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s It Time For Conservatives To Support A National Popular Vote?
Townhall.com ^ | April 19, 2021 | Scott Morefield

Posted on 04/19/2021 4:15:50 AM PDT by Kaslin

When most conservatives think of the Electoral College, they think of one of the last bastions holding back the hordes of Democratic voters just frothing at the mouth to take away our liberties and turn us into a socialist, commie-lite one-party police state.

It’s only natural, considering that the last two instances where a U.S. president lost the popular vote yet won thanks to the current system came in 2000 with George W. Bush and 2016 with Donald Trump. Had we been under a popular vote system and Al Gore had won reelection in 2004, we could have conceivably been looking at 32 years of unimpeded Democratic Party rule, and the utter collapse of our Republic. You think things look bad now, imagine how bad it could have been, or so goes the logic.

I get it. The founders weren’t big fans of pure democracies and put safeguards in place to prevent the majority from overriding the minority. Hence, the Senate, where large and small states each get to send two, the Constitution, which can only be amended with the approval of three-fourths of the states, and the Electoral College, whereby electors from each state get to decide who the president is. With the office of the presidency seemingly becoming more consequential with each occupant, turning the choice of the world’s most powerful person over to the unimpeded will of the easily swayed masses seems like a risky proposition.

On the other hand, the current system seems pretty precarious too for conservatives, particularly given the results of the last election. Yes, President Joe Biden won the popular vote by 7 million votes, but he also won the Electoral College 306-232, a margin former President Donald Trump considered a “massive landslide victory” even as he lost the popular vote in 2016.

After voting Republican in six straight elections from 1968-1988, only George W. Bush in 2004 has won New Mexico for the GOP. Virginia, once a Republican bastion, turned blue in 2008 and hasn’t looked back. Georgia and Arizona have ‘officially’ turned purple, voting narrowly for Democrats in 2020. Texas, an absolute must-win for Republicans, hasn’t voted blue since 1976, but the margin grows slimmer each election cycle. Donald Trump won the state with only 52.07% of the vote in 2020.

In most if not all of those states, demographic changes brought about by both internal and external immigration have irrevocably shifted things left. If Texas goes, and many political analysts see that happening by 2028 at the latest, it will be structurally impossible for a Republican nominee to gain enough Electoral College votes to win the presidency. In fact, while Republicans have won the Electoral College but lost the popular vote twice in the past two decades, the opposite happening in the coming cycles is a more than conceivable scenario.

But that would never happen, you say, citing as ‘evidence’ that Republicans haven’t won a popular vote contest since 2004. Yes, but as Trump has pointed out, Republicans also have not been PLAYING to win the popular vote, which is an entirely different ‘game’ than campaigning non-stop in a few swing states.

If you’re a Republican in a state like California, for example, might you consider staying home, knowing you’re severely outnumbered by millions of wokists and your vote really doesn’t matter in the national scheme of things? Sure, maybe there’s a member of Congress you’d like to see elected, but is electing Devin Nunes (as good as he is) a reason to brave the traffic, the potholes, and the odds of getting mugged? I would say so, but are there some who might be on the fence, some who would be more likely to make an effort to make their voices heard if they knew their vote would be applied to electing the occupant of the highest office in the land? It’s hard to imagine not.

So in that sense, a national popular vote wouldn’t just ramp up voter participation, it could also conceivably help down-ballot party members in ways that are hard to anticipate and possibly good for congressional Republicans in blue states.

Of course, the retort to that is that Democrats could do the same in red states. That’s right, they could. But there is some evidence that Republicans could have more to gain with a national popular vote. For example, Oklahoma, a solidly red state, ranked dead last in voter participation for 2020. How many otherwise non-voting Oklahomans would jump at the chance to cancel out the vote of a New York Democratic socialist? I don’t know, but it’s probably more than a few.

And that’s really the point, after all. The presidential election is a national event, and it seems like it should be treated as such. Instead, the current system sees presidential candidates campaigning in, and making promises to, swing states only. In 2020, Michigan, Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and North Carolina received the bulk of campaign visits, while states like Montana, Tennessee, Alabama, Oregon, Washington, and many more received a grand total of … zero.

In fact, 12 states received fully 96% of the general election campaign visits. If you’re a resident of one of those states, think you might have gotten a campaign promise or three? Conversely, how many campaign promises did Kentuckians receive? I live in Tennessee, and I don’t remember either Biden or Trump lobbying for my vote or promising me a damned thing. And worse, what does a president in office do when they know they must win, say, Michigan, in order to have a shot at a second term? Might this come at the expense of residents of another state? Wouldn’t it be better if ideas were vetted based on how they impacted the entire country instead of just a few states?

Sure, there are potential drawbacks, but one of them isn’t that it’s unconstitutional. The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact has already been enacted into law by the legislatures of 16 states, a power that the Constitution clearly grants. You might point out that those states are all currently run by Democrats, and you’d be correct. However, it’s also gaining traction in red states like Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee.

As Democrats cement their stranglehold on power, look for more and more Republicans to sign on to this idea as a last-ditch measure to open the playing field and try to beat Democrats by forcing them to defend their noxious ideas all over the map instead of just a few places. Hell, what have we got to lose?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: donaldtrump; electoralcollege; georgewbush
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To: Kaslin

NO!

The EC was put in place for a reason. And the founders have been shown, time and time again, to have known what they were doing.


21 posted on 04/19/2021 4:35:38 AM PDT by AFreeBird
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To: Kaslin

Popular vote is BS. It is anti-Constitutional and anti-American.


