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Falling Off the Demographic Cliff
Crisis Magazine ^ | May 15, 2017 | WILLIAM KILPATRICK

Posted on 05/20/2017 2:24:26 PM PDT by NYer

Friends who visit Europe with large families in tow tell me they soon become “tourist attractions” themselves.

Europeans are used to Muslims with large families. But Americans? People from a prosperous developed nation? How odd. Don’t they know that children get in the way of self-fulfillment? That population growth is bad for the environment?

The visiting Americans with large families are almost invariably Christians—another segment of European society that, along with children, seems to be on the way out. In 2016 more than 90,000 people dropped out of the Church of Sweden, and Norway’s State Church lost more than 25,000 members in a single month. The trend is similar in the UK where the Archdiocese of St. Andrews and Edinburgh will cut the number of parishes from 100 to 30. Meanwhile, the Archbishop of Utrecht in the Netherlands announced that about a thousand parishes would close by 2025. The Archdiocese of Vienna is also downsizing. In the next ten years it will combine 660 parishes into just 150.

You’ve probably seen the dismal birth rate figures for native Europeans. In most countries it’s below replacement level. If you’re an investor, that means it’s time to buy funeral homes and sell doll house manufacturers. Actually, it’s well past time for that market move. A better bet would be to invest in that new chain of hijab and burqa boutiques that is all the rage in the big cities.

According to a new study, a quarter of European women born in the 1970s may remain childless. That trend is reflected in the fact that Europe’s most important leaders are all childless. That’s the case with the German chancellor, and with the British, Swedish, Dutch, Italian, Scottish, and Luxembourg prime ministers. The newly elected president of France, Emmanuel Macron, is also childless and is likely to remain that way since the 39-year-old is married to his 64-year-old former teacher.

What’s the problem with leaders sans offspring? As every parent knows, people with children have more of a stake in the future. They worry about the kind of world that their children will have to live in. And once their children grow up, they start worrying about their grandchildren’s future. On the other hand, childless individuals have less reason to worry about what comes after them. This is less of a concern when the childless couple lives in the apartment upstairs, but when they reside in the presidential palace, or the prime minister’s residence it’s more worrisome.

It’s not a good omen when the leader of your nation doesn’t have to worry about what sort of country his or her progeny will grow up in. It’s even possible that the maternal or paternal instinct can be displaced onto non-native sons and daughters. For example, German Chancellor Angela Merkel has been called “the compassionate mother” of migrants, for having opened the border to millions of migrants mostly from Muslim countries. And if they don’t assimilate? Well, that’s a problem for other mutters to worry about.

President Macron has a similar solicitude about Muslim migrants. He has promised to facilitate immigration from the Arab world by preserving “an open and welcoming France,” called for the construction of more mosques in France, and has suggested that since “French culture does not exist,” there is no great need for migrants to assimilate to it. French critics refer to Macron as “Peter Pan in the Elysée,” but at least Peter Pan worried about the pirate problem. Macron, however, has rejected former President Hollande’s assertion that “France has a problem with Islam,” and he is against suspending the citizenship of jihadists.

Meanwhile, as Europe’s native population declines, Muslims in Europe are having children, and Turkey’s caliph—I mean, president—wants them to have more. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has urged Turks living in Europe to have “not three, but five children” because “you are the future of Europe.”

He’s probably right about that. As columnist Mark Steyn likes to say, “The future belongs to those who show up for it.” And right now it’s the Muslim children who are showing up for Europe’s future. In Vienna, Birmingham, and other European cities, there are already more Muslim than Christian children.

Just to make sure that trend continues, Turkey’s Interior Minister, Suleyman Soylu, has suggested that Turkey could send 15,000 refugees a month to Europe. Meanwhile, Turkey’s Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu warned that “religion wars will soon begin in Europe,” and he cautioned that European politicians are taking the continent “to a cliff.”

Actually, Europe is not headed for a cliff; it’s already gone off it—the demographic cliff, that is. It just hasn’t hit bottom yet. The full effects of the demographic bust won’t arrive for a decade or so. That’s because the Euro-Stork brings fewer babies with each passing year. The people who were never born twenty-five years ago can’t very well make up the birth-rate deficit. And too many of the people who were lucky enough to be born aren’t passing on the good fortune.

