Posted on 02/23/2020 8:42:39 PM PST by Stepan12
In the 2016 US presidential elections, most polls declared that 70% of American Jews voted for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. In my opinion, American Jewish support for Trump is far higher than commonly thought. Before you recommend sending me to a mental health clinic, please read my reasoning in the article below.
The first question is, of course, who is a Jew? In the United States, voter registration does not indicate voter religion. Polls are conducted by companies that specialize in the Jewish population. The problem is that these companies are actually surveying a partial and unrepresentative group of the Jewish population and therefore the results are distorted.
The largest group not represented at all in the polls are Israeli-Americans. These are Israelis who emigrated to the United States and are citizens with voting rights. Their numbers are not accurately known and there are several estimates ranging from 600,000 to one million. Trump support in this group is very high. There are no official polls on the percentage of support, but I believe that 80% is a conservative estimate. Pollsters do not know how to reach these voters and they only manage to measure a very small percentage of them.
The next group is the ultra-Orthodox. They number about 500,000. Most of them are Trump voters and are voting in high percentages. On the other hand, it is important to remember that the percentage of children in the ultra-Orthodox population is relatively higher than the average population, so the number of voters is not the same ratio as in other populations. They are not surveyed at all because the cost of conducting the survey in this population is very expensive.
The third group is immigrants from the former Soviet Union and their children. These are 350,000, most of whom are Trump voters. For a variety of reasons, too, they are rarely surveyed. Of course, the groups are not homogeneous — for example, a child of an Israeli who marries a third-generation Jew in America — making the measurement even more difficult.
Over the past 30 years, there has been massive internal immigration from the population centers in the north to the “Southwest Belt.” This includes Orange County, California; San Diego County Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Atlanta, and Florida. This migration also includes Jews, and these Jewish communities are growing at a rapid rate. Most polling models still use the old population distribution. We do not know who the “migrant” voters are, but most of them live in conservative areas.
As we can see, most of the polls actually survey less than 50% of the Jewish population that is located in the old Jewish centers and who are largely Democratic voters. If we consider all four populations described above where the percentage of support for Trump is high, it is even possible that a majority of Jews actually voted for Trump.
Adding that to the fact that many voters are afraid to admit that they voted for Trump (especially to their Democrat friends), the obvious conclusion is that the real situation on the ground is the opposite of the common media theme about Hillary. I cannot predict what will happen in 2020, but this trend is likely to continue and may even be strengthened, especially if the Democratic Party chooses an anti-Israeli candidate.
Yossie Hollander is chairman of the Israeli Institute for Economic Planning.
If a small percentage of blacks, Jews, and Latinos, turn for Trump, it will result in entire states being turned.
Sucks, to be those states that committed to turn all their EC votes over to the winner of the state.
It’s been my experience in Staten Island and Brooklyn that the lower to middle income Jewish folks I know vote Republican.
The ones who grew up lower to middle income and went on to make very good money still voted R
The Jews I know that were born into wealth vote D.
That’s just my experience.
Maybe that’s the way it is with many groups.
I ran the numbers. If 28% of blacks had voted for Trump in 2016, only Virginia would’ve gone red.
If 32% had voted for Trump, then Minnesota and Nevada would also have gone red.
Never once have I seen even a hint that he objected in any way. And, he and Ivanka are very close. Her husband is a prominent part of the Trump administration.
Any Jew who does not support DJT must have a death wish.
If this article was “food for thought” then call me a “Kosher Trump Voter” and pass the brisket.
I missed his broad Jewish support among members of the House & Senate.
Sorry...I can’t see it.
You make the major point. The Lawfare Group behind the Meuller fiasco and the sham impeachment coup attempts are all Jewish attorneys. Schiff, Nadler, and their staffs are largely Jewish attorneys. Sanders, Soros, Zuckerberg, and so many other nefarious figures in our politics are Jewish. Even Dershowitz is a compromised, confused political figure, though he gave minor advice to Trump. The Jewish community in this country overwhelmingly support the Marxocrats, always have, and probably always will.
“Sucks, to be those states that committed to turn all their EC votes over to the winner of the state.”
that won’t happen until enough states join the pact that have a total of at least 270 electoral votes ... so that whole deal is moot at this point and not likely to happen any time soon ...
Thanks for pointing this out.
It’s a widely misunderstood issue for the general public.
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