Scoped out several articles about Puerto Rican influx. Conclustions:
1) Their vote did not materialize in 2018.
2) There are enormous obstacles to getting proper ID in order to register to vote. Birth Certs are in PR and PR, amid lockdown this year, isn’t responding to many requests.
3) There was an anecdote about Orlando PR population. Fallen sharply. Returned home.
And given that PR’s governor endorsed Trump, I’m not sure the PR vote is that far tilted toward Biden anyway.
2pm update
REP EV R +26,258
DEM MAIL D +6883
NET R +19375
going to be tough to hit net +40K today which was my guessimate yesterday
assuming +1600 for Sarasota this evening and +400 for missing Polk
and +400 from the panhandle this evening plus +200 slop over from others
need net +37400 by the time most polls close at 6pm or 4 hours from now need 18,000 more +nets
or 1502 every 20 min refresh on the page (12 total)
last few refreshes have been running an average only +1000 or so
but I notices the past few days REP slack in early afternoon and there is a large dump of mail ins
to hit net +38 using the same formulas
need +35400 total by 6pm or an average of 1335 each update