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NEW National Post-Debate Poll ...
Twitter ^
| 2 Oct
| Political Polls
Posted on 10/02/2020 3:49:46 PM PDT by RandFan
#NEW National Post-Debate Poll:
Biden 49% Trump 46%
IBD/TIPP (LV, 9/30-10/1 )
A 3 point shift towards Trump in a week.
This is electoral victory territory for Trump (anything inside -3.2%):
--
More info from the IBD/TIPP poll:
Biden +2.7 with likely voters: 48.6% to 45.9%.
Hispanic Trump support: 36.5% Black Trump support: 15%
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; poll; polls; trump
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1
posted on
10/02/2020 3:49:46 PM PDT
by
RandFan
To: RandFan
To: RandFan
To: RandFan
4
posted on
10/02/2020 3:53:22 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: RandFan
Unless whites have shifted away from Trump over the last 4 years, he should win this one handily. Assuming the black and Hispanic numbers pan out on Election Day.
https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37922587
[Who voted for Trump?
53%
of men; 41% backed Clinton
42%
of women; 54% voted for Clinton
58% of white voters - 37% backed Clinton
8% of black voters - 88% voted for Clinton
29% of Hispanics - 65% supported Clinton
Edison Research for ABC News, AP, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, NBC News]
5
posted on
10/02/2020 3:56:18 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: Zhang Fei
6
posted on
10/02/2020 3:58:26 PM PDT
by
RandFan
(3C)
To: RandFan
Biden +2.7 with likely voters: 48.6% to 45.9%. Hispanic Trump support: 36.5% Black Trump support: 15%
The Hispanic and black support for Trump has been consistently high in almost all polls, even the polls from the fake news media. Trump is consistently doing better with blacks and Hispanics than he did in 2016, when he got only 8% of the black vote and 29% of the Latino vote.
No doubt because of the record low black and Hispanic unmploylemt figures pre pandemic, the opportunity zones for minorities and Trump's criminal justice reforms etc.
By contrast, Biden has effectively done nothing for blacks in 47 years in Washington.
To: RandFan
I just don’t see how sane peeps can vote Biden.
To: SmokingJoe; Zhang Fei
This looks like a good poll for Trump. Far more realistic than others.
What do you think Zhang Fei?
9
posted on
10/02/2020 4:06:09 PM PDT
by
RandFan
(3C)
To: SoFloFreeper
“I just dont see how sane peeps can vote Biden.”
None do.
10
posted on
10/02/2020 4:06:54 PM PDT
by
b4me
(God Bless the USA)
To: Zhang Fei
For some reason, the polls keep saying Trump is not doing as well with white voters as he did in 2016. That is pretty puzzling to me given the massive destruction, riots and looting that the BLM terrorists have been doing.
To: RandFan
12
posted on
10/02/2020 4:08:17 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: SmokingJoe
Because whites have turned in to Europu$$ies.
13
posted on
10/02/2020 4:10:46 PM PDT
by
inchworm
(al)
To: SmokingJoe
Yes it might be a statistical error...
14
posted on
10/02/2020 4:11:30 PM PDT
by
RandFan
(3C)
To: RandFan
Its a good poll yes.
Biden needs to be win the national vote by 5 to 7% in order to take the electoral vote(because of California and New York). IBD was pretty good in 2016.
To: Zhang Fei
Don’t forget SHY Trump voters. They wont be honest with pollsters.
That might be 3-4% right there!
16
posted on
10/02/2020 4:12:43 PM PDT
by
RandFan
(3C)
To: RandFan
[This looks like a good poll for Trump. Far more realistic than others.
What do you think Zhang Fei?]
In an age where people who openly support Trump are being doxxed, assaulted and fired, I wouldn’t be surprised if some white respondents were lying to pollsters much more than they were in 2016. It’s also possible that it’s not a problem with white respondents lying. Maybe white Trump supporters are now much more reluctant to respond to polls due to a fear of being doxxed, meaning that pollsters are (unknowingly) oversampling Biden supporters because a big slug of Trump supporters are simply hanging up on them.
17
posted on
10/02/2020 4:13:47 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: RandFan
In 2016, Hillary won 48.02% of the vote vs 45.93% of Donald Trump. If we subtract California, New York, and Illinois, Donald Trump won 48.83% if the vote vs 45.11% for Hillary. Read all polls with this fact in mind.
18
posted on
10/02/2020 4:15:17 PM PDT
by
fhayek
To: RandFan
[Dont forget SHY Trump voters. They wont be honest with pollsters.
That might be 3-4% right there!]
Not even a question of honesty. Say you’re a white Trump supporter afraid of being doxxed. Why even waste time? Just hang up. By default, this would mean results that favor Biden. Biden supporters aren’t afraid of being doxxed. There should be hordes more willing to respond to a poll.
19
posted on
10/02/2020 4:16:45 PM PDT
by
Zhang Fei
(My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
To: Gahanna Bob
Add 5 points to Trump.Maybe more, although I don't expect any of the BS polls (some more BS than others) to ever reflect the true support for President Trump or Sleepy Joe.
20
posted on
10/02/2020 4:20:16 PM PDT
by
Repeal 16-17
(Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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