Posted on 06/26/2020 4:26:18 PM PDT by nwrep
If the general election for President were held today, 43 percent of registered voters said they'd choose vote for presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, while 39 percent said they would vote for a second President Trump term, a new Hill-HarrisX poll finds.
The four-point lead for the former vice president is down from 10 percentage points in the same poll from June 1-4. Trump trailed Biden 47-37 in that poll.
Party loyalty seems to be intensifying for the President with a 4 percentage point increase of support among Republican voters.
The Hill-HarrisX poll was conducted online among 951 registered voters between June 22-23. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.18 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
I would say there is something that Pres. Trump doesn’t want disclosed. What that is I have no idea. So your question will be answered after Roberts orders it released.
If the dems pulled the switch to harris, would the bernie-bros feel slighted? I have a feeling they would, and may not be so enthusiastic to vote for her.
Prior to all the rioting; I thought that the bernie bros would sit out the election in November to protest their patriarch getting hosed, two election cycles in a row. But with all of the rioting and white guilt on display, perhaps their hatred for President Trump overrides their desire to send a message to the DNC and they will vote for whomever they are told to vote for by their party masters.
It's amazing how fickle the democrats are. Harris had to drop out of the race because she had so little support, but the same people who did not support making her the candidate from the start may be asked to vote for her as prez.
Where does that leave the bernie bros? I would imagine they would feel a bit slighted that their guy had the proverbial football pulled away from him again.
It’s over. MBSs, CDOs, and their piggybacks insurance, now know they can’t survive any longer without us.
We are UNMOVABLE
The Dems see the same numbers and I predict a reigning in of damaging protests as the national mood goes sour against Antifa. I note more blacks with BLM sympathies seem to be turning against white anarchists who are co-opting their marches and causing damage to blacks’ own neighborhoods.
Nah - while some folks are afraid to say they support Trump, many are now embarrassed to say they support Senile Joe...
Chocolate rations have increased from 6 oz to 4 oz
Yes, that’s probably true.
Durham will turn out to be not even a hologram like Joe Biden. Durham is just a stock photo of some guy from Maud, Oklahoma.
Look for much fraud having to do with vote by mail.
And... The unknown. The unknown unknown, that is.
Polls this early are meaningless. It’s a, maybe more, political lifetime till the election.
Come September, the polls can be taken slightly more seriously.
Totally predictable. By the last week before the election the pollsters will be in accuracy range so they don’t look ridiculous when Trump wins by a landslide.
PS notice they are still polling registered voters not likely voters.
“registered voters”- the media’s lies on the last round of polling was probably even too much for them to believe so they had to scale it back some. Any poll that has registered voters is fake
If they will quit just polling downtown dimocratic strongholds, the polls would be a little more even. Come to our area and I GUARANTEE YOU it will be 98% for Trump.
Why should I tell a pollster the truth, anyway?
Just don’t start attacking Biden yet. - We need the DIMocRATS to actually nominate him, so that he can THEN be DESTROYED & take the DIMs Party down with him.
Yours, TMN78247
Great chart, insightful analysis. Thank you.
The manufacturing of one crises after another after another the past 4 years gives a lot of credence to your belief.
Four months in politics is a lifetime, especially in a media driven 24/7/365 propaganda cycle.
We've a long way to go.
But Jerry Nadler says antifa does not exist.
Not enough for joe
The way I was taught, if someone lies to you, you stop listening to them.
Am I the only one that was taught this?
So why do we keep obsessing over the latest polls, even though we know they are lies?
The best way to look at this election is to look at modern history, not polls:
Incumbents win re-election, unless...
1) There is something very wrong with the state of the union (Carter, 1980).
2) The incumbent is exceptionally weak (Carter, 1980).
3) The challenger is a super hero (Reagan, 1980).
4) A strong third party run splits the incumbent party vote (Perot, 1992).
Obviously, Trump is no Carter, Biden is no Reagan, and there is no Ross Perot to split the Republican vote in 2020.
That leaves only reason #1. The Democrat shutdown of the economy for Covid19 and the anti-police race riots in Democrat cities could qualify as a 1980-like “election year malaise”.
But it is doubtful for two reasons:
First, there is still time to bring the US economy back to life before November 3. Second, the Democrats have been so desperate to exploit the pandemic and the George Floyd incident for political advantage, that they have overplayed their hand.
Their political motives have been way too obvious, their talking points and programmed fake news narratives have sounded WAY too much like the propaganda that it is.
It is not a good look. This will backfire badly on the Democrats and they will rightfully end up taking the blame for all of this - NOT President Trump.
He will get credit for the rebound.
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