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Biden Leads Trump 49%-47%; New John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions Poll
John Zogby Strategies ^ | October 3, 2020 | John Zogby

Posted on 10/03/2020 2:17:20 PM PDT by PJ-Comix

In a new poll of 1006 likely voters nationwide, former Vice-President Joe Biden holds on to a two-point lead over President Donald Trump, 49% to 47% with 4% not sure. The random sample online poll was taken on Friday beginning after 7 PM and has an overall margin-of-sampling error of +/-3.2 percentage points.

Our July 8th poll showed Biden leading Trump 49% to 42% and the previous poll released on August 29th had Biden leading by six points (48% to 42%).

(Excerpt) Read more at johnzogbystrategies.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: clickbait; donaldtrump; joebiden; poll; polls; zogbypoll
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To: PJ-Comix

Biden is filling the airwaves in my area with misleading but effective ads.


61 posted on 10/03/2020 3:40:09 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: PallMal
“Gone are the days when you can tell a pollster "I support that person", and just go about your business.”

I’m a retiree who has been living in the same house, same neighborhood in small town America for 41+ years.

I have a large “Trump 2020” sign in my front yard displayed underneath an American flag.

For the first time ever, last week a car pulled up in front of our house at 8:30am and the driver yelled “F**k you!” at the top of his lungs.

The times they are a changein.

62 posted on 10/03/2020 3:47:26 PM PDT by daler
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To: Brian Griffin

Biden is going to win!!! Or not!!!

We are flying blind here.

I don’t trust the polls one way or another. Hard to trust a media who couldn’t be tortured into printing anything positive about Trump to produce a poll that has him doing anything but losing or tied.

Stories of yard signs and ads don’t impress me. Effective ads? What other kind would a campaign produce? And ads or not, Biden can’t get anyone to show for his appearances. If they are too afraid because of Covid, they aren’t coming out to vote. So for every citation to more yard signs or ads there is a counter. Again, we are flying blind and there is no way to know.

Might the polls be correct and Trump is toast? Sure.

Only the campaigns truly know how they are doing. Watch how they behave. If the Trump campaign starts dumping in states, panic.


63 posted on 10/03/2020 3:55:59 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Brian Griffin

In my part of Florida, Biden signs outnumber Trump signs.
My county is normally evenly divided by party.
———————————————————————-
My guess is that you live in an affluent area. Look, there is no doubt that’s socially liberal white women and progressive white men are fired up to vote against Trump. I see this as a 1998 type election. The Republican fee for heating bill Clinton with a passion. We were bouncing off of the walls want him to go out in the 1998 midterms and send Bill Clinton a message. The republican message was basically “we hate Clinton.“ In the end, the run-of-the-mill Republican voter did not show up. We did not give them anything to vote for. There is no evidence that the backbone of the Democratic Party, African-Americans and young people, are going to show up in large numbers. I live in Maryland. In past elections, Obama signs were all over the place. I doubt I have spotted a dozen signs in the last two months for Joe Biden. Also, I live in an affluent area that has greatly slipped in the last four years from Republicans towards Democrats.


64 posted on 10/03/2020 4:07:37 PM PDT by bort
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To: PJ-Comix

so it sits tied according to Zogby and likely oversampling Dems.


65 posted on 10/03/2020 4:08:27 PM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Probably if you paid $2 for it from a street kiosk in Mexico. Sorry to have to give you bad news.


66 posted on 10/03/2020 4:11:50 PM PDT by antidemoncrat (Biden's)
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To: Truthoverpower

Polls don’t vote. I see zero enthusiasm for Biden. Four car crravans Is hating Trump enough? Well the Democrats are trying to make going to the polls easy. The problem is the high rejection rate of mail-in votes.. Can increase mail in votes increase the Democratic votes enough to over come Trump enthusiasm?


67 posted on 10/03/2020 4:30:56 PM PDT by carcraft (Pray for our Country)
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To: Brian Griffin

I recently traveled coast to coast (15 states) and saw 5x as many Trump signs as Biden signs.

