Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
You got that right.
Living in New England and in states north of NC things with a few exceptions have been quiet the last few years have been quiet. Right now these storms are looking for warm bath temps waters.
Thanks, TIK. Not promising for the good people in the Keys.
I really was a Girl Scout before I became a nurse. We always try to be prepared. ;o)
You got your degree in meteorology just where again?
And how many years have you been working in weather forecasting?
When the model tracks are so tightly grouped together and overlapping that you can’t tell which one is which—this is called, “All the forecast models are in agreement.”
So to translate that for the men in the audience....girl-scout preparedness for them would be akin to “Hunker down and protect your cookies!”
Yes it would and no we’re not NN has been doing these threads for years. Y’all come over here.
The last big one going further north was late in the season Sandy of 5 years ago.
Wish me luck.
They already declared and emergency in Florida? This thing is almost 2,000 miles from there!
WBC!!! It’s good to see you. What are your plans?
Please put me on you Ping List. Thank you.
i usually hole up in the eau gallie river, its nice and well protected with easy access to a nice park but they got gotta huge dredge in there and i can’t get in there - sooo plan b is vero beach up in the mangroves - could’t ask for a better hurricane hole
“””yep, im in florida, on a sailboat, and im as nervous as a long tail cat in a room of rocking chairs””’
Prayers for you and all in Irma’s path....hope you will be able to seek/find another form of shelter if needed
We are fully prepared for hurricanes. We have a years food supply. Lots of water and water filtration. Plenty of gasoline and 2 generators. Lots of ammo. But our main defense is living in Utah. I think we are pretty safe.
Irma can scoot right into the golf pick up steam and then go back across the top half of Florida. Don’t count your roof tiles before their thatched.
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