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How Roy Moore Could Actually Win Alabama’s Republican Senate Primary
FiveThirtyEight ^ | Live Blog: Women’s World Cup Jun. 20, 2019 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 06/24/2019 10:19:09 AM PDT by Texan4Life

A large primary field may fragment the vote, making it unlikely that a candidate could win a majority and avoid a runoff and making it easier for Moore to advance to a runoff with only the support of his base.

The point is that Moore does have a path — especially a path to a primary runoff if there’s a crowded GOP field. And if he does get there, he would be only one step away from a rematch with Jones.

Moore would still have a decent chance of winning a general election in conservative Alabama, and that is surely a big part of why he’s running again.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: alabama; marajadetroll; primary; republican; senate
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To: marajade

Independents didn’t pick Moore. Conservative Republicans did.


241 posted on 06/24/2019 3:31:04 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no o<ither sovereignty.")
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To: DiogenesLamp

If that is the case, then why did Moore lose?


242 posted on 06/24/2019 3:31:54 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Wasn’t Moore on the Alabama Supreme Court twice?
Once he resigned over a Federal court ruling?
The other time he was impeached! Why was he impeached? I’ve heard two stories. Alabamians what are the facts? Both cases!


243 posted on 06/24/2019 3:32:00 PM PDT by Reily
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To: Fresh Wind

Strange would never have won the general with that corruption hanging over his head. It’s baffling that he has not been indicted for obstruction of justice as AG. Too many ignorant people on this thread have not a clue what was going on in Alabama in 2017. They also don’t comprehend why the corrupt establishment had their knives out to filet Moore for taking out Strange. Moore was the anti-corruption and anti-establishment candidate. The RINOs preferred having a Communist Demonrat Senator to someone who would expose their corruption and political machine.


244 posted on 06/24/2019 3:34:10 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: DiogenesLamp

Akin lost when people realized how F’ing stupid he was.


245 posted on 06/24/2019 3:36:28 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Kazan

Nonsense...

He had the media, the RNC, the GOPe, the DNC, our members in the Senate, and the House slamming him.

They ran robocalls against him the day before the election, and possibly on election day as well.

Now you’ve determined he was just a lousy candidate.

Even you must see SOME weakness in your premise, blaming it all on him.

It’s remarkable how close he came.


246 posted on 06/24/2019 3:40:06 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent...)
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To: marajade
And you've been told that Moore filed his own sworn affidavit in response, which you have declined to reply.

If sworn affidavits are so important to you, shouldn't we believe all sworn affidavits?

-PJ

247 posted on 06/24/2019 3:46:16 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: marajade

And were utterly without merit. Because, after all, women never make false allegations against Republicans. Just ask Justices Clarence Thomas and Kavanaugh.


248 posted on 06/24/2019 3:46:49 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: Reily

I think he was impeached because he wouldn’t enforce same sex marriage after the USSC made it the law.


249 posted on 06/24/2019 3:47:25 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade

Asked and answered repeatedly. You’re reaching “troll” level on this thread, ma’am.


250 posted on 06/24/2019 3:47:55 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Obviously I was in the majority in AL because Moore lost. All they have in AL is conservative voters. If you read these Moore threads more are against him than for him, including the President himself who says he doesn’t want Moore to run.


251 posted on 06/24/2019 3:49:56 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: Kazan

Dick Nixon ran for President and lost. Then eight years later he ran again and won. He was a good President and, no, he was not a crook. It can be done if Republicans vote Republican.


252 posted on 06/24/2019 3:50:14 PM PDT by Mashood
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To: Reily

Yes. Twice (1/2001-11/2003; 2013-4/2017). He was removed twice for COURAGEOUSLY standing up to the federal judicial thuggery. The first time for standing up for his own first amendment rights on religion, the second time for refusing to abide by the unconstitutional Obergefell edict.


253 posted on 06/24/2019 3:51:09 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: Conserv

There you go again.


254 posted on 06/24/2019 3:51:45 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

The truth is the truth.

Akin is an idiot who answered a gotcha question with a most absurd answer.

He was too stupid to get around it.

Hell, I don’t even think he saw it.


255 posted on 06/24/2019 3:54:23 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Kazan

The objective is to end up with the most conservative candidate that is electable.


Sadly, the GOP establishment does not agree and chose to openly campaign for progressive Democrat Jones in this case. Going so far as to send the 83 year old GOP senior senator from Alabama on a barnstorming tour of the state on election eve to suppress the GOP vote and elect a progressive Democrat.

Given that the GOPe prefer Democrats to conservatives it seems the Buckley rule is dead for good. What’s good for the goose...


256 posted on 06/24/2019 3:55:20 PM PDT by lodi90
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To: marajade

Where in the Constitution does it read that the Supreme Court is authorized to enact law[s].?


257 posted on 06/24/2019 3:55:31 PM PDT by sport
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To: fieldmarshaldj

It is interesting Mo Brooks doesn’t want to run against a wounded Moore again. Doesn’t say much for him, too. Pretty thin GOP bench in Alabama these days, apparently.


258 posted on 06/24/2019 3:56:42 PM PDT by lodi90
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To: Conserv

I’ll let you know when you speak the truth. Just keep talking out of your butt.


259 posted on 06/24/2019 3:57:44 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: marajade

That was what I heard for the resignation not the impeachment.


260 posted on 06/24/2019 3:58:32 PM PDT by Reily
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