Posted on 10/29/2020 6:10:44 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 631,436
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 424,522
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 206,914
I just love these dems....they truly are brainless....:-) Pete Buttigieg was on Fox as a surrogate for the Biden campaign and this was his analysis of the race.
@PeteButtigieg
: “I’m not even sure if those visits from DT are really helping him though, right? Like, you look at Omaha, he left his supporters out freezing in the cold, which is a great metaphor for how he’s treated his supporters more generally across the country” #SlayerPete
This is all he’s got? Looks like this election is going to be a lot easier than I thought...:-)
Thanks for posting there, too!
Scoped out several articles about Puerto Rican influx. Conclustions:
1) Their vote did not materialize in 2018.
2) There are enormous obstacles to getting proper ID in order to register to vote. Birth Certs are in PR and PR, amid lockdown this year, isn’t responding to many requests.
3) There was an anecdote about Orlando PR population. Fallen sharply. Returned home.
And given that PR’s governor endorsed Trump, I’m not sure the PR vote is that far tilted toward Biden anyway.
2pm update
REP EV R +26,258
DEM MAIL D +6883
NET R +19375
going to be tough to hit net +40K today which was my guessimate yesterday
assuming +1600 for Sarasota this evening and +400 for missing Polk
and +400 from the panhandle this evening plus +200 slop over from others
need net +37400 by the time most polls close at 6pm or 4 hours from now need 18,000 more +nets
or 1502 every 20 min refresh on the page (12 total)
last few refreshes have been running an average only +1000 or so
but I notices the past few days REP slack in early afternoon and there is a large dump of mail ins
to hit net +38 using the same formulas
need +35400 total by 6pm or an average of 1335 each update
It's happening...
Holy cow is right...
Have you seen this:HISTORIC! 31% of Black Voters Intend to Cast Their Vote for President Trump in Latest Poll
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3899449/posts
Will be interesting to see if there is a spike in Hillsborough this afternoon. Trump currently is talking to thousands right outside an early voting location. I’m hoping a lot of them get on line as soon as its over to vote.
Less than 100 votes back in Duval with IPEV.
HISTORIC! 31% of Black Voters Intend to Cast Their Vote for President Trump in Latest Poll
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3899449/posts
With Duval Rs still trailing the state-wide turnout level, plenty of room to work the denominator and generate some R votes.
I will believe that when I see it.
NV without Ralston play by play.
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054
46k D lead.
About 5% lead. Just eyeballing it that is close to party registration numbers.
I think that is OK.
Come on Iowa. We need that Senate seat.
“Iowa @QuinnipiacPoll :
Trump 47%
Biden 46%
#IASen
Ernst (R-inc) 48%
Greenfield (D) 46%”
“Joe Biden is heading to St. Paul, Minnesota, tomorrow. It will be the fullest travel day of his general election campaign, with stops now in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.”
“He is expected to speak to tens of people.”
Trump won IA by over 9 points. I will pretend to be worried.
It’s Quinnipiac, the worst of the college pollsters with a strong D lean , so this makes me feel really good about Iowa. Have to admit, I was nervous about IA, especially given the work POTUS had done for the farmers.
Why is Biden stopping in WI when he’s leading by 17 points? That’s silly.
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