Posted on 08/31/2020 12:15:37 PM PDT by CWW
I just looked up the 2016 numbers, they’re about the same, Trump was ahead of Clinton by 10 or so in most polls, and won by 18 points.
If Biden’s got the same traction as Clinton, that’s not good enough. Electoral votes aside, Trump won by three squeakers (WI, PA, MI). As an incumbent who has proven himself, he should be far ahead of that old mummy.
I don’t know about 11 points but Trump will take Missouri by a comfortable margin.
God Bless the great state of Missouri!
Howcum no one in the media is predicting House & Senate races?
Is there something going on that they don’t want us to know?
Just a few election cycles ago a primary vote for our county in Mo would have been about 1500 votes for each party. Maybe a few more for Dems. This year about 350 Dem votes in the whole county.
yeah I had it at 51.7%
President Trump increases his vote total by 20% most everywhere - this makes my theory easy to apply looks like this group is doing the same.
There are three strongholds of the Dems in the state—St. Louis, Kansas City, and Columbia. Otherwise, if you drive through the rest of the state, you find HUGE Trump/Pence banners and flags. In outstate Missouri, it appears that there is no one else running for the office.
Good news.Now lets see figures...reliable figures...for FL,PA and MI.
He has “silent” support from many Missourians.
I don’t understand how this can be true. Ipsos reported
today that Biden is still leading Trump by about 4 points nationally, and that Trump got no bump from the RNC convention. This is enough to confuse sane folks like ... Joe Biden.
“We need to proceed and act as if we’re 100 points down.“
No. I agree that complacency is bad - but so is doom and gloom.
Proceed as if we are going to kick their asses. Winning begets winning.
There is nothing wrong with building excitement - that motivates people too.
We don’t all get motivated in the same way. A lot of the new blue collar Trump converts I know are sensing a wave of enthusiasm that will carry us to victory. They like being part of a winning team - with some of us it’s good to talk it up and do some hip hip hurrah cheerleading.
If they’re showing up by 10 it’s really up by 20 at least...
Probably 1996-2000
By 2008 even with all the white guilt and lust around the country the Obama campaign didn’t waste money in Missouri.
I’ll bet not too many people outside of St Louis have ever been polled by Democrat pollsters looking to build a fake narrative of how well Grandpa Groundhog is doing in that all important popular vote.
How do does Trump look there compared to four years ago?
Yawn.
I think Trump winning Missouri is a safe bet.
“Won Missouri by nearly 20 points over Hillary in 2016.”
Yep. 11 points is less than 20 last time I checked. Yet this one gets placed in “Breaking News”. :-)
But, but, but, Biden leads Trump by 89% points in all the polls!!! How can this be??? How is Braindead Joe losing??? How, why, who mislead us???
Biden will win populous states like CA & NY. He very well may have more popular votes so that poll can be right too, assuming it oversaes Democrats.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.