Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Local Weather: |
Mandatory evacuations ordered along Cape Fear and Little Rivers in Fayetteville area
Take care and do report in when you can.
Crankyweatherguy is saying that the models are starting to pick up on the “funneling” effect of the mountains. I don’t understand the technical details well enough to completely understand his blog.
Maybe someone else here could help out.
Yes, I am so grateful to God that Florence was not a category 4 storm when it hit land.
I am in the Raleigh, NC area. (Wake County) Lost power for 3 hours only so far. We are still having major rain bands. For instance, power is out in ALL of Pamlico county.
The worst issue is the massive power outages in Eastern and Southeastern NC along with the flooding that’s coming early next week.
I had power off just once for 3 days. That was plenty inconvenient.....Had it been any longer I was getting out of town.
Report from Leland (just west of Wilmington)...steady rain, still some wind gusts. Damage to businesses, trees down everywhere. Cape Fear river supposed to crest late Sunday night/Monday morning.
We got our power back a couple of hours ago.
Went driving around town. They are doing a good job of getting everybody’s power back on.
The Places that are open are packed. KFC and the Saigon Bistro on lower Bragg Blvd. Between Harris Teeter and Publix there is 5 Guys Burgers, C-F-L, Hunan Gardens and a couple of others I didn’t note. Publix was open and packed - Cars out to the Hardee’s (closed) on Raeford Road.
Gas stations on Robeson Steet and Intersection of Rosehill and Ramsey were open. Didn’t go any further north on Ramsey.
Just did a big figure 8 from the north side, through Haymount, down to Cape Fear Valley Hospital and back.
I understand that they are now predicting 27 feet ABOVE flood stage.
27 feet above flood stage is going to make them feel like they are on an island
https://abc11.com/weather/florence-breaks-nc-record-for-tropical-system-rainfall/4252377/
Saturday, September 15, 2018 02:38PM
...The NWS Newport/Morehead City office reported that 25.77 inches of rain has fallen at their Hoffman Remote Operated Weather Station (RAWS).
That rainfall total breaks the old record of 24.06 inches set during Hurricane Floyd in 1999.
In addition to the official report, an unofficial report from a weather observer said 30.59 inches of rain was recorded 1 mile north of Swansboro.
Additional rain will continue to fall into next week causing rain totals to only increase...
Many years ago as a kid I saw some cans of dehydrated water on vacation. Then in college a friend of mine had a quart can of same. Fortunately never had a need for the dehydrated water.
But you may be glad to know that Amazon does have a stock of dehydrated water available!
https://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss_2?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=dehydrated+water
No luck witht he vodka or gin yet but will let you know if I find some:-)
Regards
alfa6 ;>}
A poster on http://www.wxdisco.com/ is reporting both coastal radar stations in NC are out. The Raleigh station reaches down there, but not well.
They’re saying the Wilmington radar came back on line. Whew.
27 feet above flood stage explains why all of the Fayetteville local management looked terrified during their press conference. They said it was worse than 2 years ago during Matthew.
There are a lot of people that will think with the rain slackening for a day or so, that the event is over and will get on the road to return home.
I think there will be a lot of road closures due to these rising rivers and stranded travelers.
I like a high clearance vehicle for just this reason — you never know what you are driving into.
Des Moines, IA, had a bunch of nasty flash flooding at the end of July. A prominent local sports guy drowned in the street in an upscale neighborhood. Ever since, my wife wants a friggin’ Range Rover, the big one. Wades 3 ft of water, but what a pain! Her mother will have to buy it for her.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and
continue to rise to near 62.4 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 64.0 feet, Several thousand acres of land and hundreds
of structures on both sides of the river will be flooded. Water
reaches the under-clearance of the downstream railroad trestle.
Downstream about 2 miles, the river will spread to a width of
approximately 1 mile.
It may still breath in 3’ but I bet it washes away or floats away.
My brother has a Land Rover. I can’t get in it without hitting my head or cranking my neck.
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