You listed the facts you wanted out of context. Hillary was way ahead in the polls through Oct. Biden is dead in the water.
I gave the context. I looked at the RCP polls average and trend through all of September to the current day of the year, contrasting 2016 vs. 2020.
How is Basement-Biden "dead in the water" in this election? His lead has risen post-debate to his present 7.8 points (RCP polls average), Trump is restricted from campaigning (who knows how much his covid will hamper his campaign going forward?), and Basement-Biden is now actually campaigning in-person.