Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Just spoke with my brother in Jacksonville....they’re all prepped and his wife is their weatherman so she keeps tabs on this as it develops. They’re ready if it hits their area but as they say they’ve been through so many of these threats that at this time all they do is wait til it gets closer before they put up their shutters and really burrow down.
It’s sure a waiting game!
What are you going to do?
South Alabama here
hoping my generator parts get here, and that I really won’t need it.
Cuba?
Well, they should have no problem. You know, the government runs everything perfectly.
My brother said don’t listen to the TV reporting....rather listen to the Weather channel or others like them....that reporters want to sell you soap and other products! LOLOOL
I'm in Delray Beach, also likely in line for a hit. Probably just going to hunker down with my adult autistic son and 4 cats. I'm 6 miles inland, so not in the evacuation zone.
prayers for her and Schatzy.
My husband does an impression of heraldo Rivera, Jerry Rivers when he was in NOLA after Katrina. my husband yells look there is a man in the water, there is a man in the water. Cracks me up e every time he does it.
I guess it is pretty obvious that a bad Florida hit involving almost any area in the state is a high probability and only the next 48 hours will determine exactly where, how and when. That being said, I would like to bring up the deal-killers.
The island of Hispaniola, with Haiti and the Dominican Republic, followed by Cuba both have mountains of significance. Some weather geeks call them “shedders” because they can shred up a hurricane, slow it, causing turning, cut its intensity and really throwing in a curveball.
Additionally, we have a cold from cutting south and that can curve alignment of the path. Not wanting to wish anyone into the path but I think the US has enough this summer.
We are on the island too. Historically we have dodged the bullet. Fingers crossed.
do you have to pay to access the data on this site?
There are two levels of data. One is pay but he gives a daily and weekly update for free.
Thank you for this thread. Watching carefully here in ft Lauderdale
Depends on the storm track. Too soon to know.
Need to make clear that beach front properties will not be rebuild with taxpayer money.
Puerto Rico, Southern florida state of emergency....
Thanks for checking in. Keep us updated with your plans in the coming days.
We have been inundated with so many “ extra experts ‘” that I feel like I’m watching the Sunday am pundits...Ha Ha ha.
We have family in Lake County we can hunker down with if need be. Might be tight, but they’ll probably still have power and A/C.... important for the elderly.
8 PM model update has Irma looking like Charlie. Hopefully we won’t get 3 more after this one like before.
Charlie / Frances / Ivan /Jeanne survivor
REPORTED CONDITIONS: Mon Sep 4, 2017, 8:00 PM AST
STRENGTH: Hurricane
WIND: 140 mph
PRESSURE: 943 mb
MOVEMENT:
W at 13 mph
LOCATION: 16.7°N, 55°W 450 mi E of THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
