WHATEVER HAPPENS . . .

self | 11/6/2018 | LS

[LS]

Whatever happens, please do NOT be goaded into hysteria by Drudge or ANY sources (including me) saying "this is happening" or "that is happening," or above all . . .

"EXIT POLLS SHOW . . . "

Let me remind some of you newer Freepers about election day 2004.

Everything came down to OH. If George W. Bush won OH, he won the election. If Lurch (John Kerry) won it, he would win.

I was working for the Bush campaign in Dayton, OH as a "Poll flusher." Perhaps now technology has mitigated this, but at that time, teams would fan out to key polling places at 10:00 am and 4:00 pm and see how many of your party in that precinct had voted already, then send out walkers or make calls to get those turned out who hadn't already voted.

It just so happened that my precinct was one of the key bellwether precincts in all of OH. However the precinct I was flushing went, so went OH, and so went the election. It's one of those that the networks use to "call" a state with only 1% of the vote in.

10:00 was normal, maybe high for Repubilcans. But I got home and saw Drudge headlines screaming about exit polls, how Bush was losing badly. Well, I hadn't seen that but who knows? Freepers were jumping out of buildings.

At 4:00 though, I found that 90% of Rs had already voted. We were told by Rove that if Rs just voted in OH, we'd win because of the voter registration advantage. I knew if, before work was even over for most people, 90% of Rs had voted we would easily hit 100% in this key precinct. The Ds couldn't win.

I posted my #s then got back to the computer and tried to calm people that in fact we'd won the election despite the exit polls. Bush won by 117,000---Trump won FL in 2016 by 113,000.

Moral of the story: DO NOT be intimidated or frightened by ANYTHING you see on the news or or Drudge. In in MT, in IN, and in AZ, we will win if Rs turn out. Indies in these states would have to break 2:1 against the R for the D to win. FL is a different story with its D-heavy registration, but over and over we've shown Rs can win that state just by turning out.

No one knows about the House. My prediction is we hold by as few as five and as many as fifteen seats. But these are individual races with really, really bad polling and it's extremely doubtful that the "news" is going to know what's going on til the votes are counted. (Remember 2016, where Trump had a very late lead in VA and NH? Many here knew that Northern VA was coming in and would change that, but no one knew a bunch of MA fraudsters were going to NH to vote!

There will be no reliable House numbers from precincts until most of them are closed, esp. in more rural areas.

As with 2016, if you watch the fake news, remember if there is a D victory, they will call it at 8:01. If the evidence suggests that Ds have won key "flip" districts like VA5, VA10, FL26, FL27, NY19, NY22 (and they need almost all of them), they will post it immediately.

My guess is if you don't know who won the House and you go to bed, the Rs probably held.

Now, as it was in 2016, this is in God's hands. Let's let Him do His work. We don't always know the twists and turns of His plans.

[Spiridon]

Out here in wacky 11 as designated by the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, Smucker verus King. They think they can elect the Democrat King by bending it around two counties.

[mad_as_he$$]

May be in God’s hands but we still need to GOTV!

[AppyPappy]

Remember this:
“Some thoughts on those angry voters. Ask parents of any two-year-old and they can tell you about those temper tantrums: the stomping feet, the rolling eyes, the screaming. It’s clear that the anger controls the child and not the other way around. It’s the job of the parent to teach the child to control the anger and channel it in a positive way. Imagine a nation full of uncontrolled two-year-old rage. The voters had a temper tantrum last week....Parenting and governing don’t have to be dirty words: the nation can’t be run by an angry two-year-old.”
— ABC World News Tonight anchor Peter Jennings in his daily ABC Radio commentary, November 14, 1994.

[kabar]

Praise the Lord and pass the ammunition. And we’ll all stay free.

Fired up and ready to go.

[jjotto]

Thanks for this.

Early evening will be an avalanche of fake projections and winner calls that will later be retracted.

“Don’t panic!”

[OKSooner]

BTTT

[Scarpetta]

I go to the Daily Mail for frivolous news. Their leftist bias is gag inducing, but at least I can vent in their comments sections.

[stockpirate]

Wish I was a democrat, then I could vote 20 times for the R’s

[Repeal The 17th]

Handy-Dandy Poll Closing Time List
(times shown are Eastern Time Zone)
(**=multiple time zones)

7:00
Georgia
Indiana **
Kentucky **
South Carolina
Vermont
Virginia

7:30
North Carolina
Ohio
West Virginia

8:00
Alabama
Connecticut
Delaware
Florida **
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Mississippi
Missouri
New Hampshire **
New Jersey
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Tennessee

8:30
Arkansas

9:00
Arizona
Colorado
Kansas **
Louisiana
Michigan **
Minnesota
Nebraska
New Mexico
New York
North Dakota **
South Dakota **
Texas **
Wisconsin
Wyoming

10:00
Iowa
Montana
Nevada
Utah

11:00
California
Hawaii
Idaho **
Oregon **
Washington

1:00 AM
Alaska **

[milagro]

I will NEVER forget election night 2016 and your thread here on FR. It was a lifeline in a very chaotic sea of media reporting, and I SO thank you for it and ALL you do for us here at FR!
It is MAGAnificent!

[comps4spice]

BTTT. Great post.

[HANG THE EXPENSE]

Thank you LS

[CanasYGanas]

Thanks! Marking for later.

[thirdgradeteacher]

The enthusiasm here on FR is overall is very high. I believe tonight will bring good news. I’m looking forward to the YouTube videos of the meltdowns.

Thanks for your post!

[Sarcasm Factory]

Thank you for sharing your voice of sanity and reason, LS. I tried just this morning to vote but was driven back by heavy rain after learning that the polling station had been suddenly relocated after being hosted in a nearby firehouse for more than 14 years. Ugh.

I'll walk to the new location way down the street when the rain lightens or clears up in the afternoon. Then I'll do some work while waiting for the Democrats to either start snorting and chuckling on television in that arrogant, sneering way they have when they think they're winning or else start mysteriously staying very quiet in that delightful manner you described. ^_^

[PaulZe]

i did too. Was there when polls opened. I was voter 35 in my precinct. Mostly an older crowd. Started raining as i left the polling place

[MEG33]

Good Advice!

[HANG THE EXPENSE]

I did the same.

[moovova]

Qualifies for a “Boom!”.

[McGavin999]

I’m waiting for daylight so I can go vote. My polling place has the absolute worst parking I’ve ever seen, but I can’t wait to vote.