Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
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Glad you’re okay, Laz!
Breaking News Verified account @BreakingNews 34 seconds ago
Hurricane Florence: Mother and infant killed when tree fell on their home in Wilmington, North Carolina, and a female died when downed trees blocked first responders from reaching her during a medical emergency in Pender County.
That was amazing footage, and from yesterday. Can’t imagine what that area must look like now.
Does anybody know the status of Oriental, NC? My sister has a home there (she also has a home in Raleigh which is where she is located for the storm).
Thanks in advance.
Oriental is fairly near New Bern.
Yes, I heard about that on my local TV channel, WRAL.
Sad.
OH - so sad. Probably will not be the last deaths due to Florence.
Jeff’s pretty good at getting where things happen, before they do.
And at getting excited.
When Florence hit the coast, it’s winds were sub-hurricane strength.
So wouldn’t these deaths be from Tropical Storm Florence?
“Florence Now at Coastline, Winds Measured Below Hurricane Strength
Watts Up With That (Science Website) ^ | 14 Sept 2018 | B. Wegher”
I think that’s a reasoned point, the 75%/25% figure. It still seems to me that a lot of damage can come of this Tropical Storm, but that is what it is.
Cloudy in central Maryland. Which is rare because it has been raining in some form or another for a week. It finally settled down to just overcast yesterday.
A couple of storm surge videos from Oriental embedded in this larger thread.
https://heavy.com/news/2018/09/hurricane-florence-storm-surge-photos-videos/
I understand theres a lot going on, but he needs to take it down a couple notches.
http://www.kxxv.com/story/39090027/hurricane-florence-makes-landfall-in-nc
The National Hurricane Center said in its 2 p.m. update that Florence had sustained winds of 80 mph and was about 35 miles west-southwest of Wilmington, NC, and 35 miles east-northeast of Myrtle Beach, SC, moving west at 5 mph. Oriental, NC, had so far received more than 19 inches of rain,
“OMG, it's only a TS or a CAT 1” is being ignorant as hell. Each storm is different. Several times I drove to work (Was working a medical job at the time so was essential personnel) during CAT 1 winds which was fine due to how the storm was shaping up (More wind event, less rain maker due to how quickly the storms were moving out). This one is different and already deadly. The aftermath will get worse too due to the terrain, stall, and rain.
So we see it a little bit ago just centered on the Myrtle Beach coastline?
The winds have dropped to 50 to 80 with gust from 60 to 90 in various quadrants of the storm — correct?
I guess I am wondering what is coming out of Myrtle Beach as far as damage reports and the like.
Gosh, looked way over six inches deep, in some places.
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