Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 601-620621-640641-660 ... 741-756 next last
To: Lazamataz

Glad you’re okay, Laz!


621 posted on 09/14/2018 12:03:37 PM PDT by American Quilter (Democrats haven't been this mad since Republicans freed the slaves.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 617 | View Replies]

To: alancarp
More detail from 2nd source (3 deaths):

Breaking News Verified account @BreakingNews 34 seconds ago

Hurricane Florence: Mother and infant killed when tree fell on their home in Wilmington, North Carolina, and a female died when downed trees blocked first responders from reaching her during a medical emergency in Pender County.

622 posted on 09/14/2018 12:03:56 PM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 619 | View Replies]

To: jeffers

That was amazing footage, and from yesterday. Can’t imagine what that area must look like now.


623 posted on 09/14/2018 12:09:28 PM PDT by American Quilter (Democrats haven't been this mad since Republicans freed the slaves.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 620 | View Replies]

To: jeffers
Lots of water vapor feeding the rainmaker:


624 posted on 09/14/2018 12:22:41 PM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 620 | View Replies]

To: dirtboy

Does anybody know the status of Oriental, NC? My sister has a home there (she also has a home in Raleigh which is where she is located for the storm).

Thanks in advance.

Oriental is fairly near New Bern.


625 posted on 09/14/2018 12:23:47 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 555 | View Replies]

To: NautiNurse

Yes, I heard about that on my local TV channel, WRAL.

Sad.


626 posted on 09/14/2018 12:25:36 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 547 | View Replies]

To: alancarp

OH - so sad. Probably will not be the last deaths due to Florence.


627 posted on 09/14/2018 12:36:29 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 619 | View Replies]

To: American Quilter

Jeff’s pretty good at getting where things happen, before they do.

And at getting excited.


628 posted on 09/14/2018 12:37:44 PM PDT by jeffers
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 623 | View Replies]

To: alancarp

When Florence hit the coast, it’s winds were sub-hurricane strength.

So wouldn’t these deaths be from Tropical Storm Florence?

“Florence Now at Coastline, Winds Measured Below Hurricane Strength
Watts Up With That (Science Website) ^ | 14 Sept 2018 | B. Wegher”


629 posted on 09/14/2018 12:53:32 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 5De0% increase 1.2183 yrs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 622 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne
Joe Bastardi was just on Hannity a few minutes ago. Hannity (who was anxious to get back to the "Manafort issue"), seemed to think the storm was not amounting to much because he had heard the wind speeds were down. Joe attempted to educate him and said we're probably about 1/4 of the way through this storm.
630 posted on 09/14/2018 1:00:59 PM PDT by snarkpup ("We need to have a REAL political campaign - rivaling the scale of Comic-Con!" - Tan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 629 | View Replies]

To: snarkpup

I think that’s a reasoned point, the 75%/25% figure. It still seems to me that a lot of damage can come of this Tropical Storm, but that is what it is.


631 posted on 09/14/2018 1:07:30 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 5De0% increase 1.2183 yrs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 630 | View Replies]

To: Freedom'sWorthIt
Jesse Ferrell @Accu_Jesse - 53m

Hurricane #Florence rain totals so far.

Oriental: 21.6
Surf City: 16.6
New Bern: 14.26
Swansboro: 14.25
Calabash: 12.75
Atlantic Beach: 12.73
Emerald Isle: 11.50
632 posted on 09/14/2018 1:12:06 PM PDT by snarkpup ("We need to have a REAL political campaign - rivaling the scale of Comic-Con!" - Tan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 625 | View Replies]

To: Lazamataz

Cloudy in central Maryland. Which is rare because it has been raining in some form or another for a week. It finally settled down to just overcast yesterday.


633 posted on 09/14/2018 1:17:42 PM PDT by HollyB
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 617 | View Replies]

To: Freedom'sWorthIt

A couple of storm surge videos from Oriental embedded in this larger thread.

https://heavy.com/news/2018/09/hurricane-florence-storm-surge-photos-videos/


634 posted on 09/14/2018 1:19:19 PM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 625 | View Replies]

To: jeffers

I understand there’s a lot going on, but he needs to take it down a couple notches.


635 posted on 09/14/2018 1:20:39 PM PDT by HollyB
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 620 | View Replies]

To: Freedom'sWorthIt

http://www.kxxv.com/story/39090027/hurricane-florence-makes-landfall-in-nc

The National Hurricane Center said in its 2 p.m. update that Florence had sustained winds of 80 mph and was about 35 miles west-southwest of Wilmington, NC, and 35 miles east-northeast of Myrtle Beach, SC, moving west at 5 mph. Oriental, NC, had so far received more than 19 inches of rain,


636 posted on 09/14/2018 1:25:05 PM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 625 | View Replies]

To: Freedom'sWorthIt
A really heavy rain band just moved past Oriental, with another not quite so heavy one coming in now.


637 posted on 09/14/2018 1:34:27 PM PDT by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 625 | View Replies]

To: All
The Saffir-Simpson rating measures wind and is irrelevant in a lot of cases (This one, Harvey, Sandy, etc...). Harvey was a CAT 4 (But weakened quickly to a TS), however, the rainfall was much worse than the wind event due to stalling. Some governing body needs to reevaluate the strength of these storms and include stalls, rainfall, surge in terms of length of time along with feet, wave potentials (On top of the surge), flooding, etc...

“OMG, it's only a TS or a CAT 1” is being ignorant as hell. Each storm is different. Several times I drove to work (Was working a medical job at the time so was essential personnel) during CAT 1 winds which was fine due to how the storm was shaping up (More wind event, less rain maker due to how quickly the storms were moving out). This one is different and already deadly. The aftermath will get worse too due to the terrain, stall, and rain.

638 posted on 09/14/2018 1:49:21 PM PDT by rollo tomasi (Working hard to pay for deadbeats and corrupt politicians.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 636 | View Replies]

To: dirtboy

So we see it a little bit ago just centered on the Myrtle Beach coastline?

The winds have dropped to 50 to 80 with gust from 60 to 90 in various quadrants of the storm — correct?

I guess I am wondering what is coming out of Myrtle Beach as far as damage reports and the like.


639 posted on 09/14/2018 1:51:13 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 637 | View Replies]

To: jeffers

Gosh, looked way over six inches deep, in some places.


640 posted on 09/14/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by Born to Conserve
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 620 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 601-620621-640641-660 ... 741-756 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson