[DoodleDawg]

OK so we know the Republicans need seats in 2020. The question is where they will come from. Jones in Alabama is an obvious pickup, but if Roy Moore is the nominee then that can't be a guarantee. The Democrats are going to go after Collins, McSally and Gardner like crazy but I'm not sure Tillis is as vulnerable as 538 says he is. On the Democrats, Shaheen may not be all that vulnerable depending on opponent. Peters won election in 2014 - an off year for Democrats - by 14 points so I don't see him as all that vulnerable. The rest are all solid blue states. So increasing the Republican majority might be iffy.

[DoughtyOne]

Yeah, why Roy Moore when we could have another Susan Collins.

[calljack]

How do you win the vice presidency?

[tellw]

Trump won 30 states in 2016. So in theory 60 seats for the GOP could happen one day.

[Mr Rogers]

McSally in Arizona is likely to have a terrible opponent. Unfortunately, she may be even worse.

[apillar]

Republican senators representing left-leaning states — Susan Collins (R-Maine), Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Cory Gardner (R-Colo.)

North Carolina is left leaning state? I agree with the other two, but North Carolina is slightly purple at worst, but far from "left leaning".

[LRoggy]

We’re defending more seats, aren’t we? Keep it at 53 and we’ll be thrilled, with a Trump reelection and win back the House. Then have some fun and we all troll AOC for being the cause of the loss of the House.

[Repeal The 17th]

34 Senate Seats in 2020 Election (12R 22D)
Alabama	Democrat	Doug Jones
Delaware	Democrat	Chris Coons
Illinois	Democrat	Dick Durbin
Massachusetts	Democrat	Ed Markey
Michigan	Democrat	Gary Peters
Minnesota	Democrat	Tina Smith
New Hampshire	Democrat	Jeanne Shaheen
New Jersey	Democrat	Cory Booker
New Mexico	Democrat	Tom Udall	(retiring)
Oregon	Democrat	Jeff Merkley
Rhode Island	Democrat	Jack Reed
Virginia	Democrat	Mark Warner
Alaska	Republican	Dan Sullivan
Arizona	Republican	Martha McSally
Arkansas	Republican	Tom Cotton
Colorado	Republican	Cory Gardner
Georgia	Republican	David Perdue
Idaho	Republican	Jim Risch
Iowa	Republican	Joni Ernst
Kansas	Republican	Pat Roberts	(retiring)
Kentucky	Republican	Mitch McConnell
Louisiana	Republican	Bill Cassidy
Maine	Republican	Susan Collins
Mississippi	Republican	Cindy Hyde-Smith
Montana	Republican	Steve Daines
Nebraska	Republican	Ben Sasse
North Carolina	Republican	Thom Tillis
Oklahoma	Republican	Jim Inhofe
South Carolina	Republican	Lindsey Graham
South Dakota	Republican	Mike Rounds
Tennessee	Republican	Lamar Alexander	(retiring)
Texas	Republican	John Cornyn
West Virginia	Republican	Shelley Moore Capito
Wyoming	Republican	Mike Enzi

 

[OldMissileer]

The only reason I think Lindsey Graham is acting as a conservative is due to the upcoming election. If he wins again he will revert back to what he really is. I have watched him become conservative during his reelection bids and then turn into a Democrat the day after.

If he wins he will be back bashing President Trump within 48 hours. I will admit my mistake if he does not but history is on my side. He is a corrupt professional politician and nothing more.

[ryderann]

Sure hope Tillis has a strong challenger in the primary so we can send him home. What a mistake he’s been.

[SMGFan]

Pre-election predictions

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections#Pre-election_predictions

[SMGFan]

could defeat MN Smith if Trump takes MN

[Alberta's Child]

Let’s face it, folks. The GOP blew a huge opportunity in 2018 when they failed to win more Senate races that were very winnable.

[Bullish]

If they win the Senate and hold the house then kiss the Trump admin and MAGA goodbye.

[Political Junkie Too]

The Senate race will be all about Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

If she doesn't die in the next six months, Democrats will insist on the Biden Rule in 2020.

-PJ

[HamiltonJay]

Doug Jones is DOA....

So Dems would need to take at least 4 to put the Senate at 50-50 and 5 to take control (because Trump ain’t losing).

And other than Collins being taken out for her vote for Kavanaugh. I don’t see any other GOP being in any real threat in 2020.. unless some scandal would pop up or something.

So, my guess is, Jones is replaced by a GOP, and Collins possibly being flipped... for a wash. McSally would be a wild card since she lost before, incumbency may not be enough for her to hold the seat..

So, worst case, Dems net +1.

Udall will be an uncontested seat, so that’s a possible opening for a GOP pickup.. to make 2020 a wash.

[wbill]

Well...

Not to disparage the MSM, but they should do a little more research. Right now, the only competition for Collins consists of a Travel Agent, and a lawyer who identifies as a "Queer Feminist Mermaid".

Seriously. Not making this stuff up.

[Zathras]

Unless McSally fires the ex-McCain advisors, she is going to loose.

[Logical me]

The communists Democrats have a better plan to wining than the fainting Republicans. Trump is trying his best but I fear that it will not be enough. The Democrats using all our talking points to win and then prove to be communist to the core. Will be a hard fight when so close. Proof, the now House. Should not have happened.

[alternatives?]

Do Republicans have a chance in NM?

[ScottinVA]

Some of the fiercest races will come from Virginia, North Carolina and New Hampshire

Virginia will be one of the fiercest races? In what alternative reality will that occur? In this blue state, Mark Warner will be in that Senate seat until he's good and ready to leave.