Posted on 11/01/2020 10:30:54 AM PST by rintintin
Joe Biden will become "an underdog" if he fails to win Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes, FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver said on ABC's "This Week" Sunday.
Why it matters: Trump won the battleground by less than a point in 2016, as he narrowly swept swing states in the Rust Belt to secure victory in the Electoral College. FiveThirtyEight's average of polls currently shows Biden with a 5% lead in Pennsylvania.
What he's saying: Silver told "This Week" that if Trump ends up winning the election, "it would come down to Pennsylvania."
"Pennsylvania has not bumped up to a 7- or 8-point Biden lead like we see in Michigan and Wisconsin. It's 5 points. It's not a big early voting state, so a lot of votes have not yet been cast in Pennsylvania," Silver said.
(Excerpt) Read more at axios.com ...
Nate is back-tracking....
PA belongs to the president by several percentage points—above the level of possibility for real-world fraud...
So Nate knows how this is going to end...
and Nate is looking for a side exit so he can sneak out and hope nobody notices..
That he is a f&^%ing leftist lying dirtbag!
Biden says he’s ending fracking and reliance on fossil fuels. How could anyone in Pennsylvania vote for that?
I had a Biden campaign worker ring my doorbell today and I told him I will NEVER vote for Biden, he looked like a kicked dog so I can only hope he’s getting the same answer over and over and over again.
Nate is a weasel doing what weasels do.
Liberalism is a mental disorder.
Why the worry? Thought HideyHo was up by 50 points nationally and leading every state including Texas? And, doesn’t 538 state that HideyHo has a 99.99% chance of winning?
Without PA, Biden is toast.
Nate built his reputation calling two of the most obvious election results in recent times.
Nate is full of $hit........Biteme and Super spreader are not 7 points ahead in either state mentioned in his blathering, they are 2 points BEHIND.
First time in nearly 40 YEARS...Pittsburgh Post-Gazette endorses a Republican - President @realDonaldTrump !!
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3900624/posts
This guy. I feel like the leftists who follow him are the wannabe data-wonks who look at it for comfort food/also feel like they are smarter than anyone else, yet when has he been correct since Obama? And now he’s creating his out for if he is wrong, give me a break.
“Biden says he’s ending fracking and reliance on fossil fuels. How could anyone in Pennsylvania vote for that?”
A lot of Gimmicrats in the PA big cities. Millennial Tree Huggers with zero common sense. Old school Dems who refuse to believe where their Party has moved to. PA isn’t a slam dunk.
Biden is up by 7 in Wisconsin and MI per nate???
Is that what others are seeing
2016: Trump wins by 68k votes-that’s 1.2%. Libertarian Gary Johnson took 2.4%-that’s 142k. No Libertarian to speak of this time. I say Trump gets 50+%.
Agree. Trump’s narrow win in PA last time was as an unproven candidate. I can’t see a thing that he’s done/not done since that would make PA folks say, naah, we’ll go with the guy who wants to “transition” our jobs away.
LOL I havent seen a backtrack this fast since Biden called Trump a xenophobe for closing down flights from China then changing his mind a month later..Nate doesn’t want to eat massive and I mean MASSIVE CROW on election day, he knows whats up
He’s probably just stepping away from the numbers and looking at the bigger picture. It’s not about Pennsylvania’s 20 EVs. He just figures it is highly unlikely for Biden to lose PA without also having already lost a whole bunch of other competitive states.
Nate’s being fed more poles than he can handle, which is obviously clouding his judgement.
Nate is a Leftist back
Some of his tweets read like a CNN anchor
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