That doesn’t apply, of course, to the European Turks, Moroccans, and Pakistanis. They’re having three children per family and, if Erdogan has his way, they’ll have five. A long time ago, Turkey was referred to as “the sick man of Europe.” Now it looks like the Europeans are the sick men of Europe, and the Turks look healthy by comparison. Unlike Europe’s childless leaders, the Turks do seem to take an interest in the future of Europe. But what they envision is an Islamic future.

After an EU ruling allowing employers to ban headscarves, Erdogan accused the EU of starting “a clash between crescent and cross.” But, as he surely realizes, no clash will be necessary. Time is on the side of the Turks, and so are the mathematics of demography. After another decade or so of demographic transformation, the aging population of Europe will be in no shape for a clash.

Editor’s note: Pictured above is newly elected French president Emmanuel Macron with his wife, Brigitte Marie-Claude Macron.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: birthrate; catholic; deathofthewest; demographics; europe; family; islam; trends; us
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...this is a general all-purpose message, and should not be seen as targeting any individual I am responding to...

41 posted on 05/20/2017 8:54:16 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Happy days are here again!)
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To: DoughtyOne

Family bump!


42 posted on 05/20/2017 10:08:40 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: Salvation

Thank you...

“:^)


43 posted on 05/20/2017 10:09:32 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Happy days are here again!)
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To: NYer

Frankly, I find that particular theory of leaders with children care about their future and govern accordingly is nothing but hogwash BS. Two of our more recent ‘leaders’ did nothing of the sort. First we had the Clinton couple with a daughter, now married, and one Clinton grandchild produced.
The other would be the BO’B couple with two teen-age daughters. Neither of these two couples considered the state of the world when they proceeded to burn down the house. After all, they told us their family would be ‘just fine’. So what if they blew up the world — their family was ‘special’ and would be well protected and well provided.


44 posted on 05/21/2017 1:31:37 AM PDT by V K Lee (DJT: "Sometimes by losing a battle you find a new way to win the war. ")
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To: brucedickinson

I see that goofy weirdness more and more...as well as “proud pet parent” bumper stickers.

The Lord of the Rings was prophetic; the “super men” of Numenor had too few children, and often later in life. The Orcs, on the other hand, bred like rabbits...


45 posted on 05/21/2017 4:26:19 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

In our consumer-driven economy, those immigrants are more needed as CONSUMERS, not workers. Here in NJ whole school districts would close, and the “no man’s lands” between the urban blacks and white suburbs would be ghost towns. Increasingly, cities themselves would be ghost towns; more and more of them have already seen their last black mayor as the cities become increasingly Hispanic.


46 posted on 05/21/2017 4:29:31 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Many women today wish they could have a “choice”; they are forced to work like men, and often they hate it more and more with every passing year.

I believe this is why plenty of young white women are going the ghetto route and breeding for freebies; the demographic trends are misleading because even the white birth rate has plenty of ticking socialist time bombs in it.


47 posted on 05/21/2017 4:33:46 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

She is attractive, I’ll give him that. But, no more based upon their politics. ;)


48 posted on 05/21/2017 8:23:21 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set!)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Thanks! I’ve been dating (and am now engaged to) Beau over the past six years, but he & his late wife were family friends for close to 30 years, so I have seen up close and personal the work they did. He, especially, did a LOT of work with teen boys who had little hope for a good life. He still has contact with one special foster son, who, though well into his thirties, still needs help and guidance from time to time. ;) (i.e., a kick in the butt, LOL!)

He walks the walk, that’s for sure!

As for my boys? They turned out fine, too. All are functional, employed tax-paying adults. (Also in their thirties, now.)

It’s been a fun life, but it’s time for US, now. :)


49 posted on 05/21/2017 8:28:38 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set!)
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To: NYer
A Hannity golden moment featuring Gavin McInnes. about this issue.

If you haven't seen this, take the time and watch a feminazi melt.

50 posted on 05/21/2017 8:47:09 AM PDT by deadrock (I is someone else.)
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To: NYer

When I lived there with my baby, other mothers were always saying to me in a condescending way, “Je ne suis pas un esclave à mon bébé.” (I’m not a slave to my baby) As though I was, because I stayed home to care for him, I took him to the park (very few other moms there, just nannies), etc.


51 posted on 05/21/2017 8:54:36 AM PDT by Yaelle
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Yes, Dilbert. People who never have kids do treat their pets the same as others treat their children. They seem to not have perspective. I love animals. But they could never receive the infinite amount of love I have for my kids.


52 posted on 05/21/2017 8:57:25 AM PDT by Yaelle
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