Polls this far out from an election are worse than meaningless. They are pure propaganda.
Ignore opinion polls.
Trump will win by 7.
I like it!
The standard for reading any poll in order to get a true picture should be to subtract 5 points from Biden and add 5 points for Trump.
and you can take it to the bank that the Undecided are mostly shy Trump voters...
What % of those polled are Dems and Repubs?
Oversampling of Dems and undersampling Repubs is usually par for the course for polls.
There are a whole lot of people whistling past the graveyard here just waiting until November.
Wait tell the president and pro-Trump PACs starting running ads that will make Biden melt.
If these numbers are legit, we have Biden right where we want him. Let’s face it. We need him to have a nominal lead at this point. If polls were showing him losing, the Dems would be all the more motivated to give the senile old coot the hook and install someone that isn’t, you know, 98 years old and suffering from dementia.
Based on “2020 likely voters” but no information on how they determined that.
Gary Johnson was a uniquely good Libertarian candidate (based on his results). That's partially because he ran twice in a row and didn't really take a break between campaigns. Se he ran continuously for 5 of 6 years, building momentum and name recognition. He was also a more plausible Presidential candidate than previous Libertarian candidates: a two term former Governor, his running mate for VP was also a former Governor.
I don't think the Libertarians are likely to have a candidate nearly as good as him again.
It’s good news only in comparison with other polls.
General rule of thumb: 3rd party candidates actually only get about half of what they poll. The other half goes to what the voter sees as the lesser of 2 evils.
Mail in ballots will be the key. It makes me very nervous.
Usually you worry a bit if an incumbent polls too far below 50%, but in this year, like in 2016, the democrat is an extremely well-known figure, so there isn’t a lot of “undecideds” who are going to “learn about” the other candidate.
Polls show that if the election was held today, most voters would be awfully surprised.
Honestly, I think any polls at this point are meaningless, one way or the other, and the election is probably up in the air. The Democrats are doing everything they can to hand it to Trump, but Trump hasn’t been doing himself many favors lately, either.
And this is with voters knowing zero, nada, nothing about Biden. I’m certain that if Trafalgar wanted to be accurate they could have factored in enthusiasm which of course they did not. In the history of poling there has not ever been an enthusiasm gap as big as the twice reported 30 + points in Trump’s favor. Try again Trafalgar.
NAFTA destroyed Michigan, period.
guess who voted for it... Sleepy Joe Biden
most L’s are just pissed off, disaffected R’s... the pothead Johnson got over 100k votes in 2016, I hope they come home after all these draconian lockdowns and riots
Hillary was 8% ahead in MI at this point
Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread Final Results -- -- -- 47.0 47.3 Trump +0.3 RCP Average 11/1 - 11/6 -- -- 47.0 43.4 Clinton +3.6 Trafalgar (R)* 11/6 - 11/6 1200 LV 2.8 47 49 Trump +2 Gravis* 11/1 - 11/4 1079 RV 3.0 46 41 Clinton +5 FOX 2 11/3 - 11/3 1007 LV 3.1 50 45 Clinton +5 PPP (D) 11/3 - 11/4 957 LV 3.2 50 44 Clinton +6 Detroit Free Press* 11/1 - 11/3 600 LV 4.0 42 38 Clinton +4 All Michigan: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data