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Analyst says ‘Biden would not intervene if China invaded Taiwan’
Taiwan Times ^ | 11/09/2020 | Keoni Everington

Posted on 11/11/2020 12:30:18 AM PST by Ymani Cricket

Copley predicts China will start by taking Dongsha Islands, followed by Kinmen, Matsu to create 'de facto surrender'

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — An Australian analyst on Thursday (Nov. 5) predicted that the U.S. will not intervene if China invades Taiwan during the Biden administration.

"With vote-counting still underway and the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential election uncertain on Thursday, conservative radio talk show host John Batchelor asked Australian historian, author, and strategic analyst Gregory R. Copley to give his take on American foreign policy under a Biden presidency.

"Copley, who is president of the International Strategic Studies Association (ISSA), asserted that under Biden, Russia and China would "move into Europe," negotiations with the Palestinian Authority would begin, and the Iran deal would be restored."

He also stated that China's seizure of territory in the South China Sea will increase and that the country could take military action against Taiwan — without intervention by the U.S.

When asked whether Biden would return to Obama-era policies when dealing with China, Copley agreed, alleging that "Nobody has worked harder for the election of the Biden administration than Xi Jinping and the Communist Party of China." He claimed that China devoted resources toward the election of Biden because his victory would provide relief from the "pressures which the Trump administration was putting on them."

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Read more at link

(Excerpt) Read more at taiwannews.com.tw ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: china; dongshaislands; election; taiwan
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To: Ymani Cricket

Taiwan would do well to start mobilising in January ready for the storm to come.


41 posted on 11/11/2020 3:37:49 AM PST by sinsofsolarempirefan
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To: FroggyTheGremlim

LOL, China ain’t going to conquer India. India’s soldiers are of much higher quality, and they’d have to break through the Himalayas, which would be guarded, amongst others, by Gurkhas, Nepalese warriors who grew up in the mountains.


42 posted on 11/11/2020 3:41:21 AM PST by sinsofsolarempirefan
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To: Old Yeller

I have a general comment to make.
I’m not really talking about Taiwan.
I’m not really talking about relative strengths of the US military vs Chinese military.

China owns a lot of our politicians, basically all of our media, and some of our military leadership. If we ever got into a hot war with China (over Taiwan, India, or any other topic) we would, to say the least, be fighting with one arm tied behind our back. Powerful American forces would be working hard to make sure we lost the war.


43 posted on 11/11/2020 3:45:15 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: Ymani Cricket

China will be *the* big winner if SCOTUS allows the Rats to steal this one.


44 posted on 11/11/2020 3:49:48 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (BLM Stands For "Bidens Loot Millions"!)
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To: Ymani Cricket

Just one of many areas where the bodies would begin to heap up, until the Nobel Committee would just have to award Biden the Peace Prize...


45 posted on 11/11/2020 3:52:10 AM PST by BeauBo
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To: BeauBo

I have many Vietnamese friends who have family in Vietnam. The people of Vietnam strongly support the President as they despise China, and fear that China will steamroll Southeast Asia under a toady Biden regime. While Obama is destroying the American economy and healthcare system, the Chicoms will continue their expansionism through Asia.


46 posted on 11/11/2020 3:57:01 AM PST by littleharbour ("You take on the intel community they have six ways from Sunday at getting back at you" C. Schumer)
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To: Jonty30

>>Even if was inclined to do something, China would blackmail him into silence<<

They already have him by the gonads and they know it. How freaking sad that we are sitting on this ledge.


47 posted on 11/11/2020 3:58:38 AM PST by servantboy777
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To: Ymani Cricket
That's the first thing I thought of - Biden will off up Taiwan to the Red Chinese as a "peace offering".

New wars in the Middle-east and south China Sea.
Welcome to the Biden Administration you Leftist idiots.

48 posted on 11/11/2020 4:04:20 AM PST by Psalm 73 ("You'll never hear surf music again" - J. Hendrix)
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To: Ymani Cricket

Now, I’m sure Xi will allow Biden to make some limp-wristed protest to the UN. But that’ll be it.


49 posted on 11/11/2020 4:05:23 AM PST by shaven_llama
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To: Ymani Cricket

Poor Taiwan. Nothing will save her now.


50 posted on 11/11/2020 4:05:53 AM PST by Theodore R.
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To: Ymani Cricket

Yep.

But.... Orange Man Bad. /eyeroll


51 posted on 11/11/2020 4:14:45 AM PST by sauropod (Let them eat kale. I will not comply. Sic semper evello mortem tyrannis.)
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To: BeauBo

True dat.


52 posted on 11/11/2020 4:23:35 AM PST by sauropod (Let them eat kale. I will not comply. Sic semper evello mortem tyrannis.)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

I looked up the April Glaspie thing. You seem to be right. The Bush 43 administration made unwarranted assumptions about Hussain’s Iraq having a bias away from “foreign adventurism”. This was wishful thinking from an administration fantasizing about rolling back Reagan’s advancements in the size and strength of the U.S. military and discrediting Reagan’s theory of “peace through strength”, which had it that the stronger we look, objectively speaking, to other countries, as they thumb through the most recently published pages of Jane’s Defense during their spare time and go wide-eyed at what they’re reading about the U.S., the less likely it is that guys like Iraq’s Hussain or Russia’s Putin will begin dreaming about strolling into their immediate neighbors’ territory and saying “Thanks, but we’re in charge now.”

