Posted on 10/27/2020 5:24:24 PM PDT by Coop
...Why do we think the Trump campaign is seizing on this opportunity to grab Virginia’s 13 Electoral College votes?
First, the polls are tightening. The most recent Judy Ford Watson Center for Public Policy (Christopher Newport University) poll has Biden with only a five-point lead on Trump among likely Virginia voters. It is a significant change from the double-digit lead Biden held in the spring and over the summer.
Second, the Trump campaign’s ground game and voter outreach is outclassing Biden’s. The Virginia Trump Victory effort has already been in contact with over 2.1 million voters via phone banking and door knocking, especially in the Northern Virginia suburbs. This is over half of Virginia’s voters and compares to a minimal effort by the Democrats this cycle. In 2016, Northern Virginia residents were besieged by mailings and union and liberal special interest groups undertaking extensive door-knocking campaigns for Hillary Clinton. Not this year. The Biden ground game and enthusiasm are a shell of Democrats’ historic efforts.
Third, President Trump has made real inroads with minority communities. Black voters make up one-fifth of the state’s electorate, and President Trump is moving the needle with Black (and Latino) male voters. As a Politico headline stated, “Biden’s weakness with Black and Latino men creates an opening for Trump.”...
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
I am in the 7th district, (Nick Freitas) and wondering where those +6 and +3 numbers come from?
Nick Freitas: VA-07 House seat (R+6).
Scott Taylor: VA-02 House seat (R+3).
I always thought this was possible but was a bit disappointed its not been mentioned the way Minnesota and Nevada have been talked about.
You’re both wanted over on the Michigan 2016 thread.
VA is challenging but doable—but Trump supporter turnout has to be significantly above 2016 levels.
My assessment is that Trump is gaining about 5% above 2016 in all regions and ethnic groups.
That would make Virginia way too close to call.
Maybe, but why not run up the score?
You and I and everyone else knows already that if the Trump win is even just close the cry will be, “But there’s no mandate!”
This win needs to be deep enough into Mandate territory to put that “No Mandate” garbage scow into the muck at the bottom of the Mariana Trench.
MN and NV are smaller hills to climb. And advertising in NoVa is very expensive, with a lot of that money wasted on MD and DC.
I also think Trump outperforms his 2016 performance nationwide, with some of that improvement due to Johnson and McMullin not on the ballot pulling away significant votes like four years ago.
Yup, lets hope the draconian gun control dog squeeze they immediately crammed through causes a huge backlash. I have my doubts, but you never know.
Freegards
Also a “cross” was removed from a cairn in Shockoe Slip. We all saw this coming.
The city of Richmond is run by Marxists. I no longer spend a dime there. Racist? Now Religion?
Can’t stand Liberals.
Can you extrapolate on what "objective sources" you're referencing? Otherwise this is a lot of words.
I can't see how we overcome Northern VA and Richmond. I know all the 2A issues but it's a matter of population numbers.
Total mirage. Luckily, I din’t think the President will be fooled.
if his campaign barnstormed the 81 corridor he could juice the rural vote up even further and possibly overcome fairfax county, but the people of virginia shouldnt need being juiced up with all the attacks on the 2a. could happen! pray it does!
You’re right. In reality Trump lost VA by over 12 points in VA. We’re just all making crap up here.
No...I want as many states as possible.
Every election in Virginia seems to follow the same scenario. After the polls close, most counties report their totals promptly, giving the Republicans a significant edge. The Northern Virginia counties, Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, and Arlington, withhold their results until much later, sometimes a day or so later, finding unreported districts and missed ballots in the meantime. Their results alway tip the balance to the Democrats. Draw your own conclusion, but such transparent Democratic fraud turns my stomach.
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