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Without 'Much More Aggressive Shutdowns,' The New York Times Warns, COVID-19 Could Kill 'Well Over a Million' Americans
reason ^ | 08/10/2020 | JACOB SULLUM |

Posted on 08/11/2020 7:31:46 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Without "much more aggressive shutdowns," a New York Times editorial warns, "well over a million" Americans "may ultimately die" from COVID-19. The paper does not cite a source for that estimate, which seems highly implausible based on the death toll so far, projections for the next few months, the gap between total infections and confirmed cases, and a crude case fatality rate that continues to fall.

Independent data scientist Youyang Gu, who has a good track record of predicting COVID-19 fatalities, is currently projecting about 231,000 deaths in the United States by November 1. The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projects 295,000 deaths by December 1. Assuming those projections prove to be about right, the Times is predicting that the death toll will quadruple during the months before an effective vaccine can be deployed, which might happen early next year.

(Excerpt) Read more at reason.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Government
KEYWORDS: covid; economy; million; shutdowns; times
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1 posted on 08/11/2020 7:31:46 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The ny times can go jump off a bridge.


2 posted on 08/11/2020 7:32:02 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27; Tilted Irish Kilt

Couldn’t see that one coming.

Prepare, prepare, prepare.....

Many people were caught off guard in March when the shut down happened and the store shelves were stripped bare.

We’ve been in a bit of a lull as the supply lines have been running, although, not to 100%.

However, I don’t expect it to last, especially once Sept rolls around. Now is the time, while we still have a few weeks to get ready.


3 posted on 08/11/2020 7:33:55 AM PDT by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

NYT = Fascists playing doctor to use fear to gain control.


4 posted on 08/11/2020 7:34:01 AM PDT by G Larry (There is no merit in compromising with the Devil.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Keep this up and we will get back up to the two million deaths predicted in March.


5 posted on 08/11/2020 7:34:42 AM PDT by JerryBlackwell (some animals are more equal than others)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The New York Times Warns, COVID-19 Could Kill ‘Well Over a Million’ Americans


Given enough time, I’m sure it will.

The death rate for human beings is currently 100%. Everybody dies of something.

https://www.theonion.com/world-death-rate-holding-steady-at-100-percent-1819564171


6 posted on 08/11/2020 7:34:48 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

A million people might die but then again they might not. I believe the latter.


7 posted on 08/11/2020 7:35:19 AM PDT by CommerceComet (Hillary: A unique blend of arrogance, incompetence, and corruption.)
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To: JerryBlackwell

Looking at the numbers day by day and I just don’t see it.

Unless they have a plan to start shipping the infected back into nursing homes.


8 posted on 08/11/2020 7:35:33 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: JerryBlackwell

Keep this up and we will get back up to the two million deaths predicted in March.


Give it a few decades. :)


9 posted on 08/11/2020 7:35:57 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

They are guessing that there will be 231,000 deaths in the United States by November 1.
They are further guessing that — if their first guess is correct — the death toll will quadruple after Nov 1 while we wait for a vaccine.
They don’t know when a vaccine will be available, but they are guessing it will be available around about the time a million people have died.

That’s some solid reporting. Real settled science.


10 posted on 08/11/2020 7:36:57 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

This is no longer the wuhanchinacoronacovidkungflu virus. It is the election year virus.


11 posted on 08/11/2020 7:41:22 AM PDT by lurk
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To: ClearCase_guy

Total BS and Trump needs to call them out in his 5:30 presser today.


12 posted on 08/11/2020 7:42:21 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

The problem, even admitted by Birx and Fauci, is that the vaccine will very likely have all the effective issues that the flu vaccine has, where the virus will mutate and adapt and the vaccine will have to be redone every six months, not to mention likely have a similar effective rate of 50 percent or less. At this point, it feels like drug treatments to alleviate symptoms quickly is the best we can do, similar to how we give out Tamiflu to get people well quicker.


13 posted on 08/11/2020 7:42:21 AM PDT by Morpheus2009 (If you want me to be afraid, then be consistent in your logic, standards, and your lies!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
They are beating a dead horse... even with the massive amount of disinformation being foisted on a gullible public... it is still becoming more and more obvious that this has become a farce.

https://public.tableau.com/profile/dataviz8737#!/vizhome/COVID_excess_mort_withcauses_07152020/WithAndWithoutWeighting

If you look at the chart in the link you will see that excess deaths in the USA which are a little harder to fake are now below normal by a significant amount. And the excess deaths in previous months could easily be partially explained by shutting down medical facilities and preventing people from going to the hospital through fear and getting appropriate treatment for the real killers, cancer, heart disease, strokes and diabetes. This is not to mention that shutting down all the “health clubs” which do assist people with staying healthy through exercise likely also has a negative effect. I know my own parents who are in their 80s have declined markedly since not being able to go to the YMCA for several months.

14 posted on 08/11/2020 7:42:42 AM PDT by fireman15
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The Left has finally found a way to instill fear itself into the country in order to outright destroy it.

Which has been their goal all along.

Frankly, the business of America is business, not to be safe.


15 posted on 08/11/2020 7:42:44 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Must drag it out and try their best to make Nancy President ,LOL


16 posted on 08/11/2020 7:45:16 AM PDT by butlerweave
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Oh wow, anyone know where I can buy a truckload of toilet paper?

Idiots.


17 posted on 08/11/2020 7:46:44 AM PDT by McGavin999 (Not one politician or journalist has died of Covid)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Do the math. It all falls apart. Con job.


18 posted on 08/11/2020 7:46:55 AM PDT by blackdog (If you must cut a tree, plant two. It's just decency.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Six months ago they were saying 2.2 million. So, has PDJT saved 1.2 million lives?


19 posted on 08/11/2020 7:49:22 AM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no justice until The PIAPS is legally executed)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Keeping an enemy at the gate.


20 posted on 08/11/2020 7:51:01 AM PDT by Don Corleone (The truth the whole truth and nothing but the truth)
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