In other words, the biggest reason Trump accomplished what was thought to be impossible and actually avoided dragging us into any new foreign conflicts during his first four years is the fear and apprehension he induced in the hearts and minds of the leaders of the many countries around the world that are not necessarily well-disposed toward U.S. interests (not to mention Trump having spurred a similar dynamic with our so-called friends and allies that persuaded them to quickly ramp up their defense spending, sharpen their domestic fiscal policies, and institute plans for improving the performance of their domestic economies, once they became convinced that Trump would not think twice about repudiating longstanding agreements like NATO and NAFTA and the Paris Accords etc. that no longer served U.S. economic, self-defense or foreign policy interests, if they ever did).

I see Trump as having accomplished this in two main ways. First, he exhibited a healthy enthusiasm for bigly beefing up our military in the wake of twenty-five years of self-imposed anemia that flowed from “Pax Americana”-style thinking unbefitting a country with superpower status in an inherently dangerous modern world thay any teenager at the time with the raw data could easily have seen was, net-net, tilted against U.S. interests. There were simply too many jealous and corrupt tin-pot dictators camped out at too many sketchy spots around the world champing at the bit to boost the revenues of their respective local crime syndicates for us here in the U.S.A. to justify taking a financial vacation of indeterminate length from the admittedly budget-busting strategy Reagan used to face down and wear down the Soviet Union and win the Cold War. I still remember Reagan walking out on the Soviets during strategic negotiations in Reykjavic, Iceland over the Soviets’ obsession with the SDI. Reagan handled Gorbachev like a boss, much to the disappointment of the State Department bureaucrats.

Second, Trump brought with him into the U.S. executive branch his reliance on the strategy of introducing into the minds of those sitting on the other side of the negotiating table utter indecision as to what Trump would do next, or as to which direction Trump would go, if his interlocutors started going wobbly or slow-walking the talks. This, plus a well-known standing policy of being ready, willing, and able to walk away from the negotiating table at any time with no agreement at all if that was what it took to persuade the other side of the fruitlessness of playing games with his administration or attempting to overreach, meant that Trump simply could not be rolled like prior administrations could. Most countries, China included, as well as other large foreign entities like OPEC, seem to have responded by shelving their longstanding policies of playing the U.S. like a fool and enriching themselves at our expense by taking advantage of our unique combination of great wealth and stunning naiveté, and replacing such shenanigans with a more businesslike approach of getting in, trying to get the best deal possible with Trump, getting out within a reasonable amount of time, and simply moving on.


53 posted on 11/11/2020 4:36:40 AM PST by one guy in new jersey
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To: Ymani Cricket

Biden is an appeaser. And we all know how that plays out.


54 posted on 11/11/2020 4:49:34 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Ymani Cricket

Time to dust off your copy of White Lotus — or go here:
https://www.amazon.com/White-Lotus-John-Hersey/dp/0394451716

Whereby China conquers the USA and takes Americans for slave labor.

Hersey, who was born in China, wrote A Bell for Adano, The Algiers Motel Incident, and Hiroshima.


55 posted on 11/11/2020 5:43:03 AM PST by Buttons12
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To: nathanbedford

You’re right.


56 posted on 11/11/2020 7:12:16 AM PST by BeauBo
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To: Ymani Cricket

And then we have this...

“Over two billion people speak English (as of the 2000s), making English the largest language by number of speakers, and the third largest language by number of native speakers.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/English-speaking_world

If you want to peeve off a ChiComm ape, tell him that the Chinese language is only good for ordering chop suey. Then tell the ChiComm ape that the Chinese are so stupid that they don’t know how to make chop suey. Then when the ChiComm ape fires back that the Chinese don’t make chop suey, tell him I told you that the Chinese were stupid.

(I love culture wars.)


57 posted on 11/11/2020 8:01:27 AM PST by sergeantdave (Teach a man to fish and he'll steal your gear and sell it)
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To: Ymani Cricket

Taiwan and Japan become nuclear states Jan 2021. Probably Saudi also. Biden will win the Nobel Peace Prize right before WW3 in 2021 or 2022. Or we can go with PDJT.


58 posted on 11/11/2020 9:58:16 AM PST by wgmalabama (I will post less and thinking more from here on out. If this is Gods judgement, then so let it be.)
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To: Whenifhow; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; ...

p


59 posted on 11/11/2020 10:29:16 AM PST by bitt (Well gosh, it is beginning to look like rock bottom had a basement to it)
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To: Ymani Cricket

No kidding? You mean all that money Xi invested in biden will pay off? Whoda thunk it?


60 posted on 11/11/2020 10:30:20 AM PST by null and void (A republic ... if you can keep it.)
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