2pm update
REP EV R +26,258
DEM MAIL D +6883
NET R +19375
going to be tough to hit net +40K today which was my guessimate yesterday
assuming +1600 for Sarasota this evening and +400 for missing Polk
and +400 from the panhandle this evening plus +200 slop over from others
need net +37400 by the time most polls close at 6pm or 4 hours from now need 18,000 more +nets
or 1502 every 20 min refresh on the page (12 total)
last few refreshes have been running an average only +1000 or so
but I notices the past few days REP slack in early afternoon and there is a large dump of mail ins
to hit net +38 using the same formulas
need +35400 total by 6pm or an average of 1335 each update
Will be interesting to see if there is a spike in Hillsborough this afternoon. Trump currently is talking to thousands right outside an early voting location. I’m hoping a lot of them get on line as soon as its over to vote.
Less than 100 votes back in Duval with IPEV.
going to be tough to hit net +40K today which was my guessimate yesterday
assuming +1600 for Sarasota this evening and +400 for missing Polk
and +400 from the panhandle this evening plus +200 slop over from others
need net +37400 by the time most polls close at 6pm or 4 hours from now need 18,000 more +nets
or 1502 every 20 min refresh on the page (12 total)
nice last HR for the good guys (net plus)
+1809
+1331
+1601
average of 3 updates 1582 per update
+24121 net on day to hit 37400 in 3 hours need 1475 per update
already at +34,492 for the day. Should be able to pass yesterday’s 38,998 at the end the of day, and yesterday was the 2nd biggest net gain day so far.