A Democrat oversample which inaccurately quantifies the demographics and a small sample size sure looks like a push poll to me.
My guess is that if they are not already anti-Moore, they will eventually find their way to support him.
Good catch. Hopefully this gets the attention it deserves.
Having said that, one thing I’ve learned over the years is that it’s important to pay attention to the trend with specific polls. For example, if Rasmussen, using the same methodology and the same sampling, shows a relative decrease or a relative increase, then that says something to me. But comparing one poll to another is, to me, really an irrelevancy.
Democrat over sample.
Moore is going to bring it home, running away some 5 to 8 points over his opponent.
The smear campaign is actually working to elevate Moores standing. Call it the “Trump effect.” THe polls were very wrong about Donald Trumps winning the primary and the election itself.So it is with Moore.
The voters of Alabama are not as stupid as the MSM and Mitch McConnell think. They now a smear when they see one.
Steve Bannon has been doing good work!
Fox News is just as bad as the others; they’re just less in-your-face about it.
Any poll that will not release its demographics to the public is unreliable and political. That is true no matter which side it is on. It’s too easy for them to tell you how many males, how many females, how many Republicans, how many Democrats, geographic location, etc, etc. We have no idea if all of these folks are Inner city respondents. We just don’t. And even the Republican Democrat break out in this poll article is an estimate based on percentages that are given. I went into the PDF file for this bowl and they gave nothing.
It’s not a question of oversampling or undersampling. Sample weighting corrects for that. And 649 is a fair enough sample size. What matters is what kind of respondent is being polled. If it’s just a poll of adults that could be non-voters, illegal aliens, who knows who? Only a poll of likely voters will produce credible numbers. That kind of poll is expensive and most news organization won’t pay for it.
About the only thing that could explain this is that the number of likely voters among Republicans has dropped considerably. I don’t know if I would believe that. In any case it’s about three and a half weeks to election day. A lot can change in that long of a time period.
The Murdochs put out the word to Fox to get on the attack Roy Moore bandwagon or more heads will roll at Fox.
You’ve gotta work real hard to oversample Democrats in Alabama.
Let me say that the yearbook sig is forgery/fake and needs to have ads run on it.
No exactly a surprise. Even before the whole recent controversy, Fox News had Moore-Jones tied, when multiple other pollster had Moore up double digits. They’ve always given Moore his worst numbers among any of the independent polls.
As doon as I heard this new poll I thought it was false with more dems then R’s
All polls have a purpose. Many are for propaganda.
I believe Moore has the lead by 5% now. As the evidence of the fraudulent accusations are exposed over the next 7-10 days, Moore will wind up winning by at least 10%.
The evangelical Christian voters will be voting in huge numbers and once the fraud is totally exposed, Democrats will be demotivated. I don’t think even Democrats in Alabama believe these lies.
After Roy Moore wins he should say no to a fake Ethics panel.
Reject being called Freshman, a high school slander control term.
Roy should be be a bull in a China shop, with bags of popcorn.
SECOND BEST ELECTION EVA
Look at the internals of each pole before you comment. If you do this you will see that the poll which has more losing by 8 points has wildly oversampled Democrats compared to the poll which shows Moore winning by 6 points AND is in line with recent surveys of Party demographics.
Do you not realize that a poll can be made to give any results that the initiator of the pole wants it to give. If they only sample Democrats for instance, then the results will show that Ray Moore is losing by 100%. Have you learned nothing from the polling that was done during the general election?
Polling companies have sold their soul to the left - nothing they say should be taken seriously.