Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
And this course also sets it up to go into the Carolinas after pummeling the SE coast of Florida.
If they’re even able to film outdoors, the trees are still standing, the buildings are still intact and their parking lot is not submerged, they’re not doing all that badly by hurricane standards.
Yes indeed......Georgia and the Carolinas need to be on high alert now.....
If she decides to stay in place and not evacuate herself, I just posted a link which she may wish to look at:
The commentary contains a discussion of the writer’s suggestion to store 30 galloons of gas for the generator. One of the commenters states that the National fire code sets the limit for home storage of gasoline at 25 gallons. The implication seems to be that if your house burns down and investigators observe more than the 25 gallon limit in containers, your home insurance claim could experience difficulties.
The models converging into agreement explains FL Governor Scott’s sobering urgency in his last press conference.
With the lack of certainty, he may have to order the entire lower half of his state evacuated to be sure to get the correct area. It is becoming more certain South Florida will be hit hard, but the where is still debatable.
After a major disaster which includes a fire burning one’s house down, insurance investigators have time and ability to figure out how full your gas cans were?
No communication with Barbuda since midnight.
Antiqua authorities will attempt helicopter to Barbuda when weather allows.
Sobering.
Very good of AMS to do that !
I will be flying in FLL. ETA is 9 am. Will then leave for Tallahassee.
The info is excellent. Much appreciated.
why aren’t they opening another lane out?
Valuable info about HAM radio blackout today. FReeper cll is hunkered down in PR with his HAM radio.
Looks like Peter Branson’s Neked Island will be hit dead center by the eye.
It should be one hellava a hurricane party!
https://www.theknot.com/us/matt-patton-and-mallory-vaughan-feb-2017/necker-island
Miami benchmark is 80 degrees longitude line for turn up to the north...
https://twitter.com/DanaTylerTV/status/905505366317961216
Watch John & Lonnie with their #HurricaneIrma latest—@JohnElliottTV @LonnieQuinnTV @CBSNewYork #Irma
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