Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
I wonder if a temp that low might be enough to move her north before she gets to Florida. Probably not, as she is still far away.
Prayers for my family, please, all, we have an octogenarian with dementia to care for through this. Hope we don’t lose our home in the meantime.
As the current model run seems to show, we are in line with Miami/Fort Lauderdale almost a direct hit. Prayers please.
Some of us are thinking of evacuating north in the next day or so. Others have to work.
I learned first-hand a few hours ago that hotels on the FL Gulf coast are getting scarce.
My best guess, as things appear now, would be sometime early Friday if they were going to give an evacuation order. Earlier if it takes a turn to the north sooner than expected. Even if it remains offshore in the Atlantic, being that far east would probably still result in an evac order in the storm is a cat 4. Glad you’ve made the choice and plans you have.
not quite there yet.....trending that way....huge eye forming...I suspect panic will set in was people see the storm in the morning
BFLR
Prayers, FRiend.. keep breathing.
I’m in Vero. Where are these mangroves to hide in?
My family is booking out of town for the weekend and afterwards and the fact we live in Jacksonville Florida....we are not taking any chances......Matthew and Harvey and other near misses are too much this time around....Best of luck to all of those(and us) with Irma....
Yeah it’s heading to that bath water where it will only strengthen.
She’s a Cat 4 now.
The thought of being stuck in on I95 while Irma is bearing down on us is frightening. Thought I wanted to move to Florida. Not so much now.
My sister runs a popular restaurant/bar on Anna Maria Island. Wonder how they will do there?
We are in Port Charlotte just S of Sarasota and relying on FR to collate data. Now considering closing the shutters and going N.
This may be the last night to have a nice glass of wine, relaxing with my sweetie.
Thank you all.
GOD Bless and keep you all.
And janetjanet998! She and NN are the best
Love the quote!
I’ll go with your forecasts anytime.
The worst thing about hurricanes is TV reporting...” WOW! It’s really really windy..OH MY GOD..DID YOU JUST SEE THAT BRANCH COME RIGHT OFF THAT TREE! OH nooooo, I’m standing in 3 “ of water!
South Alabama here, prayers for all that may be in the path of this biotch.
Love it!
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