Posted on 08/30/2020 6:45:06 AM PDT by LS
According to the latest monthly Democracy Institute (DI)/ Sunday Express poll President Trump has 48 percent of the popular support over former Vice President Biden’s 45 percent.
In the key swing states the gap is even bigger with 49 percent for Trump to 42 percent for Biden giving the incumbent US President an almost unassailable seven point lead.
Since the DI poll in August - a crucial month which saw the Democrat and Republican conventions - the President has gained a point in the swing states while his opponent has lost a point.
Significantly, the latest poll shows that 21 percent were positively influenced to vote Trump after the Republican convention but a negligible eight percent were inspired to vote Biden after the Democrat convention.
Trump is set to win in Minnesota 48 to 45, Florida 47 to 44 and New Hampshire, where he just held a major rally, 47 to 43.
It also appears clear that US voters have already made up their minds with a mere 3 percent of Trump voters and 9 percent of Biden supporters suggesting they could have a change of heart on polling day on November 3.
Patrick Basham, the director of the Democracy Institute, said that the polls confirm that the Democrats completely misread the effect of the Black Lives Matter protests and the desire of Americans to restore law and order in the wake of riots and anarchic protests.
He said: “In any political campaign, there’s a moment that tells you which way the electoral wind is blowing. In this year’s American presidential campaign, that moment arrived on Wednesday.
"Joe Biden restated his support for peaceful protests but, crucially, condemned the violence that has come to dominate the months-long nationwide protest movement.
"When a candidate changes his tune three quarters of the way through a race, it is not because he knows he holds a winning hand. He does so because the electoral ground is shifting beneath his feet.
"The Biden campaign made this move for one simple reason. Its own internal polling numbers revealed what Democracy Institute/Sunday Express polls have shown for the past three months: the overwhelming majority of Americans, including Black voters, are opposed to the organised anarchy – looting, vandalism, mayhem, and murdering of innocent people – explicitly and implicitly cheered on by a considerable cabal of Democratic politicians, while an even large number simply turned a blind eye.”
According to the poll law and order is clearly the top political issue with 37 percent putting it as the most important followed by 27 percent for the economy.
According to the poll 74 percent favour of “all lives matter” over 26 percent “black lives matter an increase in the gap by two percent since August showing that US voters are tired of the protests.
Almost two thirds of them think that Biden has not been tough enough in his language condemning the violence.
Almost eight in ten voters disapprove of statues being pulled down and 26 percent of voters say the latest violence in Wisconsin makes them more likely to vote Trump compared to 10 percent Biden.
The decision by Joe Biden to make Kamala Harris, a mixed race woman senator, his running mate has had minimal impact with 11 percent more likely to support him and 12 percent less likely.
Two thirds of voters also think that the economy is bouncing back in the US after coronavirus and 59 percent think Trump is best to handle an economic recovery.However, President Trump supporters are still shy of admitting they back him with 72 percent not wanting to admit it to friends and family compared to 28 percent for Biden.National Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
White voters: Trump = 53% Biden = 45%
Black: Trump 19% Biden = 77%
Hispanic: Trump 39% Biden = 50%
Battleground States – Popular VoteFlorida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 49%
Biden = 42%
Undecided = 10%
Florida – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 44%
Undecided = 9%
Minnesota – Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
New Hampshire – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 43%
Undecided = 10%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)270 needed to win
Trump = 319 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 219
Enthusiasm Gap?Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 82%
Biden voters = 40%
Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 85%; negative vote = 15%
Biden voters: positive vote = 34%; negative vote = 66%
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 3%
Biden voters: Yes = 9%
‘Shy’ Trump Vote? Questions to Undecided VotersQ “Does a relative, friend, or coworker plan to vote for Trump?”
Yes = 72%
No = 28%
Q “Will President Trump be reelected?”
Yes = 57%
No = 43%
Q “Which candidate will win the first presidential debate?”
Trump = 66%
Biden = 35%
(More questions at link)
Heels up Harris locked up lots of Black men for smoking weed and other non violent offense and has bragged about it.
