Posted on 02/05/2020 2:13:39 PM PST by janetjanet998
There are currently 27, 602 confirmed cases worldwide, including 564 fatalities.
SAN DIEGO — Four of the 167 evacuees who arrived at MCAS Miramar Wednesday from the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak in China have been transported to local hospitals.
The stylus I carry? Or, their signature pad?
Yes...you can wipe the stylus off with a Lysol wipe.
Ya, the stylus.
Wouldn’t hurt to wipe the signature pad too :)
*** I keep one on me, for grocery pick up and one at my front door, for any deliveries requiring signature. It’s a pen/stylus combo. ***
I always have my own pen, but I always misplace those little stylus things. The combo sounds like a good idea. I need to get one.
I think I’ve read similar, on a few threads, here :- /
This could go pear shaped in a hurry...
https://www.zbcnews.co.zw/zimbabwe-has-506-people-being-monitored-for-suspected-novel-corona-virus/
Oh no. Were they on the Marine base before they were transported? This is not good.
Walmart usually has them.
Remember when this virus first started being reported....and, several said.....once it hits the African continent.....bar the door?
506 being monitored??? That sure escalated quickly.
Scary!!
That sounds like the leading edge of sheer panic.
UPDATE: Two more flights:
Two other chartered planes from China are expected to arrive by Thursday at Lackland Air Force Base in San Antonio, Texas, and Eppley Airfield in Omaha, Nebraska...
“... a “small child” among the new arrivals at Travis “had a fever on the flight and is being evaluated now at a nearby hospital,” said Dr. Henry Walke...“Children have fever for a number of different reasons,” Walke said at an afternoon news conference at Travis...”
Thanks for that info. (Doubling time in the other cities with >100 confirmed cases.)
The following is mostly thinking aloud, but with questions for certain posters who badly misread what is happening, due to a lack of ability to look into the future, I guess:
I ran a crude prediction a few threads back which assumed a doubling time of 80 hours (guesstimate for all reports several days ago, averaged for a few days). It came out at nearly 4 BILLION people as confirmed cases, by early April.
4.5 days doubling period moves that back to late April. The confirmed cases lag infections, so who knows how many are actually infected, even if the Chinese numbers are correct. (BIG if.)
I keep hoping to see further slowing in the doubling time, or the increase in new cases per day (basically just expressions of the same thing). But right now, it doesn’t seem to be happening. That tells me the Chinese efforts are helping, but, probably not enough. At some time they’ll get to the point where their caregivers are overwhelmed, and then the fatality rate for whichever denominator one chooses is going to jump.
Obviously, China doesn’t have 4 billion people, and, one would hope international travel bans, quarantines, and so on will slow this thing in at least some countries outside China. IN China, however... If the above holds*, how does one NOT get to a situation in April where, say, 1/4 of the Chinese population are ill enough to be “confirmed cases”? (I think even the Chinese likely don’t have the ability to confirm that many.) If care for most victims PLUS most of those needing care for other health problems is severely compromised, what is the effective fatality rate? How many die from the economic disruptions, globally? What countries may be ravaged? There’s no way those things do not affect us.
As one of my instructors told a small group of us back in college, back when some profs were still sensible, “I think this country can ride out a hell of a storm.” I still firmly believe that, but I don’t particularly want to experience it.
*What can realistically change the present trajectory?
Good God, I hope I’m wrong, but I see no reasoned analysis to bolster that hope, if the Chinese’ efforts don’t take hold soon. (Ignorant comparisons with flus we’ve seen the last decade or so don’t count!)
I read somewhere that there are only 2 labs on the continent that can perform that test.
On top of that the took a couple evacuees to Rady’s Children's Hospital risking the other patients who are..wait for it...children.
Child taken to hospital yesterday from March AB, tests negative returns to base
PE won’t give me the article free but here’s the link anyway
https://www.pe.com/2020/02/05/child-under-coronavirus-quarantine-doing-pretty-well-day-after-going-to-riverside-county-hospital/
I’m sure I’ve seen articles in the past week of people who initially test negative, but then come back as positive, even without having (as far as we know) been exposed to other carriers in the meantime.
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