Posted on 10/03/2020 2:17:20 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
In a new poll of 1006 likely voters nationwide, former Vice-President Joe Biden holds on to a two-point lead over President Donald Trump, 49% to 47% with 4% not sure. The random sample online poll was taken on Friday beginning after 7 PM and has an overall margin-of-sampling error of +/-3.2 percentage points.
Our July 8th poll showed Biden leading Trump 49% to 42% and the previous poll released on August 29th had Biden leading by six points (48% to 42%).
(Excerpt) Read more at johnzogbystrategies.com ...
Trump was doing relatively well in both Rasmussen approval poll (52%) and their President poll (Trump +1) until the supreme court nomination. He went from 52% to 46% approval overnight (despite the fact that it is a 3 day poll) and from up 1 to down 8% in the Presidential poll.
This is just based on the nonstop hysteria by the left over Barrett and I think it is likely to be very temporary. I don’t think it in any way measures current voter intentions.
Biden is ahead of where Clinton was at this time nationally, but behind wetevsje was in the swing states. I think Biden will win the popular vote by 4 percent, but lose the Electotal College.
Which means Trump is LEADING..no wonder the commie media wants so badly for Trump to die..they know its the ONLY way for Biden to win
Oh, will you shut up, man! /Biden reference
Zogby Analytics from October 2, 2016
Hillary Clinton 40%
Donald Trump 34
Gary Johnson 6
Jill Stein 2
Not sure 18
I can see the tombstone:
USA, 1776 - 2021
Cause of Death: rampant stupidity and Marxism
Well that’s the thing with polls. They are a snapshot in time.
So you’re right. Next week it will be forgotten.
Now I was reading about something called the “Sympathy” vote.
For when a politician gets ill or his family faces some kind of tragedy.
Thank God this is not a tragedy because he will be fine but he may still get some “sympathy” vote and they say it lasts for about 4 weeks.
That’s all we need :)
Keep running as if Trump is ten points behind, and get out the neighborhood canvass workers, even in many neighborhoods where this strategy has not been followed for decades.
The mail-in vote scheme, with virtually automatic margins for the Democrat party, has to be short-circuited. It is still possible to change minds and hearts, but the hour is late and the water rises.
President Trump is trending up. He will get a bump this week.
I agree.
It’s a shame though in a Republic such as ours that we have to approach news agencies like they are an entity for one of the two major parties and cannot be trusted..even with polls.
Question: Putting the polls aside.......Is there any evidence that Biden is ahead? I live in Maryland, probably the most liberal state in the country. I haven’t seen more than a dozen yard signs or bumper stickers for Joe Biden in Maryland. The accuracy of “the polls” depends upon the turnout model chosen by the pollsters who do the polls. The consensus among pollsters is that Democrat turnout will be akin to 2008 or 2012. If that is true, we are screwed. If they are wrong, and pollsters like Trafalgar are correct in predicting the demographics of the turnout, Trump will win.
Yes, I think he will get a “sympathy” and even “admiration” boost for being strong and triumphant over covid.
But, I think his bigger boost is going to come from the significant number of voters who will no longer cooperate with pollsters, either by not answering their phones or by not being willing to disclose who they are going to vote for. Response rates for polls have plummeted. Trafalgar polls lately have had 1-2% response rates.
Unless the 99% of the voters they tried and failed to contact intend to vote the same way the 1% of responders do the polls are worthless.
And, all pollsters agree it is Trump supporters (Republican, Democrat and Independent) that are the most likely to refuse to disclose who they are voting for.
That’s what happens when the media/pollsters spend 4 years insulting those people...:-)
BS
How many republicans/conservatives actually answer the phone for marketers. I don’t. All BS.
Pretty surprising considering Trump had an absolutely, undeniably horrific week
Assuming this poll is accurate, (and there isn’t enough of Dim cheating to sway the results) Trump should win the 270+ Electoral Votes needed to be re-elected.
Shrillary had just under +3% of the popular national vote and still lost to Trump in an Electoral Vote landslide.
It’s the Electoral College votes that count.
Just ask Hillary.
The Electoral vote winner gets to pick Supreme Court Justices and the Popular vote winner gets to judge the Miss Chappaqua contest.
Wow. I had no idea about any of that.
Thanks for letting me know.
I would imagine many are taking them much less seriously.
Seeing Trump down by 8 or 11 in the last election’s polling made me contemplate jumping off the Verrazano.
Now they could say biden up by 25 and it wouldn’t mean a whole lot.
Biden should get re tested this weekend or Monday since their debate was on Tuesday and the President was likely infected on Saturday the 26th and was not shown as infected until Thursday. 5-7 days to get results I think.
TIPP survey shows Biden lost more than half of his 5.6% lead in just ten days in poll take AFTER the debate. This is why the rodents don’t want him to do anymore.
HRC was up 3.8% on RCP at this time in 2016.
I agree it doesn’t look good, but we shall see
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