Then last year she giggled in an interview as she admitted she smoked weed.
There are lots of Black people - especially Black men - who hate her guts. Understandably.
When they officially are not swing states then Dem voters will stay home! POTUS leads to a tremendous victory, GOP takes the house overwhelmingly and we win a VETO PROOF Senate!
MOAR WINNING BIGLY!
“And even Kamala will not hold the real power...”
Indian-American Kamalala would likely have Indian Big Data-tech and Soros as her puppeteers. Maybe get ValJar, Holder and Lynch onboard.
I think this is what Kanye’s candidacy is about, he can say things about her, that Trump can’t.
Yes. One of my employees told me yesterday that he is a die-hard Trump supporter and swore me to secrecy.
Joey B likes 5o play at being Rear Admiral, Turd Fleet. The floaters are his “surface units,” the sinkers are his “submarines”.
All polls are suspect. Many Republican and Independent voters don’t answer polls or don’t answer truthfully.
And Democrats and their media lackeys aren’t suddenly changing their tune about the riots because they are winning.
Also, a LOT of government workers are black women. Often when I deal with government (State & Federal & City of Pittsburgh) it is disproportionately with black women. I can see why they would reflexively vote for the Democrat.
Thanks for the response, Sir. I am seeing the same phenomenon, in spades. Many suburban women we know are totally reciting the BLM/SJW creed and catechism, and are anti-Trump.
But isn't this a warning sign if the white fraction of the total vote falls to 68% or below? According to a simple calculation, Trump would lose the advantage in that scenario.
Even looters don’t like to be looted.
ping
Guiliani said it best in his RNC speech when he suggested that Joe Biden is a Trojan Horse for the Democratic Left.
I look for BiteMe to suddenly become ill with COVID in the next 10 days to avoid the debates whether he had it or not. The MSM will cover the lie and they will try and generate sympathy for BiteMe, he has to do something wild he’s screwed up so badly and is being abused by his family.
“...the 1960’s CPUSA push of college youts for war protests, drug use and wanton fornication,...”
I resisted the drug use of the 60’s but I am afraid I did fall victim to the wanton fornication thingy.... :-)
Mostly agree but Michigan is a big, strong Red state with an utterly corrupt Wayne and now Oakland counties that regularly martial hundreds of Clinton, Obama, and old school (Coleman Young) systemic anti-american partisans who do not fear the law which their side owns in these Marxist enclaves. Would make Idi Amin embarrassed. Trump has to win by 10% to overcome the fraud and organized and coordinated cheating, including local news, TV, radio and union conyrol (mostly government and teachers - UAW and Teamster rank and file are diminished and love America). Governor grandholm Whitler is hated broadly but every mention of her reports wide support for her political depravities. Michigan is Red if fraud plans are thwarted.
Hispanic: Trump 39% Biden = 50%
So now we have four pollsters, Zogby , Harris, Rasmussen and Democracy Institute/Sunday Express all coming up with Trump black vote share of around 20% and higher Latino vote at 30% and higher. .
If Trump even ends up with even 15% of the black vote, Slow Joe will be a basement dweller for the rest of his life.
It’s white suburban women who are not married and who are college educated. There are more and more of them, they hate Trump for no rational reason I can see (I’m one of them, except I am married), and they ALL VOTE.
Women vote more than men—much more. Men—this must stop. You must vote more. Tell your male friends to get off their butts! It’s especially easy this year with all the mail in voting (except that the dems will throw those away if they think they are GOP votes—they “match signatures” from voter registration of years ago!)
Half this nation doesn’t vote—it’s astonishing, but part of the freedom of the US that we aren’t forced to (I believe Australia and some other nations REQUIRE voting).
LS Hope all is fine with yourself and MRS. LS, praying for the both of you and family!!
Its funny how the virulently anti police BLM/Antifa terrorists in Kenosha started hollering for the police when three of their comrades got shot.
One race? I hope you mean the human race. Trump is not Hitler.
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