Posted on 06/19/2020 8:35:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A majority (55%) of likely voters surveyed thought it was more likely (much more and somewhat more likely combined) that Vice President Biden is in the early stages of dementia, while 45% thought it was less likely (much less and somewhat less likely combined). Overall, subgroups who normally approve of Trump's job as president, were the most likely to believe Biden could be suffering from dementia. Thus, majorities of Republicans (77% more likely/23% less likely) and Independents (56% more likely/44% less likely) thought Joe Biden had early-onset dementia; while nearly a third of Democrats (32% more likely/68% less likely) thought this was the case
At the same time, some important subgroups did not believe the vice president was exhibiting a declining mental capacity. While a majority of men (60% more likely/40% less likely) thought it this was likely, women (50% more likely/50% less likely) were less likely to think that the vice president was in the early stages of dementia.
There was also an inverse relationship in the data between age and the likelihood of voters believing Biden had early-onset dementia, for example; as the age of voters increased the likelihood of voters believing Biden was exhibiting early-onset dementia decreased. Younger voters aged 18-24 (60% more likely/40% less likely) and 18-29 (59% more likely/41% less likely) were more likely to believe Biden had dementia than older voters aged 65+ (50% more likely/50% less likely).
Likely voters living in medium size cities (61% more likely/39% less likely) were more likely to believe Biden had dementia than voters living in the suburbs (52% more likely/48% less likely) and large cities (55% more likely/45% less likely). Suburban women (49% more likely/51% less likely) did not think Biden was mentally slipping but men living in urban areas (62% more likely/38% less likely) believed so.
African Americans (43% more likely/58% less likely) were less likely than Hispanics (61% more likely/39% less likely) to think Biden was in the early stages of dementia.
The voters most likely to believe Biden was having cognitive issues were staunch Trump supporters; weekly Walmart Shoppers (64% more likely/36% less likely), weekly Amazon shoppers (67% more likely/34% less likely) and union voters (71% more likely/29% less likely).
The issue of both candidates' physical fitness will be one of importance in the upcoming presidential election. Trump is 74 and is already taking heat about his health due to some unflattering images of him walking slowly. Questions surrounding Biden's health and physical fitness will be front and center because the president will use this against the vice president. Truth be told, Biden has not looked that great in his few video appearances, and has yet to really hit the trail with a winning message due to Covid-19. At some point the former vice president will need to be his best if he is going to win over voters, and appeal to important swing voters in order to defeat President Trump. Right now voters have questions concerning Biden's mental health and stamina, but will it cost him votes in November is undiagnosable at the moment.
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Zogby Analytics Poll Methodology
US Likely Voters
6/1/20 - 6/2/20
Zogby Analytics conducted an online survey of 1007 likely voters in the US.
Using internal and trusted interactive partner resources, thousands of adults were randomly invited to participate in this interactive survey. Each invitation is password coded and secure so that one respondent can only access the survey one time.
Using information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books and exit polls, we use complex weighting techniques to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed. Weighted variables may include age, race, gender, region, party, education, and religion. The party breakdown for this survey is as follows: 36% Democrat, 36% Republican and 28% Independent/unaffiliated.
Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 1007 is +/- 3.1 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.
Subsets of the data have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data especially sets smaller than 50-75 respondents. At that subset we can make estimations based on the data, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative.
Additional factors can create error, such as question wording and question order.
About Zogby Analytics:
Zogby Analytics is respected nationally and internationally for its opinion research capabilities. Since 1984, Zogby has empowered clients with powerful information and knowledge critical for making informed strategic decisions.
The firm conducts multi-phased opinion research engagements for banking and financial services institutions, insurance companies, hospitals and medical centers, retailers and developers, religious institutions, cultural organizations, colleges and universities, IT companies and Federal agencies. Zogby's dedication and commitment to excellence and accuracy are reflected in its state-of-the-art opinion research capabilities and objective analysis and consultation.
My uncle was on Aricept. It made no difference that anyone else could see but it is the goto drug. It makes a lot of money for its source. Actually uncle’s daughter would put Turmeric extract powder on his food when she visited and if she could be there more than a couple days in a row that did seem to brighten him up a little for a few days.
“Frightening that they still want to elect someone that they think is going senile.”
It’s the VP that matters!
God help any member of Congress who is using his or her position to get their hands on a med or meds denied to the general public.
“The truly sad aspect of this is the fact that nobody loves Joe enough to spare him the inevitable humiliation.”
Can’t be repeated enough. From the party of compassion.
There is a reason they are swing voters, because they are emotional, stand for nothing “members” of our society. They are taken in by the slickest packaging.
I saw an ad on a youtube video by dementia joe... they couldn’t even edit the ad well enough to hide it.
RE: No reason not to vote for him. His wife will help him.
Then to be honest to the electorate, they should just run JILL BIDEN as the President, not Joe.
Confirms that swing voters are only dimly aware of their own existence.
I was watching a youtube video and one of Joe’s ads popped up. It was “uh” every few words. I couldn’t believe it. How many takes did it take to finally give up and say, that’s the best we can do.
The left is pushing the narrative that Trump is the one with dementia. They are obviously projecting onto Trump what is wrong with Biden. The media reports it as fact.
I seriously doubt the media will even mention this poll including Fox News. You’ll hear crickets. I hope Trump tweets it, but they’ll probably tag it as false news.
Any poll mentioning Trump down is breathlessly repeated on every tv show and online site.
“This race is not between Trump and Biden. Its between Trump and anti-Trump. You could put a cardboard cutout in the place of Biden and nothing would change.”
indeed ... but i think the cardboard cutout would get more votes than a demented biden because not all anti-trumpers hate trump so much that they’d literally be willing to put a literally demented person in charge of the free world ... many of those will vote 3rd party; i personally know someone like that: she’s a “progressive” and trump-hater, but she’s also still rational enough she won’t vote for a demented person ...
If he’s only up 5 points on the President in June, before the campaign begins, he has no hope. 3 1/2 years of blanket negative coverage and false allegations against the President, Biden should be up 15 points at this stage. He will be steamrolled by the Trump Train this fall.
One caveat. We think the left must have run out of possible direct and indirect attacks on President Trump. We have seen endless investigations by the Deep State, a fake impeachment, vindictive political decisions by Roberts at the USSC, the use of the Wuhan Virus to tank the economy, and now open insurrection aided and abetted by Democrat Governors and Mayors. What will be their October surprise? There’s only one thing they haven’t tried. I fear for the President’s safety.
The media will try to.
Trump could reach down his throat and extract his heart and lungs and the media will praise Joe's "strong debate performance".
“Nothing early about it”
+1
“Biden is in the late stages of being an idiot.”
Exactly. He’s been an idiot for a LONG time.
What we are seeing is not “early stages”. Biden’s dementia is quite advanced. I’ve seen it in my own family up close.
They'd even vote for him if he's in a casket.
Millions know Bidens state of mind but will vote for him, regardless.
There will be no debates. They can’t risk it.
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