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Hurricane Irma Live Thread
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse

While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.

Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.

FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: cat6; category6; florida; hurricane; hurricaneirma; irma; livehurricaneirma; nautinurse; prepper; preppers; puertorico; virginislands
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To: NautiNurse

Hi NautiNurse! I am in Louisiana but my daughter attends college at the St. Thomas campus of the University of the Virgin Islands. I am one worried mom. Thanks for continuing to maintain these threads!


1,241 posted on 09/05/2017 10:21:54 PM PDT by buickmackane (Pineville, Rapides Parish, Louisiana)
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To: Enlightened1
Eyewall directly over Barbuda. Is this the first landfall?
1,242 posted on 09/05/2017 10:21:55 PM PDT by snarkpup (The swamp is draining; and the alligators are allegating.)
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To: snarkpup

Yes I believe that is the case.

Although the hurricane eye appears much larger than the island.


1,243 posted on 09/05/2017 10:30:50 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: snarkpup

Winds just dropped to about zero in Barbuda... in the eye...


1,244 posted on 09/05/2017 10:39:42 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: snarkpup

The “Dome Home” Fends Off Hurricanes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jxsSBHTFk3w


1,245 posted on 09/05/2017 10:40:38 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: All

the all important EURO model now running if it nudges east so will the track in the 5am update

UMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION


LOCATION...17.7N 61.8W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF BARBUDA
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM N OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH...295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...914 MB...26.99 INCHES


1,246 posted on 09/05/2017 10:54:45 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: snarkpup

I think the center of the eye stayed just offshore though


1,247 posted on 09/05/2017 10:55:45 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: dirtboy

>Honestly, I don’t see how Jose can follow Irma’s track and reach any major intensity, given how much energy Irma has sucked out of the ocean with her path.

I do. It’s called the ability to account for all. Aside from the reality of this threat, islam will be defeated. Bet on it.

America is best. Period.


1,248 posted on 09/05/2017 10:55:54 PM PDT by soycd
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To: bgill
"Anyone up for a trip to Disney?"

I'm supposed to travel from Denver to Melbourne, FL for a conference that starts next Tuesday the 12th. I think that's looking increasingly unlikely.

1,249 posted on 09/05/2017 10:59:10 PM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
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To: janetjanet998

Looks like St. Martin is next. Someone in that area is unfortunately likely to get a direct hit as St. Barts and Anguilla are nearby as well. On the bright side though, Richard Branson is also in the path.


1,250 posted on 09/05/2017 11:08:25 PM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
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To: noiseman

EURO big shift east..

the track will shift east some now in the 5am update


1,251 posted on 09/05/2017 11:22:42 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998

the 00z GFS and 00z Euro now keep the center just east of FL..goof news since the weaker side is the west side...other models have also shifted east...

of course this will change and wobble back and forth ....aka noise


1,252 posted on 09/05/2017 11:26:24 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998

Yep. Carolinas now going to get something.


1,253 posted on 09/05/2017 11:26:48 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: All

Levi Cowan @TropicalTidbits
At 2:00am ADT, the NOAA station at #Barbuda reported sustained winds of 108 mph with gusts to 155 mph. #Irma

https://mobile.twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/905297751612825601


1,254 posted on 09/05/2017 11:51:18 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: dirtboy

could you send me a link please.


1,255 posted on 09/06/2017 12:24:07 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: Enlightened1; NautiNurse

I’ve been watching the live cam at St-Barth you posted. The storm is on top of it now and the power just got knocked out.

Well, it came back on as I typed. Don’t know if it will stay on though. They’re having a terrible night there. :-(


1,256 posted on 09/06/2017 12:44:46 AM PDT by radu (God bless our military men and women, past and present)
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To: NautiNurse; All
I just spoke to a couple of Miami meteorologists. 5:00 am update may have MAJOR revisions.

Many models now have the turn happening east of Florida. Not all.

1,257 posted on 09/06/2017 1:31:43 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Will be interesting. They would be counting on the low front that just came through to Florida hanging out for 3 or 4 days.Additionally a high pressure system in Texas now should be a factor. Will they be strong enough to turn Irma. Who knows????


1,258 posted on 09/06/2017 1:39:47 AM PDT by foundedonpurpose (Prayers for Gods People! Salvation & Restoration!)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Cold front still progressing south though central Louisiana. Alexandria, LA reporting northerly winds and 65 deg F temps, which indicates front has passed through.


1,259 posted on 09/06/2017 1:43:15 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: abb

1,260 posted on 09/06/2017 1:56:22 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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