So maybe we should call the election for Trump.


68 posted on 10/03/2020 4:33:24 PM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: PJ-Comix

The only polls I’m interested in is the one on ELECTION DAY! I’m campaigning for President Donald J Trump as he is 99 points down...


69 posted on 10/03/2020 4:48:16 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable family...even the dog is, too. :-) Trump 2020)
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To: rickomatic
If you want to make pollster crazy, tell them that you are voting for Duncan/Bupp. Yes, they are running as a independent candidate for President/VP . They are on the ballot in one state - Vermont. 😀
70 posted on 10/03/2020 5:33:26 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable family...even the dog is, too. :-) Trump 2020)
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To: AndyJackson
In other words, the polls lie right up to the deadline of having their credibility checked at which point they lie within the margin of error.

That makes no sense. If the pollsters always "lie," then why didn't they just put Hillary up by 25 points the whole time leading up to the election, to demoralize Republicans? Instead, on this day in 2016, Hillary was only up ~2%, thus within the MOE, thus meaning that Trump in fact could have been leading at that time.

71 posted on 10/03/2020 6:04:15 PM PDT by gw-ington
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

You can add unfettered immigration or perhaps more accurately ‘population replacement’ to that list.


72 posted on 10/03/2020 6:15:08 PM PDT by MSF BU
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To: SmokingJoe
Nice try at disinformation there. Chuckle

No "disinformation" from me, I just listed facts. It's not my fault you misinterpreted what I said, then you created a straw man, and you even failed to destroy the straw man you just created.

73 posted on 10/03/2020 6:18:21 PM PDT by gw-ington
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To: PallMal
You sure sound happy giving this news ....

Just the opposite. I'm seeing Basement-Biden increase his lead by 1.2 points post-debate, now leading by 7.8 points. That trend does not look good. As I said, since Sep. 1, Basement-Biden's had a rock-steady 6-8 point lead and now it's pushing the upper part of that range. Even worse, President Trump's in the hospital so he can't continue his campaign tour. I'm hoping for a pro-Trump October Surprise in the next 30 days, hopefully sooner rather than later.

74 posted on 10/03/2020 6:27:43 PM PDT by gw-ington
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To: gw-ington

You listed the facts you wanted out of context. Hillary was way ahead in the polls through Oct. Biden is dead in the water.


75 posted on 10/03/2020 6:30:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: SmokingJoe
The RCP average only tightened at the very end. Even 2 weeks before the elections, ABC/WASHINGTON POST had Hilary Clinton winning by a massive 12 points.

The polls average over time and trends are more important. One individual poll on one specific day holds little significance.

76 posted on 10/03/2020 6:33:40 PM PDT by gw-ington
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To: gw-ington

You listed exactly zero facts. You propagated disinformation, Dem talking points and propaganda.


77 posted on 10/03/2020 6:51:58 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: fortheDeclaration
You listed the facts you wanted out of context. Hillary was way ahead in the polls through Oct. Biden is dead in the water.

I gave the context. I looked at the RCP polls average and trend through all of September to the current day of the year, contrasting 2016 vs. 2020.

How is Basement-Biden "dead in the water" in this election? His lead has risen post-debate to his present 7.8 points (RCP polls average), Trump is restricted from campaigning (who knows how much his covid will hamper his campaign going forward?), and Basement-Biden is now actually campaigning in-person.

78 posted on 10/03/2020 6:53:19 PM PDT by gw-ington
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To: SmokingJoe

Thank you.


79 posted on 10/03/2020 6:57:50 PM PDT by gogeo (It isn't just time to open America up again: It's time to be America again.)
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To: SmokingJoe
You listed exactly zero facts. You propagated disinformation, Dem talking points and propaganda.

I solely listed helpful facts. But for some unknown reason, you're getting all up in my grill.

You've been deliberately lying about what I've been saying. And I've never seen anyone so successfully pack so many intentional lies into two brief sentences as you just did (that I italicized above).

80 posted on 10/03/2020 7:01:30 PM PDT by gw-ington
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