: https://censor.net/en/n3408351
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 27, 2023
Rumors about the dismissal of Russian Eastern Group of Forces (Eastern Military District) Commander Colonel General Rustam Muradov on March 27 generated a muted and cynical response in the Russian information space.
Russian milbloggers also had a muted response to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s March 25 announcement to deploy tactical nukes to Belarus, underscoring that Putin’s messaging is aimed at Western rather than domestic Russian audiences.
Russian military leadership likely committed limited higher quality Wagner Group elements to the offensive on Avdiivka, potentially to reinforce recent limited tactical successes in the area.
Russian forces made marginal gains around Svatove and Russian forces continue ground attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russian forces continued ground attacks in and around Bakhmut and made gains within Bakhmut.
Russian forces continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
Russia appears to be increasingly deploying elements of conventional formations in a piecemeal fashion along the entire frontline, including in southern Ukraine.
Russian authorities continue forming new volunteer battalions subordinate to irregular formations.
Ukrainian partisans conducted an improvised explosive device (IED) attack against an occupation law enforcement officer in Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-27-2023
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