22 posted on 04/19/2021 4:36:22 AM PDT by BuffaloJack (Neither safety nor security exists in nature. Everything is dangerous and has risk.)
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To: Kaslin

“The presidential election is a national event, and it seems like it should be treated as such.”

What is this guy, 12 years old?


23 posted on 04/19/2021 4:37:06 AM PDT by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: Kaslin

Wow. Did you know...

“Yes, President Joe Biden won the popular vote by 7 million votes, but he also won the Electoral College 306-232”


24 posted on 04/19/2021 4:37:35 AM PDT by moovova (Yo GOP....we won't forget.)
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To: Kaslin

no


25 posted on 04/19/2021 4:39:50 AM PDT by Ken Regis
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To: Kaslin

NEVER. And while it’s fresh in our minds, repeal the 17th


26 posted on 04/19/2021 4:41:25 AM PDT by Vaquero ( Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you. )
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To: Sparky1776

Correct. It would greatly increase cheating in dimocrat area


27 posted on 04/19/2021 4:47:00 AM PDT by Josa
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To: Kaslin

The EC and 2nd Amendment are the only things keeping America from being a mob-ruled society!

Removal of either of these would be the last step to our ultimate demise as a “civil” society!

No! NO! H@LL NO!


28 posted on 04/19/2021 4:52:44 AM PDT by ExTxMarine (Diversity is tolerance; diverse points of views will not be tolerated.)
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To: Kaslin
Georgia and Arizona have ‘officially’ turned purple.

In the case of Arizona it is because of mail in voting. RATs have been stealing it since then. They have been fighting tooth and nail to prevent an audit of the last election .They know it will crumble their whole damn crime syndicate after it proves just how EVIL they truly are.

29 posted on 04/19/2021 4:53:39 AM PDT by Nateman (Keep Liberty Alive! Article V!)
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To: Kaslin

This is the dumbest article I’ve ever seen town hall publish, and I’ve seen them publish some dumb ones. Since the author asked, here’s why it’s a bad idea:

1) Voter fraud, which has become a primary concern for folks on the right in elections, will be incentivized by NPV. This does nothing to ensure that one citizen, one vote, one time is adhered to, and it opens the doors to so much confusion and standing issues that it would make legal challenges impossible.

2) even if voter fraud isn’t a thing, as Dems long claim it isn’t, the last election was a prime case study why nationalizing elections is bad. Dems leveraged high population areas with leaning on judges, tweaking rules, and selectively applying regulations to favor Dem concentration areas and “help” turnout in areas where it meant the most to turn a national election. Republicans, typically, were unprepared and unable to stop it. If NPV passes, Dems won’t have to play these games in areas where they may get caught, they’ll do it in NYC, LA and Chicago where a republican won’t even be able to get within 50 feet of a courthouse to challenge an election twisting rule.

3) Republicans haven’t won any of the territory back on the legal front they’d need to even be competitive at the national level in an NPV scenario. They’d be starting from behind with challenging voter roles, ballot collection and curing rules, etc...

4) since republicans have long ago ceded blue areas to the Dems outright, or in places like Philly ceded challenges to outright Dem control in favor of patronage carveouts to keep them fat and happy, they have a structural disadvantage to be competitive in urban areas for an NPV. It doesn’t mean they can’t compete, it means they’d have to get staff and supporters in higher density population areas in place and able to work effectively first. If they don’t want to do that now, they’re not going to suddenly start.

5) the Dems have been dishonestly pushing this idea for years. Dishonestly. They’re not going to earnestly help out republican concerns now.


30 posted on 04/19/2021 4:55:39 AM PDT by jz638
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To: Kaslin

Never !


31 posted on 04/19/2021 4:56:28 AM PDT by griswold3
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To: Kaslin

Simple answer. NO

Hell No


32 posted on 04/19/2021 4:58:34 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Candor7
Townhall has really gone downhill lately.
33 posted on 04/19/2021 5:01:04 AM PDT by liberalh8ter (The only difference between flash mob 'urban yutes' and U.S. politicians is the hoodies.)
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To: Kaslin

“...particularly given the results of the last election. Yes, President Joe Biden won the popular vote by 7 million votes, but he also won the Electoral College 306-232, a margin former President Donald Trump considered a “massive landslide victory” even as he lost the popular vote in 2016.”

Assuming anyone with two functioning brain cells actually believes the last election was legitimate.

Myself and almost 80,000,000 Americans do not.


34 posted on 04/19/2021 5:05:08 AM PDT by billyboy15 (')
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To: Kaslin

Morefield is as fool. He questions a brilliant constitutional concept in terms of whether or not it will benefit a political party.

I won’t be reading his “work” any more.


35 posted on 04/19/2021 5:11:54 AM PDT by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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To: cranked

How long did it take to write this crap?


36 posted on 04/19/2021 5:15:12 AM PDT by abbastanza
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To: Candor7
We finally found those missing Trump ballots!


37 posted on 04/19/2021 5:21:56 AM PDT by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Kaslin

Barf alert?


38 posted on 04/19/2021 5:36:48 AM PDT by bk1000 (Banned from Breitbart)
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To: Kaslin

No and Hell no


39 posted on 04/19/2021 5:37:12 AM PDT by stockpirate (Rebellion to tyranny is obedience to God")
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To: Kaslin
Hell, what have we got to lose?

The Constitution and our entire system of limited gummint?

40 posted on 04/19/2021 5:42:51 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE ALL MOOSELIMB TERRORISTS, NOW.)
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