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Correlation Between Unemployment and the Minimum Wage ( There is none)
Syracuse University ^ | 10/4/16 | Syracuse University

Posted on 08/16/2019 6:30:54 AM PDT by central_va

With the “Fight for $15 External link ” making headlines, opinions abound about whether raising the federal minimum wage will have a positive or negative effect on unemployment rates. Advocates of an increase cite the impossible task of making ends meet on today’s paltry sum of $7.25 an hour and say an increase would have little effect on the overall economy. Those against such a move predict that doing so would cause employers to lay off more and hire less—raising unemployment rates as a result. As is often the case with such emotionally charged issues, especially in an election year, the broader conversation about the minimum wage tends to involve more feeling than historical fact. To balance such a dynamic, we decided to turn to the data to see what it reveals.

(Excerpt) Read more at onlinebusiness.syr.edu ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 15dollarminimumwage; emplyment; inflation; minwage; noeffect
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Overall, what we see is that while those on both sides of the Fight for $15 may have strong arguments to back up their claims, the data doesn’t seem to reveal a significant and consistent correlation for either camp.
1 posted on 08/16/2019 6:30:54 AM PDT by central_va
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To: central_va
Correlation Between Unemployment and the Minimum Wage
2 posted on 08/16/2019 6:33:24 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va

The NEW minimum wage for those unemployed is ZERO.


3 posted on 08/16/2019 6:34:06 AM PDT by Drango (A liberal's compassion is limited only by the size of someone else's wallet.)
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To: central_va

I love academia, this is real simple go to, Seattle talk to the restaurant people end of discussion ...


4 posted on 08/16/2019 6:35:35 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: central_va

The stat you’d need to look at is how many people are making minimum wage.

Unemployment would correlate across all income levels. The better the economy, the lower unemployment overall, and the more likely a commie will want to increase minimum wage.


5 posted on 08/16/2019 6:38:22 AM PDT by fruser1
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To: central_va

Not all employment is created equal. This study should have segregated employment for wage earners and salaried employees.


6 posted on 08/16/2019 6:38:34 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: central_va
Yes there is correlation! If you are unemployed, you will get the minimum wage!......................🤑
7 posted on 08/16/2019 6:39:07 AM PDT by Red Badger (Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain......................)
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To: central_va

The context of this paper is flawed.

If the minimum suddenly wage went to $1000 they’d certainly see a correlation.

I think the proper way to state the outcome of this study is to say there is little correlation based on historical minimum wage changes and the state of the economy at that time.


8 posted on 08/16/2019 6:39:16 AM PDT by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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To: central_va

Unfortunately this article is 3 years old, so it doesn’t figure in the unemployment rate under Trump.


9 posted on 08/16/2019 6:39:56 AM PDT by chaosagent (Remember, no matter how you slice it, forbidden fruit still tastes the sweetest!)
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To: Lockbox
I see the Free Republics intelligentsia is out in force. Did you go to the link and look at the data? No, you didn't.

The reports on this from Seattle are BS. Many small businesses fail or let people go and that is normal. The min wage "disaster" is like the global warming hoax.

10 posted on 08/16/2019 6:40:16 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va

11 posted on 08/16/2019 6:44:32 AM PDT by C210N (qui)
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To: central_va

Assuming this study applies to unemployment of low wage earners, some demand is inelastic, meaning it takes time for price increase to affect demand. For example, increase in cigarette prices wont immediately affect demand but over time it will. Also gas prices.

An increase in minimum wage will not have immediate affect. Employers need time to make adjustments.


12 posted on 08/16/2019 6:45:14 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: central_va

I dunno man.

I STOPPED going to fast food places on Staten Island because the waits have become UNBEARABLY long since higher wages have kicked in.

Coincidence? Maybe. I don’t much believe in coincidences.

On the plus side, I’m a fat #### so the long lines repelling me from going are a good thing :)


13 posted on 08/16/2019 6:45:54 AM PDT by dp0622 (Bad, bad company Till the day I die.)
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To: central_va

Simply would not believe any analysis of data done by tenured left wing faculty at Syracuse University. Did you expect they would arrive at a conclusion that ran contrary to the current “progressive” narrative? “Academia” is badly compromised.


14 posted on 08/16/2019 6:46:07 AM PDT by allendale (.)
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To: fruser1
If the Republican Party is to EVER going to be a pro American worker blue collar MAJORITY party, instead of a minority boutique "investor party", they have to stop this hatred of wage earners.

IMO this is a loser issue for the GOP unless they get on board with a counter offer of $12/hr then tie the increases to inflation. Dear GOP, GET THIS OFF THE TABLE! The min wage is litmus test for millions of VOTERS that went to vote for Republicans but can't seem to shake the perception that it is at it's core a globalist party ( which it is for the most part).

15 posted on 08/16/2019 6:47:18 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: allendale

The GOP needs to get behind an increase of the min wage FOR POLITICAL REASONS. The current $7.25/hr is joke and to stand behind that makes us all( I still consider myself a Republican but I wonder about this party some times) look out of touch with reality.


16 posted on 08/16/2019 6:50:36 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va
Nobody cares about your charts and empirical data. Statistics can lie. Data can be manipulated to make it say whatever you want it to say.

People go by the real world effects. And in the real world, there are layoffs, full-time jobs downsized to part-time jobs, higher prices, and even some companies closing because of the government-mandated higher minimum wages.

Screw the ivory tower's view of the real world. They've never lived in it themselves.

17 posted on 08/16/2019 6:52:40 AM PDT by HotHunt (Been there. Done that.)
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To: central_va

Whatever your political persuasion, you ultimately face ruin if you base your policies on politically correct delusions. Real progress and social justice only happens when harsh reality is honestly defined and understood.


18 posted on 08/16/2019 6:55:19 AM PDT by allendale (.)
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To: central_va

Did the study consider the minimum wage after inflation? A correlation will most certainly develop if the minimum wage increases enough in constant dollars. No matter what the leftist academics at SU claim, your local Starbucks will go out of business if the minimum wage increases to $30/hour. If it increases a lesser amount, there may not be layoffs, but consumers will suffer price increases, and pension funds holding Starbucks stock will be hurt. There’s no socialist free lunch.


19 posted on 08/16/2019 6:55:35 AM PDT by Socon-Econ (adical Islam,)
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To: central_va

What does the law of supply and demand mean?

The law of supply states that the quantity of a good supplied (i.e., the amount owners or producers offer for sale) rises as the market price rises, and falls as the price falls. Conversely, the law of demand (see demand) says that the quantity of a good demanded falls as the price rises, and vice versa.


20 posted on 08/16/2019 6:56:48 AM PDT by Raycpa
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