Posted on 11/06/2018 4:50:16 AM PST by LS
Whatever happens, please do NOT be goaded into hysteria by Drudge or ANY sources (including me) saying "this is happening" or "that is happening," or above all . . .
"EXIT POLLS SHOW . . . "
Let me remind some of you newer Freepers about election day 2004.
Everything came down to OH. If George W. Bush won OH, he won the election. If Lurch (John Kerry) won it, he would win.
I was working for the Bush campaign in Dayton, OH as a "Poll flusher." Perhaps now technology has mitigated this, but at that time, teams would fan out to key polling places at 10:00 am and 4:00 pm and see how many of your party in that precinct had voted already, then send out walkers or make calls to get those turned out who hadn't already voted.
It just so happened that my precinct was one of the key bellwether precincts in all of OH. However the precinct I was flushing went, so went OH, and so went the election. It's one of those that the networks use to "call" a state with only 1% of the vote in.
10:00 was normal, maybe high for Repubilcans. But I got home and saw Drudge headlines screaming about exit polls, how Bush was losing badly. Well, I hadn't seen that but who knows? Freepers were jumping out of buildings.
At 4:00 though, I found that 90% of Rs had already voted. We were told by Rove that if Rs just voted in OH, we'd win because of the voter registration advantage. I knew if, before work was even over for most people, 90% of Rs had voted we would easily hit 100% in this key precinct. The Ds couldn't win.
I posted my #s then got back to the computer and tried to calm people that in fact we'd won the election despite the exit polls. Bush won by 117,000---Trump won FL in 2016 by 113,000.
Moral of the story: DO NOT be intimidated or frightened by ANYTHING you see on the news or or Drudge. In in MT, in IN, and in AZ, we will win if Rs turn out. Indies in these states would have to break 2:1 against the R for the D to win. FL is a different story with its D-heavy registration, but over and over we've shown Rs can win that state just by turning out.
No one knows about the House. My prediction is we hold by as few as five and as many as fifteen seats. But these are individual races with really, really bad polling and it's extremely doubtful that the "news" is going to know what's going on til the votes are counted. (Remember 2016, where Trump had a very late lead in VA and NH? Many here knew that Northern VA was coming in and would change that, but no one knew a bunch of MA fraudsters were going to NH to vote!
There will be no reliable House numbers from precincts until most of them are closed, esp. in more rural areas.
As with 2016, if you watch the fake news, remember if there is a D victory, they will call it at 8:01. If the evidence suggests that Ds have won key "flip" districts like VA5, VA10, FL26, FL27, NY19, NY22 (and they need almost all of them), they will post it immediately.
My guess is if you don't know who won the House and you go to bed, the Rs probably held.
Now, as it was in 2016, this is in God's hands. Let's let Him do His work. We don't always know the twists and turns of His plans.
Thanks, Larry. You are a goldmine of experience and information!
Thank you for all your hard work here and on Twitter.
VOTE
VOTE
VOTE
RED!
Nice story on 2004.
Folks, Keep Calm and Vote On
lol!
These was NO clear path to 270! :-)
I dumped Drudge months ago. It’s strictly The Liberty Daily and Citizen Free Press for me.
I hope its raining heavily in Philly and Pittsburg. Should suppress Dem turnout. Might give Lou a chance of pulling off a major upset.
I remember watching the Fox 2004 election coverage, it was 730 and Bill Kristol was practically in tears about how the exit polls were guaranteeing a DEM blowout and all was lost.
And I’m looking at the actual votes as they flash across the screen thinking, “Dude, give you’re head a shake, we’re winning big!”. And we did.
So go out, do your duty, vote!!!
I’m only checking the news tonight to see the libtards crying.
Until then there will be non stop bs to suppress the GOP vote.
Thanks as always
I’m in PA 01, Fitzpatrick vs. Wallace. How about you?
Based on what Baris was seeing in his FL polls.
I can always be wrong.
The only difference between me & everyone else is I’ll admit it.
When was that?
I don't see anything of the kind on Drudge at present.
Yeah, I remember that very well. I almost blew a gasket listening to the media breathlessly “report” the exit polls.
It was my final gullible moment.
That didn’t work for me in 2016. I was following FR only and some posters in the 7 to 8 time slot were saying it was over from what they were seeing in the Florida count. Over for Trump winning that is. I folded and decided to watch a John Wayne movie and then went to bed. Woke up around 3am and decided to check what had happened and caught the acceptance speech.
Great work again this election cycle on Facebook, Twitter, and FreeRepublic.
Thanks for the summary.
Drudge is horrible now, right?
Weakness of TLD is that they don’t get the entertainment news the way Drudge used to.
Out here in wacky 11 as designated by the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, Smucker verus King. They think they can elect the Democrat King by bending it around two counties.
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