Posted on 08/30/2020 6:45:06 AM PDT by LS
According to the latest monthly Democracy Institute (DI)/ Sunday Express poll President Trump has 48 percent of the popular support over former Vice President Biden’s 45 percent.
In the key swing states the gap is even bigger with 49 percent for Trump to 42 percent for Biden giving the incumbent US President an almost unassailable seven point lead.
Since the DI poll in August - a crucial month which saw the Democrat and Republican conventions - the President has gained a point in the swing states while his opponent has lost a point.
Significantly, the latest poll shows that 21 percent were positively influenced to vote Trump after the Republican convention but a negligible eight percent were inspired to vote Biden after the Democrat convention.
Trump is set to win in Minnesota 48 to 45, Florida 47 to 44 and New Hampshire, where he just held a major rally, 47 to 43.
It also appears clear that US voters have already made up their minds with a mere 3 percent of Trump voters and 9 percent of Biden supporters suggesting they could have a change of heart on polling day on November 3.
Patrick Basham, the director of the Democracy Institute, said that the polls confirm that the Democrats completely misread the effect of the Black Lives Matter protests and the desire of Americans to restore law and order in the wake of riots and anarchic protests.
He said: “In any political campaign, there’s a moment that tells you which way the electoral wind is blowing. In this year’s American presidential campaign, that moment arrived on Wednesday.
"Joe Biden restated his support for peaceful protests but, crucially, condemned the violence that has come to dominate the months-long nationwide protest movement.
"When a candidate changes his tune three quarters of the way through a race, it is not because he knows he holds a winning hand. He does so because the electoral ground is shifting beneath his feet.
"The Biden campaign made this move for one simple reason. Its own internal polling numbers revealed what Democracy Institute/Sunday Express polls have shown for the past three months: the overwhelming majority of Americans, including Black voters, are opposed to the organised anarchy – looting, vandalism, mayhem, and murdering of innocent people – explicitly and implicitly cheered on by a considerable cabal of Democratic politicians, while an even large number simply turned a blind eye.”
According to the poll law and order is clearly the top political issue with 37 percent putting it as the most important followed by 27 percent for the economy.
According to the poll 74 percent favour of “all lives matter” over 26 percent “black lives matter an increase in the gap by two percent since August showing that US voters are tired of the protests.
Almost two thirds of them think that Biden has not been tough enough in his language condemning the violence.
Almost eight in ten voters disapprove of statues being pulled down and 26 percent of voters say the latest violence in Wisconsin makes them more likely to vote Trump compared to 10 percent Biden.
The decision by Joe Biden to make Kamala Harris, a mixed race woman senator, his running mate has had minimal impact with 11 percent more likely to support him and 12 percent less likely.
Two thirds of voters also think that the economy is bouncing back in the US after coronavirus and 59 percent think Trump is best to handle an economic recovery.However, President Trump supporters are still shy of admitting they back him with 72 percent not wanting to admit it to friends and family compared to 28 percent for Biden.National Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
White voters: Trump = 53% Biden = 45%
Black: Trump 19% Biden = 77%
Hispanic: Trump 39% Biden = 50%
Battleground States – Popular VoteFlorida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 49%
Biden = 42%
Undecided = 10%
Florida – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 44%
Undecided = 9%
Minnesota – Popular Vote
Trump = 48%
Biden = 45%
Undecided = 7%
New Hampshire – Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 43%
Undecided = 10%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)270 needed to win
Trump = 319 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 219
Enthusiasm Gap?Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 82%
Biden voters = 40%
Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 85%; negative vote = 15%
Biden voters: positive vote = 34%; negative vote = 66%
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 3%
Biden voters: Yes = 9%
‘Shy’ Trump Vote? Questions to Undecided VotersQ “Does a relative, friend, or coworker plan to vote for Trump?”
Yes = 72%
No = 28%
Q “Will President Trump be reelected?”
Yes = 57%
No = 43%
Q “Which candidate will win the first presidential debate?”
Trump = 66%
Biden = 35%
(More questions at link)
Do you have friend or neighbor voting for a candidate but won't say who: Trump 72% Demented Perv Biteme: 28%
The fate of the world hangs in the balance.
Swing states: 49 percent for Trump to 42 percent for Biden. At what point are they no longer swing states?
I just don’t see OH being a swing state now at all. After allocating all “independents” based on 20 year voting histories, Rs there have a 200,000 advantage.
The sharp drop in white voter support from 2016 is still puzzling. This, if true, Would be the worst showing among white voters for a Republican presidential candidate in 25 years.
Black approval at 42%. But will they walk to walk?
The debates should be interesting (if they happen).
How about do you have a friend or neighbor who says he is supporting Biteme and you know he is lying? Suspect he is lying?
Lots of reverse-Bradley voters are hiding right now.
Actually, I think that’s the case in many instances.
Another key:
Normal women, especially mothers, want/require safety and security. It’s in their genes.
D’rats may have lost half of the Soccer Mom vote.
It will all boil down to election fraud.
Trump will need enough of a majority is each state to overcome the inevitable and certain Democrat fraudulent vote generation and Republican vote disposal.
Biden is a completely unfitting candidate for today’s Democrat party. He’s an old school Democrat, he never thought the riots were a good idea. Biden is much closer to Clinton politically, where political office is a means to riches and enjoyment of the use of power.
He was nominated to put a calming face on the radical wing, but the old Clinton power structure is gone, the radicals control the party. Now Biden is caught between two worlds that can never unify. It’s too late for his Sister Souljah moment.
DOOM.
Locally we will have a Trump flotilla labor day at 3:00 on South Holston Lake.
Since South Holston is a Tennessee Valley Authority lake I guess there will be charges of Hatch act violations using a government facilities for political purposes
Good news if accurate. But the poll does not include the major vote fraud
by mail in ballots. This fraud may not have an effect on Trump because
Mail In Fraud ballots are happening in RAT controlled states.(States that Slow Joe would win anyway)
However, this fraud may have an effect on down ballot GOP House
Candidates. The potential for fraud is enormous.
If they only stay home it'll be good for us.
And where is the DOJ on this? The funding of the rioters has to be coming from someone *cough soros cough*. Does Barr do anything except sit around with his bagpipe chanter up his ass?
Re: Black Approval = 42%
The table says “ Black: Trump 19% Biden = 77%”
Where did the 42% come from?
This poll is suspect. Winning white voters by only 8 points is a disaster for Republicans.
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