Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Thanks again for your updates, cll! I’m surprised the major airlines will still be flying up to 1400 tomorrow.
Along with the low already in the Gulf?
Thank you. Staying around too long with concern for residences, personal property and boats can be fatal or a weeks long nightmare.
I have family in Tampa. When it becomes clear for them, the airports and roads will already be full of people from further south who will start earlier. I am greatly concerned.
So the weather is after the Deplorables?! Has it occurred to these dufusses that the “weather” does not have a brain, or soul, or feelings? That being said, the Prince of the Power of the air may be a mite vengeful.
Good and useful info—thank you!
According to Bastardi that low in the Gulf is going to sputter around for a few days them head back into Mexico.
POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IRMA HEADING
TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION IN THE EASTERNMOST
LEEWARD ISLANDS...
2:00 PM AST Tue Sep 5
Location: 16.9°N 59.1°W
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 926 mb
Max sustained: 185 mph
People should book Hotels now. This thing is going to smack S.Florida hard. I think it will take a hard turn as that front gets closer but it may take this storm right up through Florida. Get off the Atlantic.
My good friend lives 20 miles south of Tampa. I sent her a text this morning asking if she had plans to evacuate. Her response was “?”. She had no idea about the hurricane. She does not watch TV. Goodness mercy child, I’m in Michigan and I know about it!
Does anyone know where I can get info on that? I’m in Corpus & I’m worried about it since it now has an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression now. We still haven’t recovered from Harvey. Plus I own a home in South Mississippi so I’ve got my eye on Irma too. Jesus I’ve lived on the Gulf my entire life and from Frederic to now I’m storm weary.
Yea, he is the cutest!
Hurricane Prep ...... Make sure insurance is paid up, then drive up to Michigan for Fall Colors Tour !
Name | Year | Pressure (mb) | Max sustained wind speed (mph) | Location |
---|---|---|---|---|
Patricia | 2015 | 880 | 200 | Eastern Pacific |
Wilma | 2005 | 882 | 175 | Atlantic |
Gilbert | 1988 | 888 | 185 | Atlantic |
Labor Day | 1935 | 892 | 150-200 | Atlantic |
Rita | 2005 | 897 | 175 | Atlantic |
Allen | 1980 | 899 | 190 | Atlantic |
Linda | 1997 | 902 | 185 | Eastern Pacific |
Katrina | 2005 | 902 | 175 | Atlantic |
Camille | 1969 | 905 | 190 | Atlantic |
Mitch | 1998 | 905 | 180 | Atlantic |
All I see is more warm bath water ahead of it’s path. It would not surprise me if it hits 200 MPH.
Hotel rooms are hard to come by in FL now. Early evening, rooms were disappearing as fast as I was trying to book a reservation. Check-in Thursday worked, Friday check-in was nearly impossible and much more expensive. Monday check-out no problem, No room at the inn Monday night.
I’m a ham radio operator and train with the local Emergency Services thru A.R.E.S. I am a shelter operator and none are open yet, but when you need that list it doesn’t mean the web site works. Also, many of our staff are gone to Houston so there will be fewer shelter operator.
PR and Cuba MTS may mess up inflow even if the center doesn’t pass over land,,but as you pointed out the water is even warmer then were it is now...assuming the upper levels remain the same..